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18z Euro ... wow yall

This appears to be a long duration event, that alot of overrunning

You didn't get any accumulation yesterday? I guess the further west the best. Central Park recorded 1.0.

Jesus lol

The 18Z Euro over SE AR and N MS its like 1 inch of freezing rain in 6 hours

May need WSW for Jacksonville and Orlando toward end of AIFS run lol

Clara Peller would ask, "Where's the blocking?!?"

Euro would've been pretty good

I, for one, will actually believe the AI solutions for now. Is it because I'm a weenie? Probably a little bit of bias there, but I just feel like in the last two winters, once the Euro AI locks onto a solution it will stay there. I can't say that about the GFS and the Euro that always heartbreaks us.

The back edge has moved about 12 miles in 45 mins, lets not exaggerate too much.

18z euro nice and amped. Faster too. Snow already falling across much of the area by mid-day Saturday.

18z regular euro. It’s trying

Match 2024? That winter sucked bad…I don’t remember any cold and suppression?

Euro has snow breaking out mid morning Saturday with temps in the single digits.

That and the correlation coefficient are enemies of snow

WB 18Z GFS, AI GFS, EURO, and EURO AI at Day 6.

What a wintry day. Solid pack and light snow at dusk. A few cold days coming up and plenty of tracking ahead!!

On a lighter note, that was also the storm that gave us that snow shoveling dispute where that guy snuffed out his bullying psychopath neighbors in NE PA.

It’s so hard to figure out.

The AIFS has never really been snow for the eastern valley, but its ensemble has. I haven't looked at the 18z ensemble yet. The actual operational Euro look about right IMHO.

We rip

hour 141 on the normal Euro:

Legit snow rates now. Thankfully it’s lighter than this morning for shoveling purposes.

The BIG difference is how the AI models are handling hp. They are quicker to move it east which allows precip to nose northward. The deterministic runs hold much more hp behind the system. I will have to look at trends to see if one set is moving to another.

Meh mostly missed out on yesterday. Was like a degree too warm here. This morning was ok though.