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Definitely no at BDL tonight, 1.21" for the day. HRRR did a good job at least up here.

No I don't I'm saying it's been way too warm and humid this summer (Torch and DIT type weather) with the exception of a few days here or there. That's why I don't get why everyone is this excited about one, albeit exceptionally cool, day. We all know the drill, it'll be 70-80 right into November.

Moderate coastal flooding expected along the south shore tomorrow evening. Definitely enough to flood the low lying spots in Freeport, Lindenhurst, Island Park etc.

Interesting read on another weather anomaly happening in the Indian ocean. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/new-iod-event-developing-winter-pattern-forecast-united-states-canada-fa/

Erin might be the most overrated hurricane ever.

There are some signals that December can be a cold month here due to a weaker early season PV, displaced SE PV, and as you mentioned, a -QBO.

.56 with moderate rain. 55/55

It hasn’t strengthened at all based on that first pass. Winds probably still a bit generous. Think the opportunity to regain 3 intensity is rapidly fading. It does appear to be kicking east some. Based on buoy reports between the storm and hatteras I’m not certain tropical storm force wind will make it to land. I think the models may have overdone the western extent of TS force winds somewhat really unimpressive buoy reports anywhere near the coast

Yep, up to .89 for the day with over a half inch in that hour

TTTE

Erin is kind of boring now. Hurricane Andrew landfall radar: https://imgur.com/G5IB3vI

I would say yes. But I also just wired some Nigerian Prince 300 k from my savings account.

Nope!

Up to 0.59 for me in Lindenhurst

1.14" at a nearby PWS. Nice drink.

It is definitely moving north east now. Look at KMHX radar. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Outer Banks didn’t see any rain at all.

Steady rain continues

8:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 Location: 32.2°N 73.2°W Moving: N at 14 mph Min pressure: 941 mb Max sustained: 110 mph

Reminds me of:

We typically get warmer rains in Jan and Feb

Ridgely is on the edge of it. Close to an inch there.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 700 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Central Caroline County in eastern Maryland... South Central Queen Anne`s County in northeastern Maryland... * Until 1100 PM EDT. * At 700 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2.5 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Yeah Tuckahoe is getting hammered. Flash flood warning in that area. Fun for anyone camping there tonight.

As a kid, I remember traveling to Florida from Virginia after hurricane Hugo. The place was devastated.

That lunchtime storm was pretty legit. Loud thunder!