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Let the snow fall as much as it would like in December!

I have no idea on that Algo but it melts snow as it falls if surface temp is above 32 even if the actual surfaces are well below feezing

A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.

Nah, advisory.

Some nice fake snow today. I'm liking the look of some of those clown maps too.

I didn’t check the low, but the top layer of ground was frozen.

I look at them more as where snow is likely to accumulate vs the actual amount of snow

We tracked them last 2 winters. Worse than clowns.

Looks like the 12z EPS is west of the 06z run and juicier.

Pretty good 12z run from the 12z GDPS para and 12z Euro(Dr No?!)....

Wait baby Scooter?. Oh man now I have to behave , fuck

I think they have some value

A lot of faith in Glen Plake... but he still rocks so Bob does too

I feel like I've been asleep at the wheel, just getting caught up on the upcoming threats. It was nice to have a cold / snowy Thanksgiving. Looking forward to tracking with everyone this season.

Those piece of shit (POS)positive snow depths are more worthless than clowns

If December ain’t rockin’, don’t come a knockin’

So close yet so far

I dunno, Bob with the mohawk avatar is good December juju.

The 12z CMC and Euro deterministic runs look very similar, and both have winter threats. I am riding with those right now as the ensembles(including GEFS to some extent) agree with those two. The 12z GFS is significantly colder than its 0z run which appears (hopefully?) to be a hiccup. Here are the 10 day maps for roughly the same time frame. Don't ask me how I didn't get the exact same time frame - LOL. I have no idea. Pretty decent agreement and cold signal for a time frame which originally looked this cold on LR ext modeling, then looked really warm, and has since returned to the original cold look.

I wouldn't change the thread title till Sunday PM if needed - IMO this setup is not set in stone as 25 -50 miles either way makes a big difference..along with the position of the HP and how the storm cutting through the Great Lakes this weekend adjusts the location of the key players on the field....

Back to the storm for next week. Latest EURO EPS and AI ensemble.

It's all down hill after he had snow to his napes in Feb 2015.

We went from a sunny forecast here today (which I figured would be wrong since Frederick is cloudy at least 60% of the time) to scattered flurries. I trust Tuesday's forecast like I trust DC sports.

Euro is close to something a few times the next couple weeks but there's just enough ridging in tne SE to keep it a cold rain for most.

Nooooooooo!!!!!!