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Extremely dry air advected in from the northeast this evening. Have had dews as low as 33.
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I take great pride in not using pesticides on my property but two years ago I nuked the Knotwood along my property line and after a dormant year it has just exploded in that same zone. I hacked at it and left the remnants in the sun to bake, but it's concerning. I have several invasive species on the edge of the property, but that is by far the worst. See above. Sometimes I feel like not using the chemicals just allows the invasive stuff expand but I have good biodiversity (I think) on my patch of land than neighbors. I'm very excited to see how the firefly population looks this year imby.
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Do any of you know how to access any new NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data? I was doing a daily map of 500mb anomalies, from the NOAA PSD web site : https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/composites/printpage.pl Then, in March, I found that the data had stopped. How has it possibly stopped? I don't get it. They do NCEP/NCAR reanalysis every day. But now they don't. Say for example, what if I wanted to do a plot of the global 850mb temperature anomaly on March 19, 2026? It's not there. The 20th-Century reanalysis project doesn't cover 2026. I emailed them. They gave me some brief answers, but not much.
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June begins with a high temperature of 80. Dews have crashed into the upper 40s this evening.
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How did you find the combined temperature average for Spring, and the ranking? I don't see any seasonal summary on the NWS local offices' climate web sites. All I can see is the climate summary for each month. Also, I can use the NOWDATA to see the average value or each (single) month. I am just curious.
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Finally got a chance to finish the 2025-26 snowfall forecasts. In the orange are the actual season totals, in blue are totals that were forecasted under the actual snowfall that occurred. Everything in white is a forecast that was above actual totals. Red indicates the winner. Error points were done that every 0.1" away from the total was 0.1 of a point. For instance Boston was 62.8" this year, if you had a forecast of 40" that would be 22.8 error points or if you forecasted 80" your error points would be 17.2. NYC and Boston surprised folks the most this year which granted large error points. We will set this up again around November forecast timeframe. I will add Consensus and average for this as well going into the next forecast time (Average will be based on 1991-2020)
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
raindancewx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For the 100-180W subsurface, Mar-May, 1997 and 2026 are nearly identical Year March/April/May 1997 1.17 / 2.17 / 2.01 2026 1.36 / 2.24 / 2.00 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ocean/index/heat_content_index.txt -
Sky was covered in chemtrail clouds today for the first time in a long time. I guess that means we'll go wetter in a few weeks to months.
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Told you it was a dry pattern. Imagine if it wasn't El Nino. May is our cloudiest month, total clear sky days last month (23/31 or something) is a giveaway.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It just got very windy out of nowhere. East winds at 35. wtf. -
I always wondered if the large scale effort to eradicate it here led to it spreading even faster. It probably did. There used to be a group of landowners with like machetes walking along the river through Stowe hacking the stuff down and collecting it. Probably just led to it being washed downstream even faster or moved somewhere else.
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Moderate to heavy rainfall finally coming down here. Temp a balmy 64 degrees.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No, this does not look like 2015 at all. It was never this east-based Here is what Paul Roundy has to say; -
The biggest problem I see, around here at least, is how well-intentioned homeowners unintentionally spread it. They cut it, bag it, and bring it to municipal compost sites, where viable fragments can get redistributed. Even mowing, cutting, or moving plant material can spread it if stem or rhizome fragments survive and easily reestablish.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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MAV is 87/88 at BDL Th/F.
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Quite a bit of lightning and thunder here. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
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