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I never plant up here until Mother’s Day.

Rumble just now. That’s a wrap for convective season.

We are seeing elements of the spring 2023 pattern with how early and strongly this El Niño is developing. That year had a shift to stronger blocking in late April following early record 90 warmth. Notice the 2 matching dates from 2023 and how close in time the record warmth was. So it’s possible that this week will turn out to be the warmest we see for a while. But rainfall has been generally disappointing. Maybe the developing STJ can allow for some better rainfall opportunities especially by the early summer like we saw in 2023. Newark Area, NJPeriod of record: 1893-05-01 through 2026-04-16DateHighest maximum temperatures (degrees F)Top Record 2nd Record 3rd Record 4/13 92 in 2023 86 in 1977 84 in 2018+ 4/14 93 in 2023 89 in 2026 88 in 2022+ 4/15 91 in 2026 88 in 1960 87 in 1941 4/16 92 in 2002 90 in 2026 89 in 1896

Looks like 60’s to near 70 middle/ end of next week

s tier lake fog last 12 hours one of my fav times of year

If the trough is east of us, probably not much which isn’t good either since many of us are back in a drought.

friday evening mood remnants, nothing wrong with that

I am curious to see how much rain we actually get vs just low clouds and onshore flow.

Yes, we have had numerous 90°+ events in the Northeast during developing El Niños in April. But the 500mb forecast most closely matches 2023 with a shift to strong blocking. Makes sense since this one is coupling with the atmosphere and is much stronger early on like 2023.

Got about a tenth inch of rainfall overnight to settle everything down. Was very foggy with a temp of 50 degrees this morning.

Thank you CC!

We’re done for the season

650 days until NYC sees greater than 1”

Meh

.15 rain last night.

I picked up .23" last night. It's a start. The air smells great this morning. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

.42" since midnight.../ 55 F

If this is true, then the last part of April is going to feature Top 5 record cold. I don't see it happening. April is going to finish with at least a mean temperature of 57. I mean, 2023 ended at 57.6, and that last part of April was really cold. Warmer than normal April should be locked at 100% at this point.

0.46". Decent thunder and lightening around 11pm. 3.99" for the month Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

The euro Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Unfortunately I just looked this morning. Same for Georgia. Absolutely zilch through May 3rd. You would think with the heat we would get some rogue tstorms. Big fat nothing. The clay has turned into permanent cement, and is now starting to crack open in many spots on my property.

Should have dropped fert and seed. Dammit.

Sign me up for this all summer. Bring back thunderstorms! Also, bring back nocturnal light shows. We talk about this often, but nocturnal t-storms of the early 2000s definitely shaped my passion for weather.