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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
DocATL replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I mean it’s 4th down deep in our own territory. . -
It’s roaring now. 57kta GON
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Lucky you. Someone farts here and we lose power. Usually. So far so good today.
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Lots of smaller branches down here and decorations/garbage pails blowing all over the place.
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Temps seem to be starting their descent. Parkton Mesonet temp graph with sharp drop
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wow, a mesonet station in Middletown, CT measured 63 mph
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I think Henry is realizing it’s not super profitable to own sports teams. The value is tied to selling the team, not in operating it. That 2004 winning payroll was like the equivalent of $200mm payroll in today’s present dollars. He’s a businessman, not a competitor unfortunately. It definitely sucks. -
Nada in Simsbury yet. We rarely roar here anyway.
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Hilarious. When I lived in Boston, I saw someone down in Hamden post a picture of beautiful mammatus. My mom shares my interest in weather, so I texted her “Hey, I hear you have great mammatus” and sent it out, not realizing it had autocorrected to “Hey, I hear you have great mammaries.” Whoops.
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I think they were right about that; you can see the squall line damping out as it reaches the coast. On the other hand it has been very windy here. Peak gust from my poorly sited backyard station at 2 meters is 22mph, which breaks the old record by over 2mph...this goes back a little over a year. Rules of thumb don't really work for that kind of inaccuracy, but I'm thinking we've gusted over 50. It is roaring out there. Somehow, we still have power which is a nice surprise. This section of Smithtown is basically a 3rd world country. Wooded with an above ground grid.
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Montauk Point Lighthouse Davis weather station network reported an 85mph gust. Don't know how high off the ground the sensor is mounted but still impressive.
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And now the dews and temp have started slowly dropping, after a high of 56/54 down to 52/51.
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Well over 15,500 outages so far
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I don’t think so for Long Island. Gusts 60-70 which have already been recorded won’t be beat out here
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Unfortunately that describes near any media outlet these days, no matter your flavor
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Was even sharper about 9 AM, with some 70 dbz pixels. I'm guessing it will be more d9iffuse before it reaches our longitude. Little wind here so far. Fog rolled in and the temp jumped 5° (35 to 40) in about 30 minutes. 10 AM at IZG was 36, inversion holding there but it can't last.
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Should have known we were in trouble when JB got all cocky and made his Sistine Chapel post yesterday.
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I would definitely watch for some low topped convection to evolve this afternoon and move across Rhode Island and interior southeast Mass. Wouldn't even rule out the potential for a very brief tornado. You can see some convection developing south of Long Island now. We get any convection with thunder/lightning and we may see some 70-75 mph gusts (not widespread but very localized).
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0.5" IMBY of snow after a rainy day yesterday, and bitter temps this morning under clear, blue skies n fairly calm winds. -sd's near the Lake with -10's/-20's across inland NE MN. I-Fall's dropped 56dF in 26hrs from 34 to -22.
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As is very often the case with these events, I think the stronger and longer duration winds will be on the backside (CAA) of the storm. Maybe isolated gusts will be higher with any line moving through now, but areawide we should perform better with the cold air advection as it can mix down winds very efficiently.
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Worst is over. Lost a few holiday decorations otherwise this area handles 60 mph winds with no problems
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Been quietly thinking the same thing. Taking my adult kids to my old stompin grounds in Summit Co, CO Jan 8th-15th. They had an abysmal start this year. I have some friends still living there and they said I used my snow shovel before them lol. They said it's the worst start ever and they've lived there since the mid 90s. Thankfully that's changing quickly.
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This could come close to over 20,000 without power when all said and done for pseg long island wow Winds deft mixed down yet again
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm sure everyone remembers how brutally awful I handled the El Nino a couple of years ago....was completely undressed by @bluewaveon how it would interact with the west Pacific. It was the best thing that ever happened to me in terms of my ability to forecast on a seasonal level -
The line fell apart and was nothing more than a drizzle here in Central Union county, NJ. Winds are relatively light, though were stronger around 6:45 AM.
