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This weekend looks super cold... colder than this past shot

If we get another inch of snow, Wake County will cancel school for the rest of the week.

I figured that had to be the case. To pick it apart further - I can see where "maybe" there's a slim chance its happened for all 100 before - but would include IP and FZRA/ZR. That being said - this has to be the first time ever for all 100 to verify WSW for all Snow. Has to be. Right?

It looks like the webmaster at the NWS has some updates to make after yesterday and today!!! TRI-CITIES TN DAILY NORMALS AND RECORDS FEBRUARY MAX MIN AVG HDD CDD PCPN REC HIGH REC LOW REC PCPN 1 48 27 37 28 0 0.13 70 1988 4 1980 1.56 1985 2 48 27 37 28 0 0.13 71 1989 0 1971 1.22 1974 3 48 27 38 27 0 0.13 74 1989 -4 1965 1.28 2022 4 48 27 38 27 0 0.13 71 2025 -9 1996 1.76 1943 5 49 27 38 27 0 0.13 71 2008 -15 1996 1.43 2020 6 49 28 38 27 0 0.13 73 2025 0 1996 2.60 2020 7 49 28 38 27 0 0.13 76 2019 0 1978 0.97 2018 8 49 28 38 26 0 0.13 73 2025 6 1984 0.62 2017 9 49 28 39 26 0 0.13 72 2023 1 1995 2.48 1994 10 50 28 39 26 0 0.14 73 1939 1 1979 1.66 1946 11 50 28 39 26 0 0.13 76 1965 4 1955 1.42 2018 12 50 29 39 26 0 0.14 74 2017 -1 1981 1.58 2023 13 50 29 40 25 0 0.13 72 1961 -2 1955 1.62 1991 14 51 29 40 25 0 0.14 75 1950 3 1971 1.09 1946 15 51 29 40 25 0 0.14 76 1954 1 1960 1.26 1964 16 51 29 40 25 0 0.14 72 2023 3 1958 1.44 1990 17 51 30 40 24 0 0.15 72 2022 -3 1958 1.75 1944 18 52 30 41 24 0 0.14 70 1948 -5 1958 1.31 1991 19 52 30 41 24 0 0.15 78 1939 -5 1958 0.95 1999 20 52 30 41 24 0 0.14 79 2018 -13 2015 1.06 1967 21 53 31 42 24 0 0.14 82 2018 7 1958 0.96 1993 22 53 31 42 23 0 0.14 80 2018 3 1963 1.85 2003 23 53 31 42 23 0 0.14 80 2018 6 1978 1.83 2019 24 53 31 42 23 0 0.13 77 2017 4 1967 1.53 2022 25 54 31 42 22 0 0.14 74 2000 -1 1967 1.78 1961 26 54 32 43 22 0 0.14 80 1977 4 1967 1.14 1958 27 54 32 43 22 0 0.13 74 1996 2 1963 1.02 1987 28 55 32 43 22 0 0.14 76 2021 12 1947 1.68 2011 29 55 32 43 22 0 0.14 74 1976 13 1964 0.63 1952 MO 50.9 29.2 40 699 0 3.81 82 2018 -15 1996 2.60 2020

The humidity might rise slightly for a time.

Tracking clouds

When next week?….that’s kind of fantasy range at this point…no?

This is the SE and to me the threat of a large area of 1”+ outside the mountains is significant though it’s not currently a threat of something “major”. How many of these occur each winter on average? Not many. And it has the chance to be rather impactful. That fits my definition of “significant”.

So much here…We almost get a snowstorm 48 hours after this. On aigfs we do. And it’s the long range gfs.

February as a whole is extremely likely to be another below normal temp month. That’s pretty much guaranteed at this point. As far as that extreme Wxbell/JB forecast? Done for clicks and subscription money from the weenies

06Z EPS has 64% chance of at least a trace of snow at RDU. 18% chance of 1".

We’re back! Looks like some warmth might be coming in behind this at least for that time between the 10th and 15 February…at least. So let’s get it while the getting is good. .

Delete this thread before 18z and open a fresh thread for the event.

Nope. Major temp bust. 0 was my forecast low. Radiational cooling due to snow pack will undercut many temp forecasts when skies clear. Modeling had this correct...the point and click did not.

Models still showing the storm signal for valentines day weekend, a lot of them showing rain atm but pretty consistent on showing a storm at least

It’s pretty obvious we punt the next few weeks. Now we just have to hope things reset for late February or early March. If not- this winter was decent; for a Nina.

nothing "significant" about this little threat.

I just saw that, will keep an eye out. This last storm that just past was fun and frustrating to track, but I would do it all over again. Finally, got some good rest afterwards lol.

Man that's just one panel it doesn't look to stay that way--hush, lol Now as far as getting something that weekend I don't know...

What an epic storm. One literally some of our kids will be posting about in here in 20 years. I’ll put my wake county grievances aside (though everyone in the county is justified in theirs) but EVERY county in the state verified warning criteria.

There have been only three record lows set during the 2000s at TRI during February. 2026 now holds two of those three records(both sub zero temps). 2015 holds the other. A little bit of history made at TRI to start February.

Well, so much for winter.

Honestly I think flurries along I-95 would probably be a boom at this point. But we probably won’t see anything.