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It has been discussed and sorry for missing it, but what kind of snow ratios are we looking at for this storm? Significantly more than 10:1, yes? .

Yes I know I have come off pretty cynical on this board for this very reason. Especially after that one big storm that busted due to excessive dry air that had trolled us with a foot till the day of a few years back.

Woot Sid.

It can, but not always.

Reminds me of feb 2010 when each run kept ticking up for us.

Fucking Caps are going the way of the Wizards. Killing me.

UK

Yes, which is working against us in this scenario. With the warm mid levels and the cold surface temps, thats a disasterous recipe, especially if the HP keeps funneling the cold air. 100%.

UKIE like 15”+ 10:1

Through 18z Sat the UK is a little flatter than 12z. Still amped but a tick less. I'd prefer small run-to-run changes anyway, especially if they are in the right direction.

WB 0Z Can.

It’s usually #2 and sometimes #3 in verification.

And it over amplifies a lot

UKie time.

I believe mets here have said thundersnow is very unlikely given the set up

93 on UKIE sleet approaching

It has Massachusetts sleeting. Overamped much?

I live in Greenville. Thanks.

And that is more than enough time to decimate a pine tree forest that hasn't seen an ice storm in close to a decade.

Crushed from 84-90

Can tell already Ukie will be colder than the CMC.

Agreed glad to see you back, and everyone here.

Been waiting on this! I mean its a 1050 High some of the coldest air at the poles.

More confluence out ahead, slightly weaker ridge. Nowhere near that ridiculous 0z solution yesterday.

I really want to know what they were thinking with that snow map... I don't like to question people smarter than me, and the meteorologists there have forgotten more about weather than I'll ever know, but like, did someone fall into a coma 24 hours ago, wake up, and then hit "send" on that map without checking any recent models?