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It's nice that EVERYONE is benefitting for once with these little ticks, and there's no robbing Peter to pay Paul scenario.

You guys start as rain and transition to snow through the evening. 30/20 here.. expecting 2-3”

The fluff factor has certainly been in the back of my mind too and I would generally go higher because of that, however, when looking at soundings, I am just not seeing much in the way of lift…and in order for us to maximize the ratio potential, we need lift!!

Makes me tempted to drive back tonight to home

Central park measuring is a joke. That storm in February had most places in NYC at 4-5” and they were at 3”. Last year, the 1/19 storm; most of the city had 3-5” and they had like 1.8”. Saving grace is this storm comes in at night so maybe that’ll reduce melting as the snow falls. I’d still expect some white rain at the onset because temps are still warm right now.

45/33 in Haymarket at 3:35. Not expecting to see any white on the ground tomorrow am. In my experience these setups usually do much better at least 75 miles north and east of here.

42 DP 31. Wet bulb 38 with a westerly wind at my station. Not very friendly for snow at the start

dam 3k NAM is just about a KU not bad with invt snows hanging on into the afternoon!

Snow was definitely beefier than expected in the Midwest. Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Columbus, Pittsburgh went under winter storm warnings but yesterday they were only under winter weather advisories. Maybe it’s a good sign to see more snow than expected to our west. Hopefully that transfers to our area

Overcast and 39.6 here currently.

Up in NYC since last night for holiday lights and a show with Beth and the kids and haven’t been following the models today - but the WWA up here just upped to 3” - 5” up to 6” for this area.

Only it falls by 7am. Anything after that they won't measure until 1pm and it will have compressed by then. It's a very old story that hasn't changed much through the years.

When is the white gold supposed to start falling in Lancaster, York and Dauphin Counties? .

Shit drawers pattern >>> shit the blinds pattern

Thank you. Scared some of us Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

I am not nearly as conservative you are Wiz, but your concerns are valid... Sometimes we tend to look for more reasons for it to snow and not emphasis any negative aspects... I'm ok with 1 to 2 north of the 84 corridor but have been wary about hitting +2-inch amounts too hard... 2 to 3 southwards into the coastal plain with 4-inch spots. I might be under-playing fluff factor, but need to see fronto zone come northward a bit before I become more bullish across northern third of CT. Slight norward shift would be enough for me to become more bullish...

Im gonna enjoy it for sure down here!

Snow is falling currently

3-5” there

We've had snow on the ground here since November 29th. But right now its frigid and dry with the arctic air funneling in. With the east coast finally getting some snow, the thread explosion is the last thing I expected to see

I agree. Most short term guidance has upped the ante for both counties.

BALMY 48 back bay barnegat, NJ. Sweating in my hoodie working on my boat. Doesn't feel like snow.

But glad snow on the shore isn't starting until overnight. Have to make a 2+ hour trip to Stamford from Springfield right now

Subtract 15-20 degrees.

So much to think about...it's only a clipper...but the mid-level vorticity is potent...but the antecedent air mass was bone dry...but the height falls are impressive...but the surface high is too far south...but the low level winds are from the warm ocean advecting moisture...at the least, this will be an interesting winter event; if it were mild, we say we need this ~0.30 " of precip and go on our ways! Love the wx and the meteo!