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26 degrees and flurries. I missed when it was snowing more to cover the deck lightly. Cold out and fire built.

it keeps taking 2 steps south and 1 step north...so just always end up in the same place we started smh

ending as some light snow to coat the driveway back up.

GFS has some noteable difference out west at H5...seems a bit sharper so far vs 18z. Let's see where this goes. No idea so far

Pretty much every model has increased QPF a lot tonight. We need it just a tick colder for a nice front end thump

Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, and Cove Creek 637 PM EST Tue Dec 2 2025 ...ICY ROADS AND FREEZING FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... Very light snow should taper off along the North Carolina and Tennessee border tonight. Northwest winds should persist and temperatures are expected to fall into the mid 20s overnight. This is likely to cause a concern for icy road conditions and freezing fog for most of the area, especially at locations above 3500 feet. Use caution if driving and give yourself extra time to commute in the morning.

Looking closely it appears the reason its better is a slightly (and I mean slightly) better configuration of the NS up around the Great Lakes as being a little more North/South orientated and slightly less connected to the fastest flow. steps are in the right direction but they are baby steps.

GFS is slightly better this run

I disagree that the cold is here. Some of these clippers that are popping up are rain, or mix at best. The ones that have shown up have been good for NNE. Im not convinced any system that comes along is going to be a cold one. We’ve seen this time and time again over the last several years.

This far out, close enough to keep us tracking on the GFS

Yeah, it's def better, but still no where we want yet

It’s def a better result thru 60. Might not make it to us yet but there is at least snow making it to RIC

Precip shield is north of 18z, but looks like it'll slide just south still so far

GFS looks a tad sharper with the flow out front for Friday so far. Nothing jumping out attm tho

28.9°, SN, 7.2" total. Might end up with a few more tenths on the board, but I ain't checking till tomorrow. Hopefully those harsh December morning sun angles won't spoil any measurements.

Lt Snow 34⁰

A good sleet storm is fun

2.2 inches for the day 2.5 for the season.

I wasn't trying to be a dick ...but you're a pro...poll your clients RE whether or not they find value in identifying periods of elevated risk for severe weather.

Interesting output. As light as the setup is, I’d think this is more of a snow or liquid situation than sleet but could make for a wintry scene as well. Just read that back and I’m so desperate that I’m ok with sleet. What a sicko!

Sure, absolutely add what it does favor, but lets be honest...we are all looking for a blizzard, which is why he pointed out the limitations. I don't think there was an insinustion made that it couldn't support some more pedestrian threats.

The 0z 3kNAM and 0z RGEM show frozen precip over NE TN and SW VA over the weekend. Just something to keep an eye on....

ICON juiced up QPF too but too warm for most

RDPS is a sleet storm here and has more precip than other models.