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Magnolia Temp drop 1 degree to 37F

Temp up to 34, with snow. Not accumulating but pretty to see

Speaking as a member of the N & W crowd I'm with you. There were some concerning signals popping up last evening. One reason I did not go higher than 12-18". Even thought about leaving my 10-15" forecast alone. Not a good thing when you have to rely on banding and ratios to get you to the finish line. It can get you there but you don't want to have to depend on it. I just want to get 12" here to verify my forecast. Personally I think the 18" high end is fading for this area and for near certain N & W of here. Just gotta watch radar and mesos from here on in.

Joke of a storm so far usa wins gold in hockey at least

Need to distract ourselves from the pain of knowing we have wasted 5 days glued to the tidbits website

34ºF and about 1-1.5” on the grass/decks here, not much precip falling at the moment. Very wet snowfall. I saw some of the early 6z stuff come out before I went to sleep early this morning and I wasn’t too enthused with the trends. The more robust guidance is now fading the coastal low pretty hard after it only just reaches off the Delmarva. Banking on that low coming in closer was a key part of me bringing back the higher amounts further into the Sus Valley on my map, but I did reflect my thoughts on that as well as surface temp issues during the daytime portion of this event. Short range/high range seems to be zeroing on the inverted trough band centering somewhere between here and Harrisburg. If the steadier stuff developing just east of I-99 doesn’t push back this way some this afternoon I’ll be sunk for getting anything near a warning total.

@CAPEsnow mixing in with heavy returns

Hellebuyck is the MVP, 1st Star, 2nd Star, and 3rd Star

Wouldn't be surprised now.

This is how many Mets are they just dont show it

36.7/35 Light rain.

Dooming time feels like it happens all the time

What are your thoughts on the GFS and general model cut-backs? Could the further south solution be due to the warmer water temps being south?

Snow mixing with the heavier band

Yup.

Rain here in Fallston in what will likely be a subsidence zone between the norlun and the ccb just to my east.

And therein lies part of the problem. People have been calling this a historic storm now for 24 hours before even a flake falls. I'm not even sure what the word historic means anymore, to break into the top 20 the city needs 15.4 inches from the storm. Would that be historic? If they get 15.3 is that not historic? They got 11.4 inches last month so if they get 11.3 is that a bust? I get the excitement and I hope it is a great storm, but people calling a storm historic before anything happens.......

We pray

Yep The board chanting USA after the GFS pulls the rug on a blizzard is true irony

If the mesos stay steady it’s game on still.

Brought tears to my eyes

Rates have remained steady since the flip probably half inch so far which is a shame but still pretty

this is now now casting time using radars and various types of surface reports and observations - I don't think any model can keep up to date at this time because of all the complex interactions in the atmosphere constantly changing

Like the swallows to Capistrano .

It's so odd to behold. Not sure I've ever seen someone choose a career in weather who has a pure disdain for all-things snow or winter. I couldn't believe some of the comments I saw him make this past week. He said this winter was insufferable and unbearable and that he hated it. Constantly ranting about models. Also agreed with many people who made comments like, "It's crazy to me how anyone could enjoy winter or snowstorms." Just all types of stuff trashing snow-lovers. He may get the forecast right and that's great, that he did his job properly, but his tone and biases are really something else.