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I am confused don’t we WANT models to shift NW?

Penn State wins!

had some stuff to do before playoff football surprised it got to 42 all the snow quickly melted surprised it cleared up so fast almost full sun after lunch time.

I don’t believe RRFS v1 is ever going into production. It’s based on FV3 which they found to be not great. There already is a second version of the RRFS v2 which will be based on MPAS which will likely end up the replacement for the NAM, NAM 3k, RAP, and HRRR… https://gsl.noaa.gov/research/predictions

A little more concerning the Hrrr since 12z has also shifted NW 50 miles

Probably won’t see a plow at all

Yeah, can't win em all. We've done well so far this winter so I can't complain. Hopefully one of these upcoming shortwaves rotating through dumps a quick fresh coating

Dry slot

Got about 2.5 to 3 inches over here in Fair Lawn NJ. Pretty decent hit.

How does one whom lives in SE PA acquire this brew? Road trip to where? Please, direct this lost soul.

I’ve gotten away from drinking beers besides the occasional big BA stout or crispy boys. I’ll have a bit of a NEIPA if my buddies want to share one with me, but it’s been like 18-24 months since I pretty much stopped drinking them on my own!

So, what happens if we shift NW another say 50-75 miles?

3" up at Pit2 so far. We'll see how long the snow continues.

Just wondering where you picked up an extra 2" since we live a stones throw away? I was travelling over Christmas week, did I miss an event? December 6, 2025…………………………………..0.2” December 14, 2025………………………………...7.2” December 23. 2025………………………………...0.5” December 26, 2025………………………………...1.5” January 1, 2026…………………………………….0.5” January 2, 2026……………………………………..0.1” January 17, 2026…………………………………...3.0” 2025-2026 Running Total……………….…….…13.0”

Winter is back

They should have that disclaimer on all models lately.

RGEM also looks like a hot mess tomorrow, too warm at the coast and not that much precip anywhere.

take the under from 10 to one. I’m hoping the over under is 4 inches.

Today definitely ended up more south. Mesos ftl.

RGEM looks good for 4-8” for many

A run of the mill 18z NAM 50 mile shift northwest in 6 hours

WWA for York and Lancaster counties early Sunday am for another 1-3”. They’re the jackpot winners this weekend. No accumulation and 0% snow chance for Harrisburg.

its Springfield it will be done in 3 days if at all

Getting close to go time but what a crazy ride this week has been in modeling! And we still have enough uncertainty to worry about when and whether.

Most of the guidance had my area getting dryslotted, while areas just to my west would get 3-5”. But today was a nice surprise, got a dusting that melted, then it’s been snowing again all afternoon. Currently 2” on the dot and everything is covered. 33F