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No matter what kind of precip (minus the frz rain that would be devastating), that amount of liquid would certainly help on the dry/drought situation. Course, that much locked up in snow/sleet with a slow run-off would be the best situation to perk down into the ground.

Find an old one from a previous storm and rage bait people with it.

Yeah I feel all that. This is a pretty shitty hobby and we’re in a historic snow drought. My son asked me something similar last weekend “why does it always get worse for snow?” Lol. Don’t have much useful advice except take a step back for your own mental health. 18z euro yesterday sorta triggered me for some reason and I just put my phone away at 7pm for the rest of the night. I wish I had the strength to just ignore everything until snow starts falling Saturday evening lol.

Dang. I mean even BWI recorded 13" for the Baltimore record!

I honestly don't know where the other "streamer" is coming from". It may well be catching the Indian Creek drainage from near Sams Gap. You really want to look at the mountain on the NC side. It has to sit perpendicular to the SE winds. Could be Unaka. As much downslope as Johson City gets(and I am on the terminus of that I26 streamers). But yeah, that almost has to be Roan Mountain causing that other warming area - sits perfectly upstream for that warming to happen. That Roan Mtn warming comes right around the end of Buffalo(could be using Buffalo as well). And honestly, JC could be catching the Indian Creek funnel which connects to the Roan stream. Crazy physics in the mountains. Just another great example of why it is so difficult to forecast here. And the win can howl on Roan Mountain.

Me too.

hopefully the 1/31- 2/1 system works out, need an exciting, worthwhile/trackable event before Spring kicks in

All while he smiles with his ground white. But seriously I have learned more about weather from him than probably anyone else on this site.

Sorry after this week I want that snow stripe over Bermuda right now. At day five Bahamas are a good target and at day 1 I want the storm over east NC.

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The top map angers me

Whiff? Or merely 8 hours later than current thinking?

49 today, forecast was 44

Honestly try asking Google AI lol .

One more thing and I promise I'm done for a bit. Consider dewpoint differences between the CAD areas in NC and the TN Valley...

Last post lol. The way I see it is the fast downsloping winds are creating friction with the surrounding air and pulling the cold air through the valleys.

Oh good now I can get some rain to go along with my less than impressive snow amounts. Fun

Don't forget, storms can also make their own.

That is a ridiculously crazy CAD.

would that make them inept?

Let's ride it

Like living the 90’s all over again.

I would not sweat over the CMC/RGEM profiles. I've never modified other models guidance based on what the CMC is showing...

If you want less sleet you seem to want either the primary to die early and coastal to form well south of the area (best case scenario for NYC and points south and east) or the primary dies out and coastal is weak and it's snow to a dry slot, the rgem has a pretty strong secondary tracking close to the coast hence the prolonged sleet, at least that's how I'm reading it. Personally I wouldn't mind prolonged sleet vs dry slot but if you don't want sleet you probably want a surpressed and south secondary I'd think.

Do you want to be the pot or the kettle on the weather weenie message board, lol