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Bingo. Give me a -EPO with some blocking and a flattish pna. Nice gradient type pattern with waves ejecting across the south into an established cold dome. The bob chill bowl / train tracks pattern. Much rather that than have both a roided EPO ridge and a spiked PNA. Simple overrunning setups work around these parts. They haven’t come very often over the past decade, but when they do.. they produce

Fully expect to go to sleep here soon and wake up to winter canceled again.

People are on edge......

This is the New England forum. most of us don’t give a shit about the mid Atlantic

I have a Smart Oil tank monitor on a 275 gallon tank. I’ve been burning about 4.5 gallons a day the past few weeks when we are home all day and heat to 70 during the day. 64 upstairs and 60 downstairs when we are sleeping and 62 when we are gone for more than a few hours. We also heat the partially finished basement when we are home and my son goes down to play. All in all, a little under 1750 sq feet heated. Been told the house is pretty well insulated but I do have to replace the seal on the front door.

Went down to Huntington harbor today and it was mainly ice free. A few spots close to the shoreline had ice, but last year had more ice at its coldest. we’ve had many nights in the 20s but none below 10 and only a few in teens. We’ll need a stronger push of arctic air to really freeze the harbor

Around this time in 2018: By the beginning of second week of January, after spending about 12 days below freezing, most of Flushing Bay and Little Neck Bay, along with other bays along north shore of Long Island and Queens became frozen. Was one of the most impressive cold snaps I’ve ever seen here. Didn’t make it close to 0, single digits only, but the duration was very impressive. Similar to the duration of January 2014 and February 2015, Late January 2019 made it close to 0, mid February 2023, and Valentine’s Day 2016 of course. All of those were close to 0, but just a few days of deep cold. The duration of January 2018, January 2014, and February 2015 was very impressive. Late Jan through early Feb 2025 was also very impressive in duration. Most of the south bays were frozen over I believe

Yeah next weekend is looking quite warm. Probably close to 60 in NYC and 60s to 65 or so from Philly to DC. Rain or not, very warm

The persistent warmth in the central and west US is almost unprecedented. Most of those places have barely seen any snow, if at all. Winter has largely been confined to the Midwest and northeast. It is becoming more evident that this is not the winter for cross country storms, at least not yet. We have a higher chance of scoring big when we’re not the only ones with the cold air

I think they were playing people they had just picked up off the street resting all of their starters and the commanders barely beat them lol.

Jan update of MJO through Jan 2nd: finally heading back the other way inside the circle. So the first two days of Jan are on or inside circle. 12/29-1/2 were in phase 5:

Light snow falling .

You guys live up north??? Hit 68 today. Dare I say hot this time of year.

Is it common practice for a team with second seed up for grabs to rest starters i wouldn't think anybody would do that.

Been like this most of the season.

It's been a boring pattern. Not to mention the seemingly continuous cloud cover.

On a message board that exists because people love cold and snow.

0.3" last night.. 23.6" ytd

Careful what you wish for. With that epo ridge on roids, a + PNA tandem could be too much of a good thing (polar cold but dry). I will roll the dice with the epo and some cpf with a flattish negative pna ejecting waves along the thermal boundary.

Paul operates on a different level than most. Was lucky enough to lead write a couple papers in collaboration with him... let's be honest the concept and research was fully driven by his vision. Come in with a question, and he'd counter back with ideas bouncing off the walls and 5 PhD disseration level questions

Who wishes for warm weather in winter?

You wait and see. Daniel Faalele in the wildcat gonna hit like a D3 Euro KU

I have no dog in this fight but if the Ravens refuse to run the ball after early success…

I’ll have to try those. I had the last Celebration Ale of my winter break.

RAK Juice Almighty. RaR Hop Isolation Riwaka.