All Activity

Its weird how looking at storms that could be rain coming for us is way better than looking at temps in the teens with absolutely nothing. At least we have a shot. I don't think its a good one, but its a better one than suppression to North Carolina while my heating bill skyrockets.

Speaking of which, the HRRR joins many other models in painting the southern band directly over Guilford county. Schrödinger's snow band if you will.

That sun is starting to work it’s magic bit by bit. Soon we’ll all be outside tanning with full back nudity being par for the course. Come on tippy, let’s get this party started!

Torch today. Beautiful out. More of this

Zoomed in for detail:

Occasionally, some really bright returns on radar across middle TN along the leading edge as the precip moves in. Would almost guarantee a burst of sleet.

This is accurate lol. This will be one I’d consider a bonus event- if you get snow great, if not oh well. Not gonna make up for the wake county miss even if we got the best band but at same point this could have a few surprises and maybe someone gets a significant localized snowfall

Putting all my money on wherever the HRRR doesn't have the band

Not sure about cooling

Interesting distribution of QPF. Maybe high ratios?

Nice 2-4 regional snow preceding the Arctic hounds

Precip shield is more robuster in the southeast than models depicted so far. Just saying.

Official forecast model:

The regular Euro ensemble from 12z:

Norlun on Saturday ?

Everyone busting on the weak pos. Tomorrow morning in the lowlands

That is true. It is only good if it is a paste job for photos. Half the reason I got so upset about this last one is because of missed photo ops with a big one in Raleigh that could have caught on.

First true “thaw” day in well over a week. 50 degrees, all snow is gone from sun, working on the last of it in shaded areas now. My strategically reinforced and shade placed snow piles have some staying power though

The amount of happy chemicals my brain managed to derive from a ten-minute lunch break dog walk in 28 and sunny almost just shot me straight through "I guess I'd still take a big dawg" season.

To torch for Valentine’s weekend or no torch; that is the question

February snow generally sucks unless it’s a coastal with heavy rates or at night. Even last years storm didn’t stick on roads until sunset even though it was in the mid 20s

It's a legit threat. Not all longwave patterns are created equal. Not all -PNA's are created equal. A -PNA pattern without any blocking and a scorched N America with no cold air anywhere is never going to work, and that is what we've had when we've had a -PNA most of the time lately. A -PNA with blocking and a N America covered in snow and cold air left over could possibly work. Yes it will be a warmer pattern, yea any wave COULD end up rain...but at least there will be waves coming at us and room for them to amplify.

It has WAA thump event 13/14th range.