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12z GEFS looking a little interesting.. Hopefully we can end this boring stretch..

I don't think the super El Nino in-and-of itself is an absolute death knell for December, but it is when combined with descending solar and +QBO.

I'm pretty sure it's a GFS long range bias... It's been spitting out fantasy range hurricanes in that region for like the past month it feels like. Goes away a few days then pops up again in that same time frame.

JB in his latest Schoenberg Salt Video Winter Update is now saying NYC gets near normal snowfall - seems reasonable

82 here, pretty humid.

Fantasy Land GFS today has a buzzsaw at 928 going through Cuba and up the east Florida coast.

Something to keep an eye on albeit fantasy land GFS has been consistently throwing a hurricane through the Caribbean into Florida last three days. The 12Z today has a 928 buzzsawing through Cuba the up the east side of Florida.

AC back on today and tomorrow-maybe done for season after this-looks cool Sat into next week

I'll say...it was very weird last week wearing a Pats jersey on the couch while wearing shorts and not jeans. Will be even more weird on September 29 if I'm wearing a Bruins jersey with shorts. In fact, depending on which jersey I'm wearing I may not even need pants because a few of them are game replicas so on the longer side.

Yes...this weekend is when I consider summer, and 80s over.

Made it up to 84 before the clouds arrived

I'm kind of fine with punting December. We haven't really had much cold and snow the past few years anyway in that month. Granted, I don't want 70s... but it seems as many knowledgeable posters have stated across the numerous threads... December is gone

That's going to go bye-bye over the weekend. Pretty good early cold in mid/N Ontario scooting into the Maritime of Canada, and the big polar high associated goes over-top our latitude Sunday. Coolest look we've seen since spring Thickness are below 560 much more convincingly for a couple days early next week. We'll bounce back, but at the continental scale this appears to be a kind of first step in seasonality, although it looks more pattern specific. Still, it is nearing the Equinox so some sort of 'step down' isn't outlandish. Doesn't mean we wont get a warm humid but the 570s ambience might be done until next spring.

Yea, I used that chart in my last blog....likely explains the continuation of the warm pool east of Japan.

Dews near or over 70 out there. Feels awesome . Endless summer rolls on

A little sticky but pleasant out there to start today..been clearing out some old brush in the back and it def has that summery feel to the air which is nice when everyone and their grandma seems to be ready to close the books on this precious season. Gotta enjoy it while we still can.

Last September we had <0.50" for the whole month, so this year is much wetter. Sitting at 2.76 for the month already here.

Been such a snoozer up my way for the longest time.

.25” rain this morning. Very very nice. Next week looks incredible!!!

we're gonna be doing a lot of torching this winter

AAM is an abbreviation for Atmospheric Angular Momentum try searing on the full text instead of AAM -

You can tell we are slowly getting to that warm ENSO state. Plenty of +U in the NH. Still some residual ridging out west of the Aleutians but even that’s weakening and probably flattens out with time.