All Activity
- Past hour
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It's quite a substantial change from 6z
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I feel like we need the jaws music for what it could about to show for Monday?
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Coming down now at a good clip in this band, 1/2 mi vis, SN, 21/19°F.
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So some notable difference at H5 on the GFS...seem positive so far...vort quite a bit sharper vs 6z at 135. Precip more widespread and more SW to NE oriented. Let's see where this goes
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The surface seems quite cold
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Let's keep that CC mix line pinned to 84. I will rip here for a few hours, if so. We've got to be nearing 2" now out there/ Simsbury.
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We had a round of sleet/snow mix....the sleet is kind of weird because it's not like we're warmed at 800-750 or anything....prob mostly shitty growth as the deeper lift is still west. Temp 28.5F
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I posted in the wrong thread but we have moderate IP/ZR mix and temps back down to 28F
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Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs
Damage In Tolland replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Over to zr here -
might be getting some stronger lift overhead but flake size has increased again and intensity has picked up. A good moderate snow falling now. Probably have almost 1/2" down
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HRRR actually much colder
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Wantage NJ...this part 1.2". looks like general 1-1.5" in SC right now and down to near Great Meadows in Warren County where I think its mixed or ice.
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I meant we’re back cause of you, GFS is a bit better but not there, completely agree
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15z HRRR coming in colder out to hr3 .. lets get more people in this!
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Looks like some modest evaporative cooling as the light snow has grown steadier, touched 30 and back down to 29.3.
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We need a Goldilocks storm. First was just a tad warmer norther, next is a tad souther fringer and we need one that’s juuuuuist right
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This from BAMwx’s Michael Clark was released ~30 minutes ago. I’ve yet to watch it. Hopefully it’s reasonable and not swinging for the fences too much: @donsutherland1
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I'm getting more optimistic about my lower levels looking to my east...main concern may end up being sleet/poor growth.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ah the joy of living in Lanco: @MUweather Despite early mixing issues, this last burst of snow should push snow/sleet totals into the 2-4” range for most areas north of the Turnpike and west of Rt 15 or South Mtn. However, southern parts of Lancaster and Chester Co’s won’t even get a coating.. along with @millersvilleu . -
All obs this year for me are from Fallston, MD - 11/30 - T 12/2 - A little frz rain to start - trees and car glazed - but 35 and rain for most of event
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We seem to be narrowing in on a higher likelihood of some light snowfall. Lots of details to be ironed out, with uncertainty about moisture and timing which opens the door for a modern moderate impact event (definitely less likely). Any chance for a higher potential coastal storm can probably be ruled out
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Some of those mesos yesterday were beyond awful at the sfc. Just complete disaster of a forecast.
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13f. Light snow. Began around 1000- a little early, nice blob from PQI to Penobscot Bay. Expecting 2-5" had 2"on the ground to start. https://photos.fife.usercontent.google.com/pw/AP1GczNZDQNM1Uhfrzbvs8Xu6EkyJk6e7RI6ySYQDlGZzXV-4QEZDXdZciaO=w1019-h667-s-no?authuser=0
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