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As far as raw dogging in it, under the moonlight i'm on good behavior so i'll keep the comments on that to myself. I was just wondering if you were staying local on this one.I'm getting ready to do a long one myself tonight between six and eight miles up to Reesers Summit and back.

Yes! No, maybe, not! Depends on the angle of the cold! I just summed up the last day of this thread….your welcome.

There will be chances…that’s all you can ask for, and expect. I mean it’s December 3rd for F’s sake. Let’s get real…we live in SNE…not Calgary.

It's a hiking trail in the woods. I'd need more snow to make raw dogging it up and over a mountain by compass and moonlight to be worth it Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

R3COHtown_WX?

If we’ve got a 30.55 crusher tomorrow night at 8pm then we are in suppression trouble Otherwise let’s see how bad ass this cold boy really is

We agree that he’s brilliant. His MJO work is groundbreaking. On this point, I think he’s extrapolated where the coefficient of determination is fairly low. His overall linkage isn’t wrong, but other factors can easily overwhelm ENSO, the AAM, etc. It will be interesting to see the final outcome.

OH I'm a huge believer in non-Markovian memory in the systems of climate. The oceanic-atmospheric coupling is definitely got a memory where ( probably counter to a lot if intuition) the winter's positive(negative) meanders tend to foretell the summer's higher(lower) - this is more so on the positive side in present era, as the background state is a non-linear forcing that boosts the synergistic result in the direction. This is all immensely complex because it's not the Air, vs the Ocean in this sense, but the emergent property of the ocean-atmosphere quasi coupled state. If that emergent property lends to warmth, well? Sometimes the signal is buried in the noise, making all this an extra special kind of scary... Oh, like the whole world surging a whole degree C (2023) out of seemingly nowhere. hmm?

If he said he wasn’t gonna do well..just take the opposite…so I’m sure he did fine.

Ocean City was wrecked

Great post. I can only imagine the posts before 2000. I get it though, if most of my experience was from close to 2000 onwards I would probably feel the same.

We’re in the psychobabbe portion of tracking. Is it gonna snow or not?

Like John said, probably the best run of any model for this potential event so far. An outlier for now.

I got 11" last year and it was the best of the 3 since we bought property here. 2 previous were basically shutouts. Sounds awesome right? Lol

Pope must have did well despite him thinking he has the climo of Long Island

We did good last year and a lot of it was that we were expressing similar ideas but with different points of referencing. That caused confusion and some bad exchanges but that’s over now I feel

I would say the 18z Euro ticked SE just a hair too. Apologies, I was still comparing the 6z and 12z.

I'm everywhere.

He told you where he was going ?

Crushing it

He's going out to the woods to get ass raped.

I didn't like the positioning of the high pressure system...

Hey we all make mistakes. Besides, you're a way better poster than I was in my early years of high school (as some on this forum no doubt remember).

Actual hike, walk, or hybrid ?

I would encourage everyone to get into this side of reading storms as its way less frustrating than just tracking seemingly random movements on the surface as you can tell what a setups potential is more concretely.