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  2. That’s an impressive sounding for us. The low level directional shear is way better than I expected.
  3. I would be willing to bet that was planned that way. Goal was to get the SVR out first and then hone down on an area where combination of ingredients overlapped most for a tornado risk. Probably why the time delay between the two...discussion on the SVR with local offices and then discussion on the area for the tornado watch
  4. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  5. AFDLWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 331 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Severe and Tornado Watches have been issued for parts of the area until 10 PM. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Severe and Tornado Watches are in effect until 10 PM. - After a brief lull Friday, additional showers and a few thunderstorms are possible Friday night into Saturday. - Thunderstorm chances increase on Sunday before drier conditions move in early next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Severe and Tornado Watches are in effect until 10 PM. KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Our atmosphere is characterized by 90F temps and mid 70s dewpoints with up to 3500 J/KG of MUCAPE, DCAPE of 418 J/kg, 40 kt of 0-6 km shear, and 0-3 km SRH of 220 m^2/S^2 based on our 18Z IAD sounding. Storms have already exhibited mid-level rotation, particularly the one over the eastern shore of MD. Expect discrete supercells this afternoon with a sig tornado potential, particularly along and south of I-70 where 18Z gridded NUCAPS data showed a tight low-level moisture gradient. By evening, storms may congeal into an MCS or line as shown in earlier and most recent HRRR forecasts. Flash flooding risk is expected to remain low due to progressive storm motions of around 27kt, but brief intense rainfall rates of 2"/hour are possible.
  6. @EastCoast NPZ really has to move there. Are you looking for a roommate?
  7. Need a Blue Box / Red Box version of the Duck Season / Rabbit Season Looney Toons skit.
  8. Frederick mesonet shows 0.65” in the last hour.
  9. That makes sense. I too thought it would be red and was surprised when they went blue
  10. It just seems that it could have been a TOR N side, and the S side a SVR given the tor probs.
  11. Danny Pinter, one of the ravens centers, will miss the whole season
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  13. It’s wild how different this summer has been. Really turning tropical out there lately. Quite a few bugs, too. Classic summer.
  14. I am as soon as I posted that the sun just broke through in Central NJ
  15. Internally, it seems that SPC wanted to get something out as storms were firing earlier than expected on the Blue Ridge and the Chestertown cell. And now are replacing the areas where they feel the red box is needed.
  16. well aren't you just a ray of sunshine so you're saying I'll be good to ride it at 6pm?
  17. Yeah, I’m not impressed for more than a breezy shower for MBY Has a nice hook for the moment…
  18. Electric longboards and skateboards are technically illegal to operate on public streets, sidewalks, and bike lanes in New York City. According to the NYC Department of Transportation, they are classified as unregistered motor vehicles and can result in fines from $50 to $200 or device confiscation
  19. Yeah I don’t recall seeing anything like that—certainly not recently in the east.
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