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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Looks like 2.15 will do it. Definitely was needed because local pond barely responded. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, I hear that....but first of all, I feel as though at this range, the reluctance to forecast an event of an unprecedented magnitude/nature should take precedence with any ultimate capitulation reserved for closer lead times. In other words....in July, it's safer to heavily incorporate analogs and if it still looks unprecedented later this summer and into the fall, then revisit. Secondly, this is just me musing when I offer guesstimates like that...it's not as though I'm issuing any type of published forecast or anything. -
Dewpoint down a couple of ticks, nice breeze, it actually feels fairly pleasant this morning.
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That seems to be the story of the next few days. Efficient, but hit or miss rainfall.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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I was joking but yea your half of the county cannot catch a break. I was right there with you until the last two days though. The best news though is the heaviest rain just keeps targeting the falls lake watershed over and over again. It has come up over 6 inches over last two days which is a ton of water added to the reservoir and completely offset all losses from the heatwave and most of the last month
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Nearly everyone I know who lives in NH is praying for rain. I know 2 families who are having watered delivered out of fear that their wells are on the verge of running out of water. The frequency of droughts and the contaminated ground water is going to lead to more and more cities/towns having to install public water systems.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
dendrite replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
lol don’t ever change - Today
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I don't know how reliable the Severe Weather Europe site is but like the read on the upcoming winter forecast for the polar vortex. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/early-forecast-data-el-nino-polar-vortex-disruption-united-states-canada-europe-winter-2026-2027-fa/
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Still nothing lol. Today looks like another dry day. Maybe tomorrow I'll get something. Early next week looks great. Manageable temps and humidity along with some sunshine. Might as well get some nice weather since it's not going to rain.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Baroclinic Zone replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
2.64 -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A refreshing low of 63. Time to catch the choo choo. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This event is in runaway strengthening. The subsurface warmth is just as crazy as the surface warmth in regions 3.4, 3 and 1+2. And we are about to see a barrage of TC’s that are just going to keep reinforcing the WWBs/westerlies and DWKWs. That 30C isotherm is going to reach 140W easily this fall… -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Region 3.4 record-breaking: Region 1+2 also off the charts, the only El Niño event in history that was warmer in 1+2 at this point in time was 1997 and it wasn’t warmer by much -
1.15” imby from approx 10pm Tues to 6am Wed. 2.93” in July so far.
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We finally got under one of those nearly stationary cells. I think 0.8-1” or so between 10pm and this morning.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
The 2.75 inches yesterday appears to be the largest rainfall since December 2023. Even that was over a 2 day period. Used AI so it might not be 100% correct. Soaker for sure. -
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
68 degrees for the low. The river up here took a 4 foot jump. Not exactly sure where the rain came from. We have had less than a 1/2”
