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....and there's snow again on the GFS around Xmas time. just lol

The HRRR is suggesting that right at the very beginning when it precip arrives into the LSV. I would think it would be brief if it happens. Surface starts above freezing but 850mb and 925mb level are plenty cold to start the event and cool further as the event progresses. I think this event should get the rest of the LSV solidly on the board in terms of first synoptic snowfall.

Did mekster draw this?

for real. its never EVER that serious, sorry that he went off on you

HREF looks good

IF this possible moderate " snow event " pans out and is the real deal that makes most people in this forum ( besides Snowy ) Happy then no offense to Anthony or anyone else but I suggest that WeatherGeek2025 ,,,, be the person to start the next storm discussion as well and IF he does good again , heck he can do it for the rest of the winter !!!!

I wouldn’t worry about that too much. I’m in eastern PA and earlier this week we had an event that the HRRR said would be all or mostly rain. Instead my area got a nice C-2” event with some 3” spots.

worried this might end up like feb 16-17 2024 (if any of all remember that—quick moving system in the nighttime). forecasted then was 3-5" for DC but ended up with a coating. I don't think this will happen however because the airmass is colder than then

I go with greater than 50% coverage >= 1", but that's highly subjective. Sometimes if it seems to meet that criteria but looks wrong, I'll call it a trace. Pretty sure I am a lot less restrictive than airports. Anyone else notice how fast they go to zero snow cover while all around them is still buried? I think as soon as a bare spot is visible, they call it a trace or something like that.

Unhinged isn’t the word. That was psychotic. Completely mental. Truly terrifying. Wishing death and suicide on people over the weather. I seriously hope he gets the psychiatric help he obviously, desperately needs

Here comes the system

That CAN'T be right, puts a high bullseye on the Virginia high desert country....

Temp crash is gonna be stressful and I might end up wrong but I’m not worried about it if the rates that are promised come. Kind of a chicken and egg thing. If it’s ripping and dark and temps are crashing, we're fine. If we’re stuck on the SW end and fringed, the UKIE is probably doing an okay job. I’m just thrilled with the WSW (west-southwest, not winter storm warning - tho I do think NEmd gets upgraded later) trend this morning. Hope that runs to game time.

Nooo wayy

Move that purple line an inch south would ya?

Started here. Not real efficient yet. Was surprised at WSW but more than likely for the wind and the frigid cold coming in. They don't want people on the roads because they are already crap lol.

South of 95 in CT is about 0 -3 miles.

Thanks. She still gets around, but has regressed from having to use a cane to using a walker.

It seems to be overdoing the low level moisture on the northern edge. There will probably be some radar echoes even up here, but not much reaching the ground. Some of the mesos have a little inverted trough enhancement in coastal NH/MA on the tailend as the H5 low/vortmax moves into the region.

Let's save the snowstorm banners for real snow storms. I know it's been a while for those of you on the UHI and coastal plain but let's act like we've been there before. Moderate snowfall is certainly an adequate description for what looks to be an area wide 2-5 inch event.

you do realize we're on the internet right. im sure @snowman19is a wonderful human irl and his words on this site should be taken light-heartedly at most. and he didn't even come at you and his reply to your post was pretty mellow... you clearly need to reevaluate your choice of words. we're all adults and we're here to speak about weather. not personal beefs.

One red flag on HRRR is surface temps especially DC south....

Yeah with 1”/hr rates it won’t take long to clear 4” NE of balt