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6z Euro sys no

If only the GFS was right but I feel that it may be late to the party so to say... and the Euro Team has already sniffed out this thing going further east. I hope im wrong.

Trying to sift through the whining and complaining in the main thread, how are we looking? Looks like we still have a shot for something moderate+?

don't bother, its a big miss east

Seeing this from you is a big nod to the likeliness here. Good to see.

11.6" storm total, LE 1.58".... MTD 17.6", YTD 28.0".

Still calculating all the snow that falls in NYC obviously.

You want this to close off near the Delmarva then. It’s almost weakening by the time it reaches us because it closes off so far South and begins to occlude and fill.

6z euro stuck at hour 57 forever

For an illustration: 0z: 6z:

Pivotal has stopped at 57 hrs on the 6z Euro. Any other vendors stuck?

Their ‘97 reference for ORH is incorrect. Total there was 33.0”.

sadly, think its cooked

13.1, looks like the wind won last night.

There may be a few twists and turns left, but we are getting to a point of near consensus in general terms to think it's slipping/slipped away.

6z Euro AI with a small tick NW but overall similar to 0z.

lol. Wrt where most of us live— PWM, BOS, NY, Philly This is about as locked and loaded as you can get at this lead time. I found zero things to criticize 5 days out. Teles, GEFS and EPS guidance are frickin awesome. And the persistence/side of things is great as well…

@AlexD1990this is shaping up to be s beach storm only, I hope it stays this way for you!

6z Euro not.loading past hr57 for me.. 6z EPS is out and pretty far ots

I guess verbatim on these op runs the low is occluding very early and there’s the kicker over MN/IA but the ensembles signal is what we’re still looking for at this lead. By Thursday maybe I’d pay more attention to the op runs. Still plenty of time here to reel it in.

Chill… its edging. .

Euro Ai, squateroo. this one is slipping away fast

Dropped to 6.4°

So absolutely frustrating that literally all we needed was that TPV to stretch slightly farther W and we probably see a blizzard from VA to SNE. Still, rooting on folks in SE

Yes. We need this thing to keep gaining latitude like that storm did. As shown, it’s an occluded mess as Scott said.