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I would hit this hard. 6Z Euro with more to fall

To you as well

Let’s see if I can get 2 feet by December 1st

Was that 2022? 23?

Let's Jerry antecedent days all month!

Happy Thanksgiving!

Man here’s hoping. Can we just get one early season for once. I don’t remember the last big early December snow up this way.

We baste today. See what transpires on model runs. Barring anything major, it looks like a good start to MET winter for some coming.

Probably gonna lose a few inches due to melting and compacting here, still a fast start to winter, none the less! Love to see it

You were at the last one??Dec 22

Yeah, lead wave plays a pivotal role in sensible outcome. Pointed that out yesterday. Sort of torn on stronger trailing wave as that would likely introduce more warm sit intrusion with retreating high.

Dang, I didn't even look the weenie that I am! You're right!

Still looks like could be little more after 144 too.

This things gonna cut right over me. Will literally be 5 mile shift in track that we could get warning criteria snow or 3in of slush. KIND rather bullish on warning criteria just to my west with the question mark right on top here as usual lol. White knuckle weekend ahead, pun intended. Go big or go home, I'll call 6in here. lol

10:1 ratio is more encouraging and brings the line down to suggest it's even closer.

Nice snow hole. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

That big Ohio State - Michigan showdown came so close to being a full-on snow game. Game is at noon and heavy snow moves in there by evening and goes all night.

Some pingers seem likely.

Few more ticks south let’s go. I mean anything is possible at this stage. Last year at day 5 we thought we were looking at a 30” snow storm and that went poof. Hopefully this trends a bit south and high gets stronger.

Not a whole lot to say other than storm is definitely more probable than it looked 24 hours ago. Reasonable model agreement for 5.5-6 days out now. The cold front that comes through Sunday night is our antecedent airmass. So you’ll want it to trend stronger/south if you want the storm to come in colder on subsequent runs. Ideally you’d get both the cold front stronger and the shortwave stronger from the storm…which would give you a colder antecedent airmass but a juicier storm running into it.

Not a drop of rain in DC or Fairfax County. Models blow it again.

Central Park

6z Euro Soooo close to great for most.

CP? .

6z even better