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  2. LakePaste25
    They’re just delaying the inevitable. It’ll happen, whether it’s the last week of October or sometime in November.
  3. NorthHillsWx
    https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/E/W/OBS_Radar.html Wild radar loop showing land interaction heavily influencing track (normal for cyclones near Taiwan)
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Huge fail for AI models. Champi just made landfall on Taiwan
  5. GaWx
    Thanks, Chris. Good find! I went further and looked at all ATL Octs for +1.3+ Ninos back to the late 1800s (24 of them) and found only three that were 1.8+ warmer than normal, which is ~where the full Oct 2026 is projected. But they were all only higher end moderate: 1918 (+1.4 Nino): 65.8 (3.1 AN) 1941 (+1.3 Nino): 69.4 (5.9 AN) 2002 (+1.3 Nino): 65.4 (1.8 AN) The full Oct 2026 is projected to come out to ~66.1F or ~1.8 AN, which would tie with 1899 for the warmest vs normal for any Nino stronger than +1.4 AN (I count 17 of them back to late 1800s). The warmest ATL Oct anomalies of El Niños stronger than +1.4 vs normal are: 1899 (1.8 AN) 1991 (1.6 AN) 2023 (1.4 AN) 1986 (1.2 AN) 1994 (1.1 AN)
  6. forkyfork
    you're avoiding my question
  7. WmsptWx
    I saw earlier this morning where as we go into November, the chances of AN precip and temps increase after the first week of November, as el Niño ramps up, so this next stretch of dry may be it for a while.
  8. A-L-E-K
  9. CAPE
    Seeing some decent color now. Can tell winter is coming with all the light coming in on the south side now.
  10. canderson
    Yikes
  11. Terpeast
    This is what I mean when I say goa low butting up against the west coast and zonal flow across the east. I think winter will look something like this
  12. WeatherGeek2025
    Cold day! Blustery fall dry day! I'm not sure I like it especially when I didn't pick up my jacket!
  13. Today
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    Lopressor generic name [url=http://pulseguarddirect.com/#]Lopressor side effects list[/url] Toprol xl uses
  15. Itstrainingtime
    Pretty crazy 7 day QPF map considering how far away the closest rain is to us as well as how long it's been since it last rained.
  16. Avdave
    Beautiful mornings this past week and it looks to continue. This has been so nice.
  17. Keith Central PA
    So when it snows will you come back here and say you were wrong? You predicting 0 snow for NYC I guess..ok we'll see in March if you were right. And if you are I will commend you forky!
  18. Stormlover74
    Umm WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 32 possible.
  19. forkyfork
    how is forcing going to shift west if the entire warm pool is in the east pacific?
  20. forkyfork
    those events were not this strong or far east. the vortex isn't going to move
  21. Keith Central PA
    Because patterns change in every winter for a time. It did in 83 and 2016 briefly and we got historic blizzards. To say it can't snow is a pretty bold statement no matter what agenda you have.
  22. WmsptWx
    Nothing brings a weather forum to a grinding halt more than posts about climate change. I await Chesco's response.
  23. roardog
    They’ve been trying to go to a N Pacific low after day 10 for about a month now but it never materializes closer in time. I guess we’ll see if it finally does this time.
  24. forkyfork
    someone tell me how the east coast is going to get a snowstorm with that vortex parked there all winter
  25. WinterWolf
    Exactly what you want in late October. Today isn’t warm though…but it feels like a good solid autumn day. Mid 50’s with a cooling breeze…perfect.
  26. NorthHillsWx
    44.6 this morning. What a stretch of weather
  27. A-L-E-K
    the look starting to take shape
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