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Gets some light rain up to us buts being shunted almost due east once it gets to us. So, it's trash on this run.

Well, getting into the time of year when we typically don't "lock in" on any cold/warm setup so I guess that's not a surprise. I still think we don't get shut out the remainder of the season, and perhaps not even the rest of this month. A decent moderate event, maybe on the order of a SECS-MECS, would still have to be on the table I'd like to believe, between now and early-mid March. And perhaps a second event of some sort too if lucky.

GFS looks a little more north, but not sure it's gonna make it and temps look like they'd be an issue anyway

Damn. Now I'm RAVENOUS On second thought, YUCK. Someone needs to learn how to trim their damn nails...

Didn’t take long here to saturate . Very light but snowing

Stick a fork in it. Veronica Johnson on WTOP radio just said that we're done with the Arctic air from here on out.

2-m temps look horrid at 120, actually.

i think there will be mini windows for winter weather. I dont think a cold or a warm pattern is going to lock in. Lot of variability.....perhaps we score once or twice

I have the spray foam insulation, i need the AC on today.

First flakes

Samantha?

GYX now seems way overdone based on this thread.

definitely need a refresher

I haven't really paid much attention to the somewhat longer range in awhile. But is the previously thought more favorable NA later this month and early March now looking less likely? I recall there was some discussion awhile back about a PV split, and being on our side of the hemisphere, with a good shot at a return to more blocking around that time period. Not sure of the details though. It doesn't seem like the Pac side is going to do much to become better.

Didn’t take long to saturate. Very Light snow falling 31.8/11

TIT: Trace In Tolland. has a nice ring to it

Oops misprint, That’s what I meant.. my bad

I work with a lot of Richmond folks and whenever they know I like snow or weather they ask about DT.

He still has a huge following so yes!

The low crossing the Great Lakes has pulled milder air in from the plains states and highs in w PA and even w NY have reached high 40s to near 50 F. This mild sector will rapidly collapse southeast tonight but especially for those south of Newark, don't be surprised if there's a brief spike in temperatures to around 40-43 F for a few hours around midnight. The milder air will not likely reach the surface for lower Hudson valley, parts of metro NYC and most of Long Island. By morning a colder WNW flow will have arrived and any brief spell above 35 F will be replaced by that cooler air mass. This path for brief warming probably also defines the southern limit of where measurable snow could fall from the system, other than any briefly heavy snow showers in the WNW flow.

lol DT. He is still relevant?

Yeah tons of dry air to overcome which is concerning.

Same. If I were to change anything with that map I'd make it 1-2 but I think 1-3 is fine

While I believe it could still turn colder to end February as per the ECMWF weeklies, I tend to agree that the risk of a return of severe cold in the East is probably largely over.

Agreed, but still seems like it would be some thermal issues