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  2. Also be aware, I have filed a complaint with our local moderator for your use of "gypsies". Never mind. That's you..
  3. Like all the insects and birds that eat the spongy moths before they do any damage?
  4. It's the GFS and it's a little over a week away but it will be interesting to see how this trends on the GFS and other modeling / ensembles. You have to admit it looks impressive. I'd take this look any day from December through March much less early September.
  5. I remember. Don't think we see that kind of heat later in September this year though.
  6. I’ve seen three around my house this week. Been trying to hunt down their eggs
  7. It’s a waste of time killing them. They’re here now. It’s like the gypsies. I have to laugh at the public service announcements they’re putting out south of here to smash them all. The predatory insects and birds will realize they’re lunch soon.
  8. Yeah. I’m seeing that too. I remember a lot of early color in 2017 after that cool August and early September. Then it of course turned hot in late September as you know. lol.
  9. HOW'S THE SWELL LAD WHAT DO YOU RATE HER
  10. Surf's up at Achill Island.
  11. Right? Everything's been coming up roses. I almost feel bad for the AHATT folks. They can't win for losing...
  12. SHE WAS FIT INNIT LOVED HER SWELL
  13. We did crack 80 but I’m not complaining. 80.2 and absolutely wonderful out
  14. Yesterday
  15. South Shore blizzard and October Cat 1.
  16. In our apartment complex. Attleboro.
  17. Another trough hitting the Great Lakes around 9/4.. it will be interesting to see where we go after that, it might start warming.. October is the month of the year where the PDO correlation really picks up, and is the highest correlated PDO month of the year, in terms of non-0-time based happening: But in September the PDO correlation is still weak
  18. 46 again here this Morning. Around 40 in Mountain Valley Locations.
  19. hopefully we get a few of those this winter!
  20. 12z was a bit warmer but just looked at 18z and looks pretty average with the warmest days maybe reaching 75 for someone in SNE we take!
  21. Nice post. I love subsurface data, as the thermocline probably has a better correlation to our pattern than surface SSTs, which are variable from the pattern (look at how much Erin cooled SSTs). Subsurface data is spotty, so any info on that is great info. That updated image to July 2025 is cool. I would think in a more classic -PDO it wouldn't be as warm from the top down, and you would have more consistency about 200m deep. I've always said I think it's more of a decadal La Nina state in effect.
  22. Highest daily SOI today since May.. +24. I think a Weaker La Nina state is more likely for the Winter. 2nd year La Nina's and -PDO's tend to have a more classic cold season -PNA pattern, but we haven't had as strong of a -PNA generally since the 23-24 Strong El Nino. It's very likely that August 2025 will be the 11th consecutive month with +SOI Top 20 best matches since 1948 to 2nd year La Nina vs 2nd year El Nino for the cold season (Nov-March) Dec-Feb
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