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I might be wrong, but I believe our biggest snow ever in the Knoxville area was in November, however, just about all of our biggest snowstorms have been in March. That makes sense though considering that’s about the best moisture return month you’re going to get before it gets too warm. .

Yes at 12z

There's that inverted trough creeping eastward as I suggested it would after 12z runs. By the time it's over, it'll be over the Gulf Stream probably.

Every model all day today has ticked better outside the ai and it’s great to finally have the euro tick better as well. Great spot to be headed towards 0z

quite a bit better here

That's west? It must have been in Bermuda.

I totally agree... i've observed the last two winter seasons that the GFS ultimately ends up following the European model as we get to about 48 hours out. I'm just wondering if the AI's have verified that's all

The gfs ai is one of the worst performing models I have ever seen

huge jump west

You’re right. Comparing 500 environment surrounding the shortwave trough in question it argued for something north I thoughts

Does Will get a TB of space for images?? Wth.

In a normal season whenever the last time that was I would say this is right where we want it at day 5.

March 2025 would like a word with them .

Yep big shift west

I don't understand why we treat any of the AI's at this point like we do the traditional models. In their short history have they consistently verified? Seems like to me they give more of an "idea". Mods move to banter if need be.

I mean it had to be

Euro's gonna be west but still a miss. Saw some positives at 500 mb though.

It's vastly improved..more precip by far than 12z, BUT STILL NOT LIKE THE GFS. I don't have snow maps, but there will be increase in snow amounts, but probably nothing earth shattering

lol! Someone posted before me today and it screwed me up. Anyhow let’s goooo spring!! .

So… The gfs looks better

Is the precip going to fill back in at all or is it done where it’s done?

not there yet but much better compared to 12z

I was just in Central Park and if there's a trace of snow that doesn't make sense it would be rain and it's not falling lol. Also there's a good two to 3 inches of slush at the park. By the way do you guys know the Central Park spread for the day?