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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Torch Tiger replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
18z looks really good. I know NE esp. ENE is death knell for thunderstorm activity, but that overall UL/ML look is really good right to the coast with fast-moving shortwaves ripping along the southern end of westerlies. -
Yeah. That was a brief storm with a lot of thunder and lightning and a quick downpour.
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Seems like a pretty healthy inflow feeding the storm. Might sustain for a time after sunset Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wow that was posted early -
Broad rotation south of Three Springs
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Yeah, for all the complaining it actually felt better this morning when it was cloudy and misty lol.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Damage In Tolland replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Seacoast of NH . An extension of the worst climate in the lower 48 of coastal ME in Spring and summer. Just a little better being farther SW. Typically cloudy and cool even in a humid regime. -
We did a street fair in Chatham (NY) and it was unpleasantly hot, probably about 95 on the sunny side of the street where we were and stifling with the humidity and no wind.
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Just a couple days until the halfway point of Met summer. After that we have extended summer for a month or so before actual Fall begins lol. Raven's training camp begins in 2 days when rookies report. I can feel it coming..
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was in Lake Geneva today, sky is milky white with the wildfire smoke, hints of burning plastic outside. bleh
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LoboLeader1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Communities in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies that historically dealt with milder winters now face more frequent extreme conditions. Meanwhile, areas that typically prepared for brutal winters, from New England down through the Mid-Atlantic, are seeing their severe weather expectations shift. https://studyfinds.org/winter-weather-moving-west-how-the-polar-vortex-rewriting-americas-cold-map/ -
Tons of thunder. Not one drop of rain.
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Light winds/low shear means pulsy convection for now. That should change going forward with some UL energy and a front approaching.
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Narrator: Nothing happened.
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Went on a little 2.75mile hike just now. It's too swampy out. I will say the goose island mango on my mind is perfect for this weather. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and warm with readings generally in the lower 80s. A warm front will cross the region tomorrow night and Tuesday with some showers and thundershowers. Some locations have the potential to receive excessive amounts of rain. Afterward, it will turn somewhat warmer. The heat will likely peak on Thursday and Friday with highs topping out in the upper 80s and perhaps lower 90s. A warm weekend will follow. No widespread and sustained excessive or record-challenging heat appears likely through the first three weeks of July. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around July 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer. The SOI was +16.68 Friday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.219 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 79% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.2° (1.7° above normal). -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
wdrag replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
No thread as of 609P/13 but since PHI has a Flood Watch posted..am leaning to an issuance as an OBS-NOW FF thread at 6A Monday... all of the above pertains. Will also look and see if I need to combine the wfront/qstry front additional for Tuesday. Have a good night. -
Truly bizarre the lack of sustaining any convection with this airmass. Have had some storms blow up nearby today then simply disintegrate into nothing. Another dropless day.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The waves are what make the beach great… -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I ran into a lot of interesting people down in Long Beach. Was having lunch at a local restaurant and Al Green came in and took a table near me. Then I was grocery shopping one day and Joan Jett was in the store at the same time. My friend was at a dinner party back in the 1980s at a boardwalk condo and Taylor Dayne stopped by. -
never ending mid-upper 70s dewpoints.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I loved walking right across lol -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
LanghorneSnow replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Flood watch is for tomorrow. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The best Chinese restaurant on the South Shore in the old days used to be right at the base of the Atlantic Beach bridge.