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Wedge is breaking!

We still live a world that has been, and continues to consummately over-perform warmth (per verification). We just have been persistently given no excuse not to for perhaps 4 straight months. Today, with it's dense ceiling of solar blocked strata capping us drowned in left over polar inversion, definitely does not represent an excuse to go warm, either. If we bust the inversion, you will go above machine guidance and eat reality by force. Short sleeve shirt appeal over a snow pack occurs once this wiggly red feature wobbles through our region by tomorrow We haven't had a day of 64 F in so long. I sense that some posters doubt it can? some kind of acclimation bias. It's funny how willing folks are to think of this as back to normal winter and referencing climate like this is 1992. Reality check: this was the anomaly. Not the other way around. That's not coming back and you are wrong to perceive matters that way. Don't be fooled by this blue blob of fortunate.

This is the dumbest weather. I hate all of this.

Ended up with an overperforming 8" which still has me under 20" for the year. And there's nothing in model fantasyland to even think of getting excited about.

Pea size hail with a thunderstorm in Boone

Ok chief

Chestnut Hill, MA about 9 miles WSW of BOS. Hard to grade with possibly more coming. However, with about 65” of snow to date and prolonged snow cover in addition to below normal temperatures I’m giving it a B+. Should we get another significant event the grade goes up.

Busted back out of the overcast/drizzle this afternoon and well into the 60s again today (as high ans 65ºF) after it had moved back in after dark last night. The severe setup definitely escalated quickly in western PA, with temps reaching near 80 with dewpoints near 60. Decent shear/wind parameters and at least some CAPE (500-1000) along with some discrete cell formation. That will definitely need monitored over there. Obviously will remain much more stable in eastern PA at the low levels with the overcast and cool air damming but might still be some rumbles of thunder with anything that makes it over that way tonight. I do expect non-diurnal warming this evening in the spots that have been most locked in to the CAD as the approaching system/ SW flow will eventually mix some of the warmth down.

For this year it is.

Yes sir. That’s been hanging tough.

Sure it will. Then that will change too, like it just did. That’s the whole point. Get with the f’n program bro.

I wasn’t talking about that part. But I guess that has taken a break the last two years. We knew.

As of now, the high at PIT is either 78 or 79 depending on rounding. We have never reached 79 this early in the season.

EPS AI has a very strong signal around 3/17.

60 and 70 degree temps are okay with me as well it is way too early for 80 degree temps .

That will change again.

Ya..well it wasn’t here the last two years..that’s all we care about.

And 41 degrees at the barrier islands. Upper 40s and a seabreeze lol.

It’s been chugging along for a while now…

36 degree waters at Jones Beach. Lots more misery to come.

Well at least 16-18 still alive

Is that a weenie rule?

It'll drift south over the coming days.

12z EPS precip for the window of interest- Nothing is etched in stone ofc, but this is more useful as a forecast tool at this range than volatile op runs.

I actually want some ice to melt off the roof before it rains and actually looking forward to it... but I'm guessing we still have some pack left even if we lose a bunch..