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We're going tomorrow...how crowded is it? This is amazing beach weather
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks, Don. It will be interesting to see if 2026 beats 1998’s 100 days! As you said, the record of the daily SOs goes back only to 1991. I wonder if there’s any way to find dailies pre-1991. Based on the monthlies, I’d say that 1982-3 would have a 50% or higher chance of having a streak exceeding 100 days if the dailies could be found. Why? These monthlies, especially Nov-Mar: 1982 8 -22.2 1 1982 9 -20.0 1 1982 10 -20.5 1 1982 11 -30.0 1 1982 12 -22.6 1 1983 1 -31.4 1 1983 2 -35.7 1 1983 3 -25.7 1 Another good candidate per the monthlies is 1905, especially Mar-June: 1905 2 -18.5 3 1905 3 -27.7 1 1905 4 -38.2 1 1905 5 -34.3 1 1905 6 -27.7 1 1905 7 -19.8 1 One last good possibility is 1896, especially May-Aug: 1896 5 -38.8 3 1896 6 -27.0 1 1896 7 -19.1 1 1896 8 -21.0 1 1896 9 -18.2 1 1896 10 -19.2 1 -
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Could generate some waterspouts.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep, extent is doing worse than area as compared to recent years. -
The soil here has dried out again so I'll be watering the vegetable garden today for the first time in awhile. It's great that we pulled out of the severe drought, but we're still in a moderate drought and need more rain. So hopefully early to mid next week will deliver. In the meantime this low humidity weather is spectacular. The dewpoint here right now is only 51 -- feels great.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It looks like it’s staying close to 2012 to date but 2012 wasn’t at record low levels yet on this date in 2012. It fell off a cliff in August. -
D5 slight yellow highlighted risk issued for mid Atlantic Carolina’s and parts of east tn area https://vxtwitter.com/iembot_mrx/status/2080573716241473618?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg .
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Yeah, pretty much anywhere north of downtown did pretty well. DEN picked up over half an inch, about in line with what models were showing a few days out.
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62 for overnight low and windows wide open and maintaining 47-52% indoor humidity
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Utterly terrible weather for late July. Let's save this for autumn. Wish it were in the 90s.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Don’t be surprised if the models like the Euro increase the El Niño regions SST forecasts again on August 5th once the effects of this near record WWB get incorporated into the new model run.
