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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z euro also looks better. Still has us SE'rs pingin for a bit, but pops secondary a tad quicker. Theres not a model I wouldnt sign for. NMB's snow maps gotta look great right now. -
A shit ton of that accumulation along 95 is sleet. Like 3” of sleet! 6z brings in this ridiculous band and dumps close to an inch of qpf midday Sunday most of which is sleet but hey that counts! It also did beef up the snow before the flip by 1-3”.
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Key takeaway…locking in
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Snowlover11 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
We are still in the flip flop stage. Every model outside the NAM has gotten a bit colder at 6z. -
YES
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Gfs has slowly shifted some towards other guidance if you account for the fact it can’t see mid level warm layers and adjust the snow/ice line 20-30 miles NW like you have to. Then it looks identical to the euro and rgem. The warmest guidance shifted colder. The coldest shifted warmer and they ended up converging on about what the euro has shown the last 24 hours. Shocking.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Tatamy replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
The RDPS is also holding serve. The RRFA-S is actually improved over its 0z run. The only bad boy from 06z so far has been the NAM. -
We wait for Dr. No...but nice to be within 48 hours and things solidifying rather than rug pulling.
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That does look like an improvement over 00z to my untrained eye
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We take and mic drop
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The GFS gives me a foot at 06z.
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D.C. goes from 11.9 to 13.2
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
6z GFS also ticks S and has no taint except for extreme SE corner of Philly really nice to see cold holding its ground, and not getttin bullied by primary. Just a thing of beauty. -
The backside always works out when it’s that juicy.
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Man.. I hope that backside works out. Light to moderate snow Sunday night would be pure powder.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Your forecast is almost identical to mine. -
About the best run we could ask for and still more to come as we flip back
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Smoke show up here
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GregRups21 started following Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
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Still getting rocked at 60, freezing line around Fredericksburg
