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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
PDO up to -.19 today. -
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I like hearing this, I am doing a vacation around Lake Huron and Lake Superior coming back in through Minnesota in a few weeks. I look forward to leaf peeping.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 4 on latest UKMET strengthened slightly from a peak of ~+1.3 in Sep on the Aug run to a peak of ~+1.4 in Nov on the new run: Aug run: peak of ~+1.3 in Sep (non-relative) Sep run: peak of ~+1.4 in Nov (non-relative) -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Windspeed replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It's going to be some chaotic modeling with any potential WCARIB gyre until we actually get a gyre and low genesis. Best watch with huge clumps of salt. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How about region 4? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The UKMET, which pretty much nailed the 2023 ONI peak of ~+2.0, just updated for Sept: it peaks at ~+3.3 in Nov: The prior run (Aug) had peaked at only +3.1: Regarding Nino 1+2, it also strengthened: New run: a little >+4 (this like for 3.4 above is not relative and thus doesn’t taken into account GW well): Prior run (Aug): ~+3.8 -
Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
colonel717 replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Absolutely. I didn't understand that 3 years ago and misdiagnosed it as a Modoki signal. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Brian5671 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Nice morning here with the cold front having gone through-sun in a bit 65 degrees -
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I’m on the Stein Train.. When it comes to rain .. I can never get enough .. I’m on the Stein train..Lawn and shrubs crashed and burned I’ll be dry like a Stein train Burning from his flame Feeling like I’m in Steins brain One more Stein Saturday night -
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Pretty 97-98 like, only better. Models seem to be thinking heavy mountain snow, some snow/mix/rain events for the piedmont and mainly rain east.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
yotaman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
The GFS has had that storm for days now hitting south Florida but after that it is all over the place. -
I dunno... I remember concerns about it. I think it was ERC and something else that weakened it
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Tomorrow looks rainy -
Heard the pouring earlier - managed to pickup 0.73" Not bad...
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Through a third of the month Dep through 10th PHL: + 4.9 TTN: +3.2 EWR: +2.7 JFK: +2.6 ISP: +2.1 LGA: +1.1 NYC: + 0.5
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Euro AI is wet. If Nam was wet I’d buy in more, but this looks like synoptic rains north and convective stuff south. What else is new.
