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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Temps starting at 20 in dc and dropping throughout the storm ending in the low teens. -
Euro is better for the storm...pic in a sec. It STILL slides the good stuff to our south but nothing like GFS
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I think most here get it, but there are a few who live and die by models post. Glad you realize what the deal is with pbp. When we get under 100, we can start getting serious..under 72, rev up the engine
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I vote @Ellinwoodand @JenkinsJinkiesget to collaborate to write the "What went wrong" post.
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Too little too late but temp is starting to crash here. Got up to 42.5 and in the last hour have crashed to 39.4 with stronger north wind noticeable outside. 0.47” rain since midnight
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
anthonymm replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
This is gonna bust on the low end -
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Brian5671 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
1.5 here yesterday 2 inches with this AM's batch...maybe another 2-4 later? -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
mahk_webstah replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Maybe that’s the take away. Good with the pattern in the medium range but not great with the details in the short range. If that’s the case, that would be a good thing to know going forward. -
radar filling in a bit
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Bryan63 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
34 and light snow, really awesome wintry day. Hopefully between the 2nd half coming together and the Pats we all have plenty to cheer about later. -
PNA will be positive and MJO moves to phase 8. Multiple factors aligning for something big. And some winters it just wants to snow. We've been seeing that so far this season. Yes no biggies yet but it's coming.
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The 12z GEFS does not provide much support to the deterministic run at 12z, but...plenty of support exists for a slider over much of the forum area, and maybe more than one. The 12z GEM is the best cast - so far. I drops 5-10" over most of the forum. We have said more than once this winter that it resembled 95-96' (light) in many ways. That winter kind of arrived a bit after the mid point.
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37.9° with 0.31” of rain since midnight.
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Cold, dry, get your dehumidifiers and skin care routine prepped.
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Damage In Tolland replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Trees pasted , light snow and fogged in pretty well back here at home -
3 snowstorms on the AIFS
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January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
BBasile replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
And then immediately transitioned back to rain. -
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Wow just wow. Look at 12z showing off lol
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
WinterWolf replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Sey-mour, I use intellicast radar from Wunderground. Is there another free radar site that’s decent/or better? Just curious? -
January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think they both actually did better, they never went out to sea with it. -
The 12z AIFS Euro is why we need the GFS south of us. Need that blend! That said the 12z AIFS EURO EPS....is nice for the entire forum.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
Brian5671 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
2 inches here up to 33 and roads are just wet after the plows came by
