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Come on back. Maybe that's the problem!

The last "good" winter was 2014-2015 for me when I lived in PA.

nah

Goldsboro site is behind the fire department. It's a great place to radiate.

Gee I wish my driveway needed paving. I might throw on an extra coat just because.

We laugh. We cry. We MTD

Wow! One of the TEN best days, fer sure...

Observation deck looks pretty quiet. 70/57 here...beautiful. Good a decent .25" yesterday and overnight. I cannot remember the last time I mowed my lawn.

Great breakdown by ENSO.

Sleet on Mt Washington this morning. And it begins. KMWN 300754Z 29015KT 0SM -SHRAPL -DZ FG VV000 02/02 RMK SHRAB10SHPLB20=

Feels great

Good call for this forecast. Enjoy your holiday weekend.

At some point, rising minimum temperatures matter. Here's the data for NYC: At present, I don't believe cities such as Caribou, Boston, Detroit, Montreal, Ottawa, and Toronto are in transition to structurally lower seasonal snowfall. That's probably one or more decades down the road, with the longest delay of any transition for Caribou, Montreal, Ottawa, and Toronto unless precipitation patterns change significantly e.g., winters become much drier (not shown on the climate modeling). In the meantime, back to the focus of the thread, I suspect that we'll see a weak La Niña that fades fairly quickly (weak-to-moderate on RONI), PDO-, QBO-. Statistically, 1882, 1933, and 1971 are good PDO matches. The general idea is that the PDO would be negative for the winter but not as severely negative as at present. Statistically, 2014 might be the best QBO analog.

66/50. I mean really can I get any better?

51.7 this morning. How is this August?

Not only have there been numerous days in the 40s in most areas but there have also been several in the upper 30s in the traditional cold spots of SE MI. Very impressive for August. This mornings low of 50 was a bit suspicious at DTW. It is the 4th low of 50 this week but today was the coldest morning. Every other nearby station was well in the 40s, including thermometers near the airport. I haven't noticed any discrepancies in DTW temps lately, so hopefully its just an unfortunate one off. Other lows this morning included 44 at Ypsilanti (right outside DTW), 43 in Monroe, 39 in White Lake and 38 in Ann Arbor. Even Detroit City was 47 for their coldest Aug temp since 1986 (you know the DTW number is suspicious when nearby YIP is 6° colder and even DET is 3° colder).

Even I got to 49. Texas Fight!

Euro had rain Thursday but then lost it

NYC 50”+: DJF Webb ONI pre 1950/RONI 1950+ 1872-3 CN 1874-5 CN 1898-9 CN 1906-7 CN 1915-6 CN 1916-7 SLN 1922-3 CN 1933-4 MLN 1947-8 WN 1960-1 WN 1966-7 CN 1977-8 WEN 1993-4 WN 1995-6 WLN 2009-10 MEN 2010-1 MLN 2013-4 CN 2014-5 WN 8 CN 4 WN 2 MLN 1 each of SLN, WLN, WEN, MEN 1. CN/WN 12 of 18 (67%) vs only 66 of 156 DJFs (42%). So, chance may have been enhanced by neutral. EN: 2 of 18 (11%) vs 49 of 156 (31%). So, chance may have been decreased by EN. LN: 4 of 18 (22%) vs 41 of 156 (26%)…so, LN may have been pretty neutral influence. 2. 19% of last 32 years 50”+ comparable to 17% of 36 years 1898-9 through 1933-4 @bluewave@donsutherland1

Low of 44 here as well. Bottomed out at 39 in Walpack. It is boring and it is dry but I am loving this cool weather. It will surely warm up again after the cool shot this coming week but who cares. It will be mid-September by then and it is more tolerable with the rapidly decreasing sun angle. Still would like some rain but as long as it is dry I'd rather have it cool like this. Going to be planting some grass seed later today.

Trough backing west and Atlantic ridge extending west beyond this period should yield a net above normal stretch (9/7 - 9/15) ish

The drive in this morning revealed even more color in the tree's.

Lows were in the 40's across much of the area this morning with the lowest being the 41.6 at Warwick. Of note the low this morning at East Nantmeal was 49.2 - this is the first time in my 22 years of weather observations that I recorded a temperature in August in the 40's! Expect many areas to again see lows by Sunday morning in those same chilly 40's. Beautiful but dry weather continues through the holiday weekend and through at least Wednesday. There is a chance of some much-needed rain by Thursday...fingers and toes crossed!

'90s with dews in the '80s. Some will wake up surprised. Or not...