All Activity

Chilly day yesterday. Low max temps; I-Falls 62 (8th), Hibbing 57 (3rd), Duluth 57 (t3rd), Brainerd 65 (t6th), Ashland, WI 60 (t2nd). This morning's lows I-Falls 36 (5th), Hibbing 36 (3rd), Duluth 43 (t4th), Brainerd 44 (t7th).

Indeed. We've earned a nice couple weeks, I think. Late August-early Sept is a great time to have normal/below normal high temps. We usually seem to excel at getting those in March/April

Yeah being out in the dakotas just east of the mountain time zone it was still light at like 930 back in mid July. Of course it was also still dark at 6am

I’ll put this out here for potential discussion purposes. From met. Tony Brite:

It depends on whether starting the cooler wx this early, and we see more of it thru Sept. Then it will. Recent years have seen some pretty large LES dumps due to very warm waters going into the winter season. Waters do cool pretty quickly if colder air stays around long enough. Hope that's the case this year. Better to have manageable LES events than up to your roof in one event.

83 / 53 here nice little breeze great day.

If we still have, say, 60 or less ACE by 9/30, then I’d agree that the chances for an active season ACEwise would be way down. However, that wouldn’t mean no chance when considering that 2024, 2020, and 2005 each had 75-82 ACE Oct 1st+. That would mean that 140 would still be technically attainable on the high end.

Stein Stein everywhere is Stein Mucking up the greenery, breaking his mind Grow this, cant grow that Can't you see the Stein?

Stein, stein, everywhere a stein F*ckin' up the greenery Breakin' my mind Do this, don't do that Can't you feel the stein?

I may regret this but @TimB may I ask why you have started putting laughing emojis on most of @ChescoWx's posts? I mean, if you just don't like the guy or disagree with some of his general themes, that's fine, but laughing at every post seems a bit much. Most of the posts are just brief summaries and forecasts that aren't controversial in any way. As an example, below is his post from last Wednesday, which I believe is the first one you started mocking. I can't think of a more benign harmless post. Food for thought. "We saw some light rain amounts overnight and this early AM including 0.05" at both Glenmoore and East Nantmeal. Shower chances will continue both today and tomorrow with continued cooler than normal temperatures. We clear up Friday and Saturday with our temperatures rebounding to near normal before a cold front moves through on Sunday which will allow for the return of an autumnal feel in the air."

Or just be on the western end of a time zone. We're on the wrong side for evening light

HHH we salute you 1 final time, until Christmas

All we can do is wait and watch. I will say this however, if we get to the end of September and are still waiting for things to get active with the number of tropical systems/ACE, then I think it will be time to give it up

Enter your September forecasts below ... this post will eventually be edited, the seasonal max info will move here and that post will change to updated annual scoring which so far has not been added to preliminary August scores three posts back.

not imby

Similar here, 81 with a dew of 57

am I crazy or is anyone else seeing a little color on the leaves can anyone else at 43.5+ N confirm lol

Bastardi is taking the opposite side of this, which is what I was referring to about warmer subtropics than tropics tending to stabilize the tropics, themselves: My take is that those subtropical waters will likely largely warm back up within a couple of weeks and make this cooling a forgotten thing by then.

Most of the RT 2 corridor is way below, normal rainfall. Greenfield is that little yellow square in Franklin County that’s closer to normal, but that’s only because we had that isolated downpour last week that dropped close to an inch of rain.

The dew dropped from 69 to 56 in 2 hours Up to 83 here

81/60. Dews should keep dropping all day

An all out coc fest moving forward. Best time of the year is here.

His webbed hands have been wrapped around our throats in N ORH county

What a boring pattern and tropics are dead too

Yeah that and we had some storms in August too. But that 6.5” accounts for it big time.