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The UKie is nice but it's such a terrible model.

Yeah idk if this is unwavering. One of the more concerning things I’ve seen, lol. But still got breathing room.

Bright blue skies breaking out here already.

It has a cold bias at range but in this case the GFS is pretty similar with temps leading in. Both in the teens.

I mean yes, of course the pattern looks to be very cold. But all these years of many many many 35 degree rainstorms has taught me to be wary until we are very close.

About 2.5 here in mattapoisett. A lot mire on the trees.

Absolutely not. Not under were inside HR 60.

Oh’ you guys did well. Only 1” in the valley.

God, I love that place! Best beach on the east coast of the US and just picturesque New England. Said hello HW there when he came in his high speedboat grabbing lunch.

All you needed to do is get some rest and look what happened

Heading through Coventry

And pounding fatties as we speak

6.1 inches. That’s without clearing. After almost 4 years we finally did it.

Wonder if it’s picking up first that the high won’t be that strong cause it usually isn’t. Thus the slow north trend in it.

5-10"

Around 4” at Perkins Cove in Ogunquit earlier this morning and was ripping those fatties that Will mentioned

Sun dogs and -9 this morning .

A lot will depend on how shallow the airmass is of course with the CAD in place. What we have going for us is the fact that there will be a parent high to begin with. The players are there for sure in looking at the models but as always we need everything to line up perfectly for blockbuster snows. We will see how this plays out. Even if there is some mixing I always remind people that 1/25/00 started off with many hours of rain before the massive snowfall.

Euro AI: our savior, strong and unwavering

No

Time to start the thread?

You mean euro ai? Never heard of euro surface temps being broken.

Let’s hope the H to the north doesn’t suppress the weekend storm

Agree, given the current setup look, suppression is more likely in terms of how this could fail. But I'd still like to be optimistic (won't necessarily say "confident") that even a bit of suppression where we end up on the northern edge of the best snow would still be a win for us. That would still be warning-level snows, literally cold powder. I think last night's Euro showed that scenario? Heck if we can even increase the amount of moisture being thrown into the cold air, expand the precip shield, that would be nice too.

Could be looking at the first back-to-back winters (in at least my 24 year old memory) where Barnegat Bay completely freezes over. Last year we had ice 6" thick, enough to get the ice boats out for some racing for the first time since 2018.