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Funny you say that, I thought the same thing early on from where it was but the trough stayed positive to far east.

Scotty Norwood there on the GFS

GFS is one thing but I'd really like to get Euro back here after that disastrous 12z run. I don't even wanna be in the GFS bullseye at day 5/6

The end of the ensemble runs look to perhaps be signaling the soon to be breakdown of the pattern as they are retrograding the ridge out west but it could ultimately be 2/15 or later before that happens

JMA was a huge hit btw https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/jma/2026012612/jma_z500_mslp_us_7.png

That’s it. I’m out! I give up…for a just a few minutes until I crack one more. Then I’m back in for the Euro.

If euro is east again, I fear the OTS threat .

Yea I thought it had a better shot early on as the n stream dug further sw but nope.

Finally a true winter. Sick of hearing people saying we were in a new normal.

WB AIGFS also a fish storm.

Freezing mist on the Bingo card?

There was 17” inches where I was. I was a junior in HS at the time and had never seen something of that nature that I was old enough to remember. The 70s and 80s were lean times for snow lovers in the NY area. Snow changed to mixed precipitation during the day before it ended. My only source of weather info at the time was WINS and WCBS plus TV news at night. People have it so much better today.

Go with ensembles at this range-OP models still a bit out of range

Maybe not better in the end.

Hopefully the 18z Euro drops the hammer on everyone.

17.5 but just looked at radar after spending an hour cleanup the awful job the snow guys did. So I suspect that total will change.

18z GFS about 185 miles SE, OTS after dropping some snow on Georgia and the Carolinas.

WB 18Z GFS fish storm

My snow depth board stayed at exactly 4” all day. I don’t think that’s changing much the rest of the week.

Disappointed in the 18z runs. Was hoping to see this one back. Hoping for the 0z suite to be good. Will probably be out of model to model to model watching if the 0z's are not looking hot

Perhaps but they always said there is the potential for heavy snow and they certainly got the heavy part right, it was just rain in the Tri-Cities. Currently they see little to no potential for the next one. As always, I guess we will find out in 5 more days. “Sitting here reeling em in”

Nice. Steady snow coming down now. Trying to coat the roads and everywhere again. I don't think I was expecting this now. Of course! I just ran out to do a couple of quick things LOL. Looks like a winter wonderland out there

So close yet so far

GFS is further east

Slightly disappointed for sure. Just hoping 0z suite is good. If not then I think we can start tossing this one a tiny bit. Will definitely be out of the watching suite to suite if this isn't back tonight.