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  1. Past hour
  2. A-L-E-K
    still no heat to be found on the euro, looks like whole month will be great
  3. nw baltimore wx
    seinfeld-cosmo.mp4
  4. canderson
    Nooners: 81 with broken clouds
  5. nycwinter
    i would be happy if this pans out!
  6. WxWatcher007
  7. Damage In Tolland
    Feeling Coc k and loving clubs?
  8. bluewave
    We may have to wait until after the summer solstice later this month for our first official 3 day heat wave reaching 90° or warmer at Newark. The trough looks to take up residence around the area for the next several weeks. A continuation of the spring blocking theme since March 20th with the addition of a strong +PNA.
  9. Brian D
    0.75" of rain last night into the early am hrs. 1.11" for a good start to the month. Avg is 4.23", so a way to go yet, and forecast looks decent for more significant opportunities. For May, ended with 3.88" (3.30" avg) with 2.12" falling on the 22nd. YTD through May is 10.61 (9.66" avg) so doing well there. Last year, starting in May, precip was pretty bleak until later in Sept. Doing better so far this year.
  10. nrgjeff
    Apparently West Tennessee had some landspouts over the weekend. I have seen few if any pictures on social media, but MEG did address questions.
  11. nrgjeff
    Looks more and more like we'll escape major heat for a good chunk of June. We're all mentally prepared for a hot July and August each year; so, I'm not too concerned about those months. Yeah September nights get cooler. The lower sun angle also takes off the edge even during the day.
  12. powderfreak
    46F for the low and tickling 80F at 11:30am. Fantastic.
  13. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    COC and golf in June…just love to see and feel it.
  14. Carvers Gap
    So summer did not start early. After a bit of a false start to summer, the pattern has settled back to a late spring temp cycle...nice days and cool nights. I fully expect summer to be hot, but the longer we can delay the heat...the less heat that we get. August and September (prob part of October) is certainly better than mid-May to mid October. The great thing once we get to mid September, at least the nights cool off.
  15. mreaves
    I bought my Callaway Rogue ST's at the W. Lebanon location a few weeks ago.
  16. Typhoon Tip
    This is unfortunately not true. It would be nice if that were the case, but ... it's happened twice at equivalency into the British Isles/latitudes in the last several years. The Pacific NW in 2021... The frequency of these occurrence has been rising. And there are papers being published on reviewed-reserved servers that discuss - next time I happen by one I'll be happy to send over the link.
  17. mreaves
    At my club you get to reserve a weekly tee time if you pay your membership in full by March 1. There are people who have had the same tee time for 40 years. And they never cancel.
  18. Today
  19. Typhoon Tip
    I get how the math works... That's why I said "equivalency" in that. That was a synergistic R-wave feed back, the likes of which have been occurring with increasing frequency world over, that has struck Mexico and the Marine climate region over to Florida. Those are different phenomenon from the normalized CC footprint. That's what we were getting at before
  20. TheClimateChanger
    Basically what I'm saying is the climate warming in those regions is so substantial that standard deviations based on historical climate norms are meaningless, because the current mean is already 1 or more standard deviations above the historical data.
  21. TheClimateChanger
    In fact, I would argue it's impossible to replicate that type of behavior at mid or high latitudes. The internal variability is acting in tandem with the overall warming trend, so you're going to produce outliers like February 2017, March 2012, etc. that might be difficult to beat for long periods of time even with continued warming.
  22. TheClimateChanger
    Even 3-4 degrees of warming in a continental influenced, mid-latitude is insufficient to cause that, because the internal variablity / standard deviation is so much greater.
  23. TheClimateChanger
    I think the explanation is much simpler. The standard deviations [i.e., internal variability] is substantially lower in those locations due to being at low latitude and being surrounded by water. A couple degrees of warming in the Caribbean or Florida is all it takes to get into a new climate regime where EVERY single month is above historical normals and where any given month in a regime favoring warm anomalies is likely to be the warmest on record. We are in that universe.
  24. Typhoon Tip
    One had to go by context root on that exchange between Don and myself. It's been above normal ... but we are not over a Standard Deviation distinction like they've been down there. We certainly could have been much more extreme given the pattern, but the pattern foot print has been preventative from bringing that. Equivalent would have been much more excessive, with consistency, to ORD-NYC latitudes.
  25. TheClimateChanger
    It will be interesting to see if this month will come in below the normal mean temperature. Two days in and it's a bit below normal, which will likely reverse over the next 3-4 days. However, both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks favor below normal temperatures. So looks like decent odds that it will be below normal on the whole through mid month. June 2023 was the last below normal month officially at KPIT. Some of the other climo stations may have managed a below normal month somewhere in that period.
  26. Brian5671
    Dries fast this time of year and the low humidity only speeds it up. Next chance Thursday for rain
  27. TheClimateChanger
    But then again, I saw some boomers on Facebook comment that "it didn't feel that warm" to them. So maybe we ought to sort by people's feelings, instead of actual data.
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