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.75 of rain in Marysville yesterday.

Everyone on social media are calling for a brutal winter in the east.

Gefs is closer

Negligible. I seem to recall you questioning whether there was a discernible difference between ENSO neutral and weak La Nina when people were questioning whether this would become an official La Nina....is that particular take context dependent?

Your solar must be ringing up credits.

Low of 70 with .2” of rain.

Looking at the overnight trends of the models and current state of the developing pattern; I am comfortable to say outside of high surf and rip currents, Erin is no threat to the East Coastlines. Bermuda though still needs to keep an eye to see how close it can get with effects though.

0.86" of rain recorded in the Tremley Point section of Linden NJ yesterday, 0.87" for the month of August, so far...

can confirm it is well worth it, no electric bill here since going solar in 2017 I feel bad for some people still paying the power company

IMO we are more “Niña” than 13-14 was

Yeah, remarkable subsurface warmth well beyond anything that we have seen before. So these record low -PDO values are just scratching the surface. We saw how quickly the SSTs rebounded after last winter. So this new dynamic helps this pattern to really persist.

Yesterday's dense fog made for a nice sunrise above it.

Is this guy legit?

Yeah. My cousin lives near BDR and it's torched there. Tons of trees and plants dying and lawns completely dead.

We pop up? Nothing on radar.

Just can't get those good rains this summer. Ended up with 0.20". That makes 0.22" for the month so far.

Quite some damage in Southwick yesterday afternoon. Lots of roads closed due to trees down this A.M. Had to detour three times between Westfield and Simsbury

I don't necessarily agree with this. Its a good polar and ENSO analog.

Yep shame We need interesting weather

It Just Doesn't Matter...

Congrats RI to SE MA today. Needed yesterday west of there. Next 10 looo dry and boring as dong

Yesterday was the first time since July 2, 2021 that saw Newark and White Plains pick up 1" or more of rain, while JFK Airport, LaGuardia Airport, and Central Park had less than 1" of rain. It was the first time where Bridgeport received no precipitation when Newark and White Plains picked up 1" or more of rain, while JFK Airport, LaGuardia Airport, and Central Park had less than 1" of rain.

Unless there is a very radical shift in the PDO to a Victoria mode between now and December, I would not have 13-14 as an analog. The blooming -IOD also doesn’t fit, neither does ENSO

70/69 warm start.

66.1° with some light fog.