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  2. It's really an excellent site David Gold has put together. Tons of great stuff. It's so nice to be able to see the actual AAM charts again. I'm glad someone has decided to keep up the work with these. These are so much more helpful than simply a positive or negative reading. For example here, we can see the la nina fade away it's influence on the atmosphere as we headed through May. With increasingly el nino conditions exerting influence. One last gasp of the residual la nina around mid June. Now, this el nino looks to be increasingly taking control from here on out as per AIFS forecasts and these obs. Also of note, what has been a very active jet in the Southern hemisphere. Which has been pointed out in this thread too.
  3. Outflow in the southern semicircle is impressive. Almost looks like half a major .
  4. They look pretty far away on radar but I'm getting thunder and lightning already.
  5. My neighbor was cutting his lawn (hay at this point) yesterday and there was so much dust being kicked up by the mower that I understood how the dust bowl happened.
  6. The atmosphere is pretty well turned over at this point. Not sure we're going to get much more in the way of tornadoes unless it's some QLCS / bookend thing.
  7. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 705 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Southwestern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 704 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Petersburg, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Petersburg and Rough Run around 710 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Masonville, Welton, Brake, and Dorcas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3903 7918 3901 7885 3883 7894 3893 7923 TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 284DEG 25KT 3896 7917 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
  8. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 703 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... East central Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Southeastern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 703 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 9 miles north of Wardensville, or 11 miles southeast of Romney, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Star Tannery around 715 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Yellow Spring, Gravel Springs, High View, Delray, Wilde Acres, Rock Enon Springs, Capon Springs, and Lehew. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3925 7830 3909 7838 3910 7839 3909 7839 3910 7840 3905 7845 3904 7845 3912 7865 3927 7859 TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 285DEG 29KT 3921 7865 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$
  9. Radar looks pretty good overall for central MD and east imo.
  10. Is it supposed to rain today?
  11. The waterspout in th Delaware Bay earlier appears to have come onshore in Cape May as a tornado. I can't help but wonder what that cell would have done if it had been over land
  12. And it appears that the 2nd show has already split to my north and SW... Have to go to DC and the Burtonsville area this evening - not looking forward to that..
  13. Some of the heaviest rain I've seen in a few years. Maybe heaviest rain I've seen since I moved into this house in July 2022. 2.5 inch+ per hour type stuff for atleast 20-30 min. That along with really dry ground led to some localized flooding. Those purple echoes came right overhead
  14. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 656 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 656 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 14 miles west of Franklin, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Franklin around 710 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Riverton, Circleville, Ruddle, and Cherry Grove. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3867 7962 3867 7959 3868 7960 3869 7960 3875 7953 3878 7952 3883 7930 3858 7926 3865 7963 3866 7962 3866 7963 TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 261DEG 33KT 3871 7960 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
  15. The grass here literally looks fake. I’m sure the water table is still on the low side, but no grass-related issues here. Getting dark here and just heard thunder. Will prob get above 1” again. Frederick needs to win like this when it’s 30 degrees lol
  16. Tornado on the ground near Youngstown right now
  17. Especially considering the quality forecasts they can get on this Board.
  18. I think all of wake is over 4” for the month with Raleigh-north over 8”
  19. Houston better look out for lots of rain. Buda, not so much. Bertha's center of circulation is now progged to pass well east of me. This means no rain and highs around 108 degrees ambient, not counting humidity. Better build a lot of Arks Houston and Louisiana! You're gonna need 'em! Not to worry. We got us a record Nino on tap and strengthening and I'll get plenty of flooding rains between now and May 2027.
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