All Activity

Definitely Georgetown

Back to Bermuda tonight at 00z. Got it

Dear lord it’s beautiful

???

EPS mean with over 5” at islip and the west trends just started. Slow and steady baby

I sure do miss the GoAT . Fischel

And that “should” bring precip with it if other cold winters are used as analogs. I don’t trust the coastal enhancement, but I do like light snow from the northern stream with high ratios. If this turns into a NE blizzard, NE TN and SW VA often finds themselves in that axis even if just light amounts near the genesis of the storm. If DC can end up in the storm, that is usually a good sign for us. Kind of a weirdly displaced Miller B.

I suspect it is trained on a huge dataset! I suspect way back, so I would not worry about that!

Yeah it just sits out there and bombs, pounding the shore for a day or two

This is the best EPS run of today. Better than 00z 6z 12z.

I came in to show yall a good run. I'm not going back in there, lol. Place is hostile to yankees. Kinda tempted to go in there and post this tho:

18z EPS mean

Wow that's is definitely better !!

I mean, we are tracking a February storm…

Data from the recon mission for the TPV will be used in the 0z runs. Probably the most important runs of this winter season.

After seeing the Euro make a big jump like that I wouldn’t be surprised to see the heavier snow keep ticking west our way. But then again wouldn’t be surprised to wake up in the morning and poof it’s gone lol .

Exactly!

Georgia .. j/k

I always say the same thing but in the case of this storm id prefer it to slam into ACK or GON. Would be a ton of qpf ahead of this before any mixing would even be a threat.

We always fight that fine line. We will be worried about temps soon.

Question: Is this a true Miller A? If so then would AI have a tad more trouble grasping the Synoptics since it’s so rare .

Rare, but it does happen if the air mass is cold enough and the wind direction is right

Weary about the full moon, winds, and already chewed up beaches in many spots along the Jersey Shore.

Very similar to my driveway here in Hickory. Two inches thick of ice. My son "shoveled" off about a third of it today, and it took him almost 3 hours. My driveway is only 60 feet long, if that. He was using the backside of an ax to pummel the ice into pieces that could then be shoveled off into the yard. School is going to be remote in Catawba County for the rest of the week, I would imagine. And, then, we get to the weekend's event...