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Which begs the question. Why does there almost always seem to be a kicker that pushes the storm out nearly every time we get a chance at a coast hugging Miller A?

When you search, AI also says there's a Shawshank Redemption 2 coming out. Or it did a couple months ago. I think it still has a lot to prove is the point lol

In terms of precip its probably the best run we've seen. It actually puts some snow into the cities. In some cases more than the GFS does.

Looks like -8 will do it for the low here, up to -7 currently.

Boston probably not mad about that run...always dangerous to take positive talk from that forum and try to translate down here. That almost looks like the boxing day debacle

Yes sir especially with all the energy we are going to see.

100%! Just giving him a hard time. For all the time and effort he puts into this board, he deserves a huge snow!

I don't think we're any closer to the final solution yet, but we have 1 less day to make those large shifts.

It’s too bad it’s suppression city right into the weekend. A little more relaxation from that PV lobe and it’d probably be a big hit for the region.

Already putting brine down in Knoxville .

Anything is possible as it took a step in the right direction or at least the precip is more in land compared to 00z. I personally still think Thursday is the make or break like the last storm.

He’s still struggling….even after getting 20 inches.

SWFE or hybrid ones are about a sure bet.

We don't have a final solution yet, but AI so far east 3 days out is a huge red flag.

SO67 VRB02KT 30.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0/0200Z 68 VRB02KT 31.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 260131/0300Z 69 VRB02KT 30.8F SNOW 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.014 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 260131/0400Z 70 03003KT 31.0F SNOW 11:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.023 10:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04 100| 0| 0 260131/0500Z 71 03003KT 30.6F SNOW 11:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 10:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 100| 0| 0 260131/0600Z 72 03004KT 30.3F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 10:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 260131/0700Z 73 03005KT 29.6F SNOW 14:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 10:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 100| 0| 0 260131/0800Z 74 04005KT 28.5F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 10:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.10 100| 0| 0 260131/0900Z 75 04006KT 27.8F SNOW 16:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 11:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 100| 0| 0 260131/1000Z 76 05006KT 26.7F SNOW 14:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 100| 0| 0 260131/1100Z 77 05006KT 26.3F SNOW 15:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 12:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.13 100| 0| 0 260131/1200Z 78 04006KT 26.0F SNOW 14:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 12:1| 1.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 260131/1300Z 79 04007KT 25.4F SNOW 14:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.021 12:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.17 100| 0| 0 260131/1400Z 80 04008KT 25.6F SNOW 13:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 12:1| 2.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19 100| 0| 0 260131/1500Z 81 04009KT 26.0F SNOW 16:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 13:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.21 100| 0| 0 260131/1600Z 82 05009KT 25.8F SNOW 19:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.029 13:1| 3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.24 100| 0| 0 260131/1700Z 83 05010KT 25.4F SNOW 21:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 14:1| 4.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.28 100| 0| 0 260131/1800Z 84 04011KT 24.9F SNOW 25:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 16:1| 5.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 260131/1900Z 85 05010KT 24.7F SNOW 26:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 17:1| 6.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.36 100| 0| 0 260131/2000Z 86 05010KT 24.7F SNOW 24:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.038 17:1| 6.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 260131/2100Z 87 05009KT 24.5F SNOW 24:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.036 18:1| 7.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.43 100| 0| 0 260131/2200Z 88 04007KT 24.5F SNOW 25:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.035 18:1| 8.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.47 100| 0| 0 260131/2300Z 89 35010KT 23.3F SNOW 29:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.046 19:1| 10.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51 100| 0| 0 260201/0000Z 90 33011KT 19.7F SNOW 13:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 19:1| 10.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.53 100| 0| 0 Some high ratio showing up for KHKY on the 06GFS.

If we back? Is we? Good, cuz I wants ta know. thank you Glozelle for these inspiring questions which I know we all have. We have been Uber-focused on our big regionwide storm, which we all knew would come to Papa, and the latest threat, which is mostly dead to some of us, but very alive for others. But we have other business to do in this first couple of weeks of February. A storm in the February 4-7 period? SSW late month? Welcome to Climo primetime people! Let’s get to it.

Give it a few more cycles I guess. I don't feel as good as I did with the last storm.

Euro ticked west a bit. But mostly the same. AIFS very close to the same

EURO would argue for a really nice band well west over the River .. We can hope that verifies but East of the river is 100% still very much in the game

06z EPS west of the 0z run.

FYI we just had a rare Euro>GFS shift for the most recent storm in UK.

Or speed it up and phase into the 500mb low, pull it west and north and it's a hit

No I didn’t, I was in the could trend north camp. Hence the crap I gave Webb.

WB 6Z EURO compared to OZ

Much better 500mb at 06z, if we could just slowdown that kicker behind it......