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like clockwork. You need to get this working in the winter again

NWS talking 850mb temps below freezing here next week.

.83. Must have had a huge downpour since my last post

Coastal late week ?

I read an article in the NYT recently that said that the recovery effort cost the government $140 Billion. The gist of the article was how little there is to show for it as so much of the money went to politically connected consultants and the government bureaucracy that wasted it either through incompetence or outright fraud and corruption.

is it really? we had four 50"+ winters out of six from 2009-10 to 2014-15. it was ridiculous we also had similarly crappy stretches in the 70s-90s, we just had a lot more 10-15" winters than the single digit ones (not all that much better IMO)

Agreed, but the reversion is rather extreme. I mean c'mon: 2021-2022: 17.9" 2022-2023: 2.3" 2023-2024: 7.5" 2024-2025: 12.9 " (despite the sustained cold). That streak is more anomalous in my opinion than the snowy 2010s pattern.

Steined

No flowers this season. I actually have an older Chestnut tree down in our lower field that I planted about 2 years earlier than these. It is supposed to be blight resistant too. It didn't flower this season, but is about 4 feet taller than the one I pictured.

The 87 year old father of one of my best friends passed as a result. My friend and his wife had moved from NO to ATL 30 years earlier. His father and mother were living in a house in N.O. They unfortunately hadn’t evacuated. The water rose so fast! Inside the house, he went under and wasn’t seen by his mother coming back up. There was nothing she could do. They also had a several years old cat, who was nowhere to be seen. She was devastated, but she then needed to save her own life. His mother, then ~76 year old, amazingly survived by (as I recall my friend saying) standing on a wall on the property attached to the house and standing on it for hours (while I think holding on to the adjacent roof to keep her balance if I’m recalling this correctly) until rescuers in a boat could get to her. Can you imagine a 76 year old being strong enough to do that physically and emotionally after what she had just seen happen to her husband of 55 years?! His mother then moved to Atlanta to live with her son/daughter in law. My devastated friend weeks later had to go to N.O. to identify his father’s dead body. Can you imagine how terrible an experience that must have been? That’s not the end of the story. After my friend identified his father’s body and then checked out the totaled house, he starting hearing meows nearby. Lo and behold, it was his parents’ cat, which though malnourished, miraculously survived and was ok!! That cat later came back home to ATL, got back to full health, and lived another 10+ years! His mother lived about another 18 years! Things like this remind me to always be grateful for quiet seasons or at least seasons with few or no landfalls.

so they warn this line, but not the earlier one?

I’m broken. Going to finish with a trace with no rain in sight.

lol that warned storm is gonna barely miss my area it looks like. Can’t be greedy though I suppose

Got a couple rounds at home. Looks like Kevin will get something. PVD ftw today.

Got some dark skies to my north

Providence about to get rocked.

I'll buy that. It got my attention because its a super thin line on the visible satellite and has barely moved since sunrise, although the apparent source has shifted east by a few miles. Drizzle is better.

Can we get a Winter thread going already!? The withdrawal symptoms are killing me..

Nice line developing, draping SW into C CT. Building cloud tops.

i earnestly believe that some of what's been occurring for the last few years is regression to the mean that 20 year stretch was insane... NYC averaged 34" of snow from 2002-03 to 2020-21. that was not going to last

Forecast was mostly sunny for today last night. Now it says 20% chance of showers after 2 and has pretty much been cloudy today.

For the statewide averages, I expect Pennsylvania to check in around 67.9F for the month of August, and West Virginia around 70.0F, both of which are around 50th coldest August of record (since 1895). Meteorological summer should finish around 70.5F for Pennsylvania and 72.5F for West Virginia. That would finish up as 14th warmest for the State of Pennsylvania (since 1895) and tied for 7th warmest for West Virginia (since 1895), with 1901, 1949 & 1952. If anything, I think this projection might be slightly low for August but should be within about 0.1F of the final summer tally IMO, as I would have to be more than 0.3F off for August to be more than 0.1F off for the summer as a whole. Although the statewide numbers are so crowded that even a tenth of a degree can swing things a few places as evidenced by all the multi-year ties.

I’m getting ready for severe. Those cells popping in ASH area are strengthening and are immediately preceded by a period of limited clouds, during peak ISR. Primed.

Today is the 20th anniversary of Katrina’s landfall along the Gulf Coast. I was a young tropical weenie during the 2005 season and I could not believe the devastation in New Orleans and along the Alabama and Mississippi coast. The human tragedy is beyond words. Feel free to share your stories and reflections here.

After a generally hot and humid summer, August is closing out on significantly cooler than normal. August mean should drop around 0.9F with the last 3 days factored in, with the 3-month summer average dropping around 0.3F (0.9F/3). Looking at some long-term "threaded" climate sites, PIT should finish around 73.9F, which would drop us from a 3-way tie for 11th (1877, 1880) to a 2-way tie for 16th place in the threaded record (1878). At Wheeling, summer should finish around 73.4F, dropping from a 2-way tie for 5th (2010), down to 8th place. Note - lengthy gap here from the mid 50s to late 90s... not a whole lot of hot summers in that stretch but at least a couple are missing that can be seen in the PIT and MGW threads (e.g., 1991 & 1995). Morgantown should finish around 73.9F, dropping from 7th place to a 3-way tie for 11th place (2005, 1991).