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We should all feel at ease now with these 3 in the same camp

Ike improved. Keep the trend rolling.

Yeah, does decent for us in SE VA but nothing like GFS/CMC

I was about to say that and I think we see other guidance trend in that direction with the ULL....it's coming N.

Bunch of straight up, junkies sitting here waiting for the next weather model fix.

Google says qtown averages 23-30" lol

It was going to be VERY close. We’ll see shortly on the Canadian

Perfect.

Icon still doin its own thingy at 84. 500's similar, but surface notsomuch

5 mile tick west and we get a “Folks”?

if GFS is east----going to be bed. No way the Euro will be better

yea heights are definitely flatter.....

RGEM is winding up the vort over Memphis that run.

5 mile tick east on the GFS and this place will go up in flames

same place as GFS but not nearly as amped.

Def more west for sure.. same time was around Poplar Bluff or southeast Missouri now stretching back toward western Missouri. I just don’t personally like the heights in the northeast.

After getting a little over 7" of synoptic snow through Sunday evening, got a little over 3" of LES overnight Sunday night through Monday. Event total of 10.4". Today, had about a two hour period of light to moderate snow late morning, followed by two pretty decent snow squalls in the early evening. Another 2.2". What a stretch of cold and snow! Could use a little warm up soon though for sure!

It does tend to translate to the surface quicker this time of year. As for what Stormchaserchuck has said it needs to be a large event that takes place to really nail that possibility in. I have this feeling we may fall short of an actual split but overall I don't think it impedes our overall pattern progression. The split would just help lock in the pattern longer but at this rate im fine with it not locking in. If we somehow get this system over the weekend I don't know where we will put the snow as it has taken a huge effort to clear what we just had and area wide saw 8-12" of snow/sleet (we saw about 10")

Starting to wrap up in western TN is pretty close to good

RGEM, NAM at range and GFS for now

RGEM west of the GFS but not as negative at end of run. More area to work with, but more work to do. Call it about even.

Now we await the King. The GFS.

Don't even know why i got even this in depth, But it was quite a bit west of the 18z run that was near Bermuda at the surface...........lol

It might have worked. Really close but hard to say. CMC will extrapolate it for us shortly

ICON was much different in the 500 mb evolution comparing the 18 Z The run overall is a huge improvement; if it wasn’t for the fact that it was ejecting the phase before it could actually complete the fusion then that would’ve been a bomb much farther west than 120 hours