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4.5"

Quite a drop from 49 this AM

Have we ever had a year where the tie-breaker cities beat the regular cities in snowfall?

And I am surprisingly down to 33.6°. Flake size for the most part is terrible. A few fatties every now and then.

It would be interesting for someone to do a case study on the accuracy of model forecasts for these shortwaves that originate in areas with lower amounts of sample data. My totally half-assed ignorant theory is that as the model resolution has increased over the last few years, paired with the faster flow we've had, it causes more run-to-run inconsistencies on the operational models for these types of storms. If the flow was a little slower, there would be time of the physics to catch up to the shortwaves as they develop and provide a more consistent forecast. We often do not get consensus on the info we need to determine snowfall amounts until a day or two before because many of the storms that have been happening over the last few years have been fast movers. Not a lot of systems stalling and/or phasing, and when they do, they are usually modeled better. The older lower resolution models may have been less sensitive to this problem, though may have not generated a more accurate forecasts, just one that was more consistently wrong until go time. And as usual, we are often talking about differences in tracks of 50 or 100 miles to determine snow amounts, which is more difficult to pin down compared to just plain rain during other parts of the year.

lol the gaslighting continues. No mystery why this offense is struggling, and Lamar gets sacked and injured.. why they struggle mightily in the red zone. People need to be fired over this.

About 4.5 here with I’d say another hour to go. We may hit 5. Enjoy my good boy in our field.

It's a no stress bonus event. Especially for us coasties.

Coming from a bad area of observations though. I would like to see some consistency and improvement over the next few days, but it doesn’t have to happen overnight.

Radar still looking good. Could end up with 7. Crazy how this came out of nowhere. Was maybe an inch 24 hours ago.

Thanks. I will wait unti tomorrow to update.

From a good friend of mine in Fleetwood, Ashe County!

Radar here looks like lt snow for awhile

30 here now. Will be very icy tomorrow am on the roads.

Well, I guess a watch pot truly never boils because I laid down for a nap, and it looks like things picked up a bit while I was asleep. And it’s still snowing! .

At my age i look at every snow as the last one i see, lol

Just about 4 here.. flurries still falling.

Yes

3.0” through 5pm at RIC, not too sure there will be much more than this based on radar. Lots of 4-6” reports just south and east of the airport.

Coating+ at farm in Louisburg. Pretty good rates there on cam. So close but so far away

Lessons learned: 1) Daytime light snow will have a difficult time accumulating even in December and temperatures are near freezing during the precipitation ; 2) if it is above 45 degrees the day before snow, sticking will be a problem if the snow begins during daylight; and 3) wet bulbs temps need to be below freezing when snow begins if a daytime snow is not heavy.

It's hard to get up for a slushy .5 inch accumulation after last years Foot+ haha

No, but am I wrong in thinking the features that decide what will happen are getting setup sooner rather than later? I think Wiz pointed this out earlier

Officially 3.0” at RIC, but I’ve seen quite a few reports of 5.0” south and east.

Right. What needs to change to slow the flow? -NAO? I thought we had that already. I would definitely be feeling pretty good out your way (and TBlizz) for an advisory event anyway.