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Euro

Pops a low over MD

Not sure if this has been covered yet, but with the snow more attached to the 500 low, the temps aloft are cold enough to put us in favorable ratio territory on the GFS. So, yes, we'd like more precip, but this could be fluffier than normal.

Euro has the main ball of vorticity at the same latitude but a little further East owing to a greater separation of southern and northern energy

What snow showers are expected later today that nj dot has all the electronic message boards lit up with that?

That look would throw good snows back to ALB

Idc about the ai lol that model sucks

AI is basically a miss with maybe 1/2" for us and little or nothing around metros.

Nice! I've noticed these broke containment across the mountains. I mean that may happen Thursday depending on things. Hopefully we get blasted.

I mean especially for se areas, I don’t hate this.

That always happens when it shows 6” for us.

Euro out here in a few so we wait

We have had a couple bursts that made the road wet. If it was colder I think we might have a dusting

It was a pretty huge hit over interior New England.

I give yoy credit you called that one out. It's snowing here again now (at 40°)

Ukie not updating on Pivotal and only partial info on other sites.

Heavy snow and blowing currently. We've been waiting for this fellas.

Eh I've got to give a huge amount of credit to the gfs in the short range at least. Euro wasn't even showing today until it's last run yesterday.

Temp is down to 25 and have about 1.5" otg. Fortunately wind hasn't been a huge issue so far. But a great day to watch football and make a big 'ol pot of beef stew.

Fyi, GfsAI has fairly similar snowfall to regular Gfs from what I can tell by piecing 6hr precip maps with 850 temps. Very rudimentary, of course, but close enough to get close to what it's showing for snowfall.

We're down to the GFS & GEFS. We'll see how the ECM and UK look. This sort of has the feel of a glimpse of a chance slipping away.

Inland runner? I think that’s what the comments seemed indicate. It’ll change.

How about 15 lol

FWIW, 12z GEFS trended better for everyone. A lot of the complete whiffs or OTS misses are fading. Looking more likely that we get some kind of accumulating frozen from this first event.

Gfs?