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I let Mitch hit the softballs you lobbed up.

Tick tick Courtesy of a meteorologist from another forum.

Are you just repeating what your wife's been telling you all these years?

Good happy hour. I’m not going to kick a 2-4” event out of bed if that’s what it ends up being.

I know there's a lot of focus obviously on this upcoming weekend, but did anyone else notice that guidance has been showing a decent window around the March 3-5 period now for a few days? We'll see if that's real, but I'm getting a bit intrigued now that something has been showing up around then.

Yeah, euro had a much better evolution than it's been showing previously. Keep getting those little adjustments at 00z...

I mean, even as is, much of SE PA gets a light 1-3" snow from the H5 pass on the Euro. I don't think there's a single model that is a complete whiff.

Bad call. Major improvement vs. 12Z, both in surface low being over 100 miles NW and actually getting 1-3" along 95 and 3-4" towards the NJ coast, vs nada at 12Z. Looks similar to 6Z which people were gushing over.

Weathergeek - how do we feel about euro AI your favorite looking terrible still, while every other model improved? Wondering how you are handling this emotionally. .

Sounds like the 18z Euro was an improvement, though baby steps, compared to 12z

better as in still a miss but closer

Eps and euro op are quite similiar. Both made a big west shift.

Some of the earlier runs reminded me of Juno.

Still needs a lot it seems, but we still have about a 100hrs to go yet

Yes a definite improvement. I hope Tonights 00z runs continue the trends we've seen at 18z

Or, better yet, do what the GFS does and turn that more meridional. In that position it would close it off just south of LI

again, 12z was very bad. Better as in good? or better as in still a miss but closer?

18z euro a huge positive step towards gfs/cmc. I just hope it’s not an off run hiccup. If we build off it at 00z we’re in the game.

With how rare those events are I'd never turn one away.

Again, we can work with that look at 500mb the big verbatim hits are fun and give that dopamine rush, but at this lead time all we need is for the pieces to be in play

Having flashbacks to Juno . Just kept coming NW starting day 5

EPS better!

From DT: THIS WEEK IN WX VIDEO TONIGHT LETS MONGER ABOUT SUNDAY MONDAY POSSIBLE EAST COAST WINTER STORM Just to give you all a clue…..Yesterday and again this morning and again this evening. NOAA/ NWS flew reconnaissance aircraft into the eastern Pacific to get a better sampling of the upper atmosphere and to make up for the loss of data from closure of several key weather stations in the upper planes in Midwest, which used to end up with the balloons to gather information about the atmosphere. The fact that the national weather service had to send out extra planes into the eastern, pacific to gather this data speaks to how badly the overall weather models have performed recently because of the lack of information from the weather stations that have been partially shut down in the upper Midwest. Guess what happened when they flew those planes and gather the extra data? They were a huge changes in what the models are showing is going to happen for Sunday Monday. Full details and discussion tonight on the weather video around 1030pm