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As long as it doesn't last for 8 weeks straight.

My top 3 biggest heartbreaks are: 2/8/13 2/5/10 March 2001 Biggest Miracle: 12/26/10 Biggest storm missed while alive: PD2 - was in FL at Daytona 500.

Sounds like Atl NWS isn’t buying the NW trends. https://x.com/justinwx02/status/2014108839042322785?s=10 .

Yep, not sure we should be celebrating or jumping off hypothetical bridges when we have this much run to run inconsistencies still. I've been telling stakeholders 12z Friday guidance is "lock-in" time since Monday AM. Patience.

Hopefully they are seeding it for a southern storm .

off to bed up at 245.. hopefully when I refresh this page there's tons of new post

just can't win for losing, we can't get a storm to phase and when they finally do it's a cutter

Haha- yes, not a thing, never has been, never will be....all models are showing 020-050 degree wind headings throughout the storm at CLT. They do not deviate much, if any, between models. NE wind = CAD from a 1040+ high over NY state throwing out dew points in NC/SC down in the teens...using this logic alone, if the low plowed through the wedge, the wind field would veer out to ENE or even south of 090.....then the CAD would become in-situ or not even present in the first place Also why they are looking at the actual metadata from the Baja low before buying into it. Metadata has already occurred, so it isn't influenced by any of the models. When the models begin to feed in the metadata, you will more than likely see several of them singing a different tune.... They obviously have some good forecasters over there who have a good handle on the potential flaws in the Euro- it takes a lot of experience to come to that conclusion after picking the ensembles apart

My cluster just tightened as well

WB 18Z EURO....incredibly cold Tuesday am.....air and wind chills.

Well just announced. ( Flash’s idea) Bam is selling pillows!!!!

This data will apparently be on both GFS and Euro 0z models. Come on GFS, make me proud to be an American

i remember being on the forums for that 2015 storm where we got a dusting and not storm of the century. There was a lone voice saying 'aint happening' can't recall. People really invested and lost their S?$t!

Ensembles /AI vrs the Ops. Who wins….

Tightening cluster just east of the cape on the 18z EPS

And this is a problem why?

May not matter that much in the long run, buuuuttttttt:

I’m sitting here in Pearl River New York, seems like a solid 12 to 18 is on the table, no mixing issues here

Well it was nice knowing everyone. My house by that means I will be buried under ice.

I'm not making any judgments about trends until the 0z suite. The 18z runs almost always have wonky solutions.

Now that i'm out by Winchester i wonder whatever happened to Fullmug

https://x.com/i/status/2014108294885900466

it was the GFS that had it going wide right! Nam and Euro had us at 30 inch forecast

GFS gives Chicago nearly 3 inches of snow through the first week of February. Wish we could get some rain instead. .

Oh goodness that's right! He was fading the South and cold. Well I think natural gas already crushed him if he's short. Storm track might be another story, but it won't fix their trading account.