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I agree.. only a special storm for me will keep me up for euro

WB 6Z GEFS. No support for operational run in the 5 day storm,

Just LOL

Forum seems to be fairly quiet lately. It seems disappointment has set in.

It takes a special set of circumstances for me to be up for the EURO on weeknights these days, at 45 with 4 little ones.....

?

Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 313 AM EST Mon Dec 22 2025 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033-034-037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-058-230815- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- 313 AM EST Mon Dec 22 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Light snow is expected before turning to a mix of precipitation later tonight. A thin coating of ice is possible on top of a light accumulation of snow. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. A coating of snow and sleet may topped by a thin coating of ice before temperatures warm up on Tuesday.

There’s a circle that had a major melt this morning . And I mean major

We’re on a Christmas/graduation trip for my daughter right now. Goes by damn fast.

I was worried about it being too front loaded this winter and unfortunately that may be true.

I’m exact opposite, lol. Tried and true morning person

Confirmed.

The Euro is currently caving to the KING GFS for Augusta............................... 00z Euro had Augusta County at 62 for Christmas afternoon. The 06z Euro drops that 62 to 56....... Sterling NWS forecasters are at a loss. Later today, Sterling Thur thru Saturday likely to change significantly.... 13.2 at 7 am.

Love opening up this forum and seeing the last post from Wiggum cause that means something is cooking. 6Z Euro has a sleet storm. Give it till tomorrow before we cue up the Patton speech.

I'd hit it-

Over the years I've noticed there's a ton of night owls on here. They're probably just asleep lol

Weather channel just talked about that. Icy and snowy potential!

Euro isn’t going to move 300 miles in one run but my guess is gfs is way too far south

1 in.

I haven't put much effort into whether or not we trend colder in the shorter term (don't really care), but expect this Pacific trough regime to last into mid January before the flip, which is consistent with his timeframe. It's important to keep in mind that the Pacific trough regime doesn't have to mean an all out torch, which some may be conditioned to believe. BAM is right about the PV being on our side of the hemisphere, so that would help to mitigate that.

All we can say for sure is that the -NAO corrected much stronger and the PNA more negative with a stronger trough digging into the West. Certainly an unusual looking setup for snow here. But the kicker low over the Dakotas prevents the low near our area from riding too far north. So in an odd way the stronger -PNA actually helps which we don’t see much. The solution could change in the coming days with all the moving parts. New run Old run

6z Euro came south some, but not far enough. Slams NYC. Nobody's safe with this one before Christmas imho.

I think half of CWG posts are written 12 hours out and then get scheduled to post during certain high fb traffic times

You become closer to your weenie friends than your own spouse during winter?

What happens when you’re the wife running off to check the models??