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  2. That area of town there is in a low valley too. Coventry as a whole is fairly hilly
  3. Oh the Coventry, CT data ended in 1990... ok that makes sense of 5/26 back then. No way that still holds true 30+ years later.
  4. I think we forgot the essence of spring The idea that a "normal" April day in the Susquehanna Valley is a comfortable 65/45 split is more of a mathematical ghost than a daily reality. A 30-year rolling window analysis of Harrisburg-Middletown records from 1995 to 2024 reveals that April is less of a steady seasonal climb and more of a chaotic tug-of-war between competing air masses. While 65°F is indeed the mid-month mean, the standard deviation is a staggering 10.5°F—nearly double the volatility seen in the summer months—meaning the "average" is rarely the actual experience. The statistical distribution for April proves this "battle of extremes." In a stable month like July, about 61% of days fall within 5 degrees of the daily normal. In April, that frequency drops to just 35%. Instead of temperatures clustering around the mean in a standard bell curve, the data shows a flattened, high-dispersion pattern. We are far more likely to be swung into a late-winter cold snap or an early-summer heat spike than to sit at the theoretical average. By the time May arrives, the atmosphere begins to settle, with the standard deviation tightening and about 41% of days staying near the mean. April, however, remains the ultimate transitional wildcard. The "normal" day exists on paper, but the month is defined by its swings rather than its stats. If you're planning for a 65-degree afternoon, you're betting on the narrow middle ground of a month that statistically prefers to live in the extremes. [mention=317]Voyager[/mention] your wish on consistency in April is basically a fig dream. That's just not the reality that exists in Pennsylvania. Consistency is for June, July, August Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  5. It was 38 here this morning on a forecast low of 45.
  6. What's the climo period for that one? No way the past 30 years last 32F average is 5/26 there?
  7. Yes while you on the hills mean last freeze is 4/30 Coventry down the road from you mean last freeze is 5/26
  8. I would have done it yesterday but was so irritated by the chilly winds and clouds decided to do Saturday this coming weekend
  9. Egads.... don't turn the wind onshore this summer.
  10. Damn Scott hope you are right. Need consistency with 70s 80s none of this 30s bullshit in the mornings either. EPS LR looks like the past month. A couple days here and there like today and tomorrow but crap overall if expecting long periods of summer. Looks much better by June
  11. Always early May . We don’t frost or freeze after May 1
  12. I'm already pre-pissed so when it happens I'm not as disappointed.
  13. This is true. It's much cooler in Tamaqua, then adding in that a lot of my work puts me in Hazleton, which is even colder than Tamaqua, and you can see my frustration. Also, a malfunctioning thyroid makes me even more cold intolerant, and there you have it. A perfect recipe for complaining. So I too will apologize. Perhaps I need to tone it down and respect other folks' likes and preferences.
  14. The slight lowering from March does though jibe with the slight downward trend of these WCS dailies:
  15. I can't imagine it is going to be very much longer before we start seeing wide spread water restrictions. This summer is going to be fire danger hell.
  16. Today
  17. Low of only 46 here. A couple of nice days ahead before the rain moves in. Not sure what all the fuss is about in here. April in the northeast almost always means roller coaster temps. Sometimes that leads to a cold month, sometimes warm, but either way it's an up and down adventure. As @Itstrainingtime noted, we just came off a very warm April, so let's have some perspective. I also don't mind the sports banter sprinkled in, especially when it's done in passing in the midst of weather talk. No biggie at all, and if anything adds some excitement to the board during down times. I'm not a fan of having another banter thread and I'm not sure it's really worked out. In any case, get outside and touch some grass. Lord knows the May sun can make even a chilly day feel good. Onward.
  18. My partly cloudy has turned into unexpected rainfall. Not a lot but will take it. @Met1985, definitely looks like another strong front. This will delay my garden by about a week. I sure didn't see that coming after weeks of temps in the low to upper 80s. What a flip!
  19. Spending a couple days in Savannah for my anniversary. Perfect weather yesterday and today! Beautiful!!!
  20. April PDO -1.48 (actually lower than March's -1.43 PDO). This is a huge surprise, especially if we're heading towards a super el nino. 1972 (-1.70), 2009 (-2.23), and 2023 (-3.08) are the only strong/super el ninos that had a lower PDO in April. 1972 and 2023, of course, stayed negative, while 2009 went towards a neutral PDO.
  21. I’m gonna be super pissed if the weather gods pull this one away.
  22. Seems to be good model agreement on a subforum-wide soaking rain
  23. Many lower spots reached the 30's this morning with the Warwick DEOS the chilliest at 30.9 degrees. We warm up nicely today to near normal highs around 70 today. We warm to close to 80 degrees tomorrow before we start another cooling trend. Shower chances also look to increase Wednesday into Thursday before we clear up on Friday. Below normal temperatures look likely from Thursday through the weekend.
  24. Many lower spots reached the 30's this morning with the Warwick DEOS the chilliest at 30.9 degrees. We warm up nicely today to near normal highs around 70 today. We warm to close to 80 degrees tomorrow before we start another cooling trend. Shower chances also look to increase Wednesday into Thursday before we clear up on Friday. Below normal temperatures look likely from Thursday through the weekend.
  25. Beggers can't be choosers. The ground is so dry that even last weeks rainfall the ground just soaked up super quick but either way we need rain.
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