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The (not so) sci-fi version of this El Nino... It will rise to historic proportions, but ... no one saw it coming - though in retrospect, really should have. Why? because it already happened once, in 2023. The whole planet surged, by almost .4 C spanning a 2.5 month period that spring, brining the planet perilously close to the theorized threshold of +1.5 C over the IR. Only this time ... by a whole degree C Such that not only are we at 2.5 over the Industrial Revolution entry mean, it is so crazy warm that relative ONI renders almost meaningless outside of the immediate tropical atmosphere. Vaguely coupling to the mid latitude pattern ( meaning weakly correlating) It's going to be the first panic year of this ongoing CC explosion, which just moves slower than human perception - geologically? It's detonating. 0 summer ice in 5 years. Roth slides into the ocean... Global tsunamis claims a billion lives

@StormchaserChuck1 Here comes the -SOI….

A fox just walked past my house with a fish in his/her mouth. Then headed down the street and into some woods. I wonder if there are kits. Idk if the fish was a catch or a find...but I want it to be a catch because that's much cooler. Looked fresh to me and intact.

Very well said. All we need to do is look back at events of rapid climate change in the past. In the natural world they were caused by events like large impacts and super volcanos. The Siberian Traps (which occurred over a longer period) the results were the same with 96% of marine life going extinct. The release of greenhouse gases caused extreme global warming, with temperatures near the equator reaching 165°F (74°C). Ocean devastation: The CO2 led to ocean acidification and a lack of oxygen (anoxia), killing most marine life. Feedback loop: The eruptions may have melted frozen methane on the seafloor, creating a devastating feedback loop. All of this is on the table. .

Strongest ever Nino.. lfg

+3C ONI is what we want

Sounds about right.. probably going to be slightly warmer than average this summer with slightly below average precip

The newer cultivars are sterile but the originals where brought over before anyone put any thought into invasive potential. There are saplings allllll over the place in NYBG and they are actively trying to eradicate them. Red bud is a great tree but weak in storms so not really suited to coastal locations. .

Let’s do it!

The consistent squally weather has been at least mildly interesting today. Super sharp gradients to each of them… It snows hard then rolls out, some of them miss you by 100 yards or so. Not snowing over here but hard on the other side of the field. Then eventually moves in.

Mass installs later this week

As Journey sang: So here I am with open arms Hoping you'll see what your dews mean to me Open arms

Definitely a warm look upcoming.

maybe you'll hit 60°?

The strong westerly wind burst is coming now. We'll see if snowman's triple cyclones develop and help to keep producing westerly wind bursts in the coming couple of months.

While I agree in principle, most of the non-native flowering cherries are sterile. Eastern Redbud is a better choice.

I had a date. We were off from school and took the LIRR to see the circus at MSG. Thundersnow at Herald Square is a cool memory.

Ok Patrick Star lmfaooooo

Hmm. It's funny how you'll believe model output forecasting several months ahead for this but not for anything else. lol

Was actually able to get a mostly sunny bike ride break in just now. Clouds are becoming more aggressive, though. Absolutely loving the current theme of the 10 day forecast.

Looks like 80's for the 14th

Those of us who missed yesterday’s rain are in a world of trouble

nice 4 us, brutal for sc/nc

This is indicative of a very well coupled (ocean-atmosphere) El Niño and Bjerknes feedback taking control: