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Yes. I hit on some of that in my intro post. As you said, that 50-50 low is vital for this to work out, but we don't want it displaced too far south as has been depicted on some recent op runs. Weakens/suppresses the shortwave southward without enough space.

Down to 3F in the valley, -10F at picnic tables. Dropping fast now.

Pretty wild...I always thought it would be like early afternoon when they got really crushed. Still looks like there is a bit to go before this is even maximized there. The totals are going to be absurd. Someone is going to pull off 20+" though once wind whips up good luck measuring

sounds like you need new windows - I am more concerned about losing electric....

Still snowing lightly under weak radar returns, 2.5"

Real light stuff here all morning. Maybe half an inch? We're going to dinner and a show in Salisbury tonight. We'll see how it compares down there.

We had a little dimming of the lights going on a few minutes ago. That's one of my worries with this wind combined with the cold. Power outages.

Congrats @Ginx snewx@mattm4242folks RI/Orh/North shore getting absolutely crushed! Awesome event so many mesoscale processes HRRR has more filling in metrowest 12-3pm let’s hope we get better rates and growth

GfsAI is a warm frontal passage as slp heads to the Lakes. Lol Edit: looks like some snow before any change

Brutal stuff. Coldest wind chills I’ve seen since the winters of 2013-15.

Some of the totals on the North Shore are gonna be crazy. Just getting annihilated.

February 7 1857: A snowstorm dumps around 9 inches of snow at Fort Snelling. For Saturday, February 7, 2026 1861 - The temperature at Gouverneur, NY, bottomed out at -40 degrees, a drop of 70 degrees in one day. Two days later the mercury hit 55 degrees. (David Ludlum) 1861 - Hanover, NH, plunged from 37 degrees at 1 PM on the 7th to 32 degrees below zero at 7 AM on the 8th, and West Cummington MA plummeted 80 degrees to -32 degrees. Boston MA plunged from 46 degrees to -14 degrees, and on the 11th was back up to 60 degrees. (7th-8th) (The Weather Channel) 1934 - A deep freeze made it possible to drive from Bay Shore to Fire Island NY. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1978 - The worst winter storm of record struck coastal New England. The storm produced 27.5 inches of snow at Boston, and nearly 50 inches in northeastern Rhode Island. The fourteen foot tide at Portland ME was probably the highest of the century. Winds gusted to 79 mph at Boston, and reached 92 mph at Chatham MA. A hurricane size surf caused 75 deaths and 500 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Low pressure in Manitoba, Canada, pulled warm air up from the Gulf of Mexico, and more than forty cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including North Platte NE and Rapid City SD with readings of 73 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Twenty-two cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Binghamton NY with a reading of 5 degrees below zero. Snow blanketed southern Louisiana, with three inches reported at Cameron. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Twenty-five cities in the western U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lows of 16 at Las Vegas NV, 26 at Bakersfield CA, -29 degrees at Milford UT, and -16 degrees at Reno NV were February records. The low of 43 degrees below zero at Boca CA was a state record for the month of February. In Utah, lows of -32 degrees at Bryce Canyon, -27 degrees at Delta, -29 degrees at Dugway, and -38 degrees at Vernal were all-time records for those locations. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - A slow moving cold front spread heavy snow across the state of Utah. Storm totals ranged up to 31 inches at Alta, with 24 inches at reported Brighton and 23 inches at Snowbird. Bitter cold weather prevailed across Alaska for the thirteenth day in a row, with morning lows of -42 degrees at Fairbanks, -48 degrees at Nenana, and -54 degrees at Bettles. Anchorage AK reported a record low of 23 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2017 - Six tornadoes traveled across southern Louisiana. The strongest tornado, an EF-3, impacted eastern New Orleans.

Had a dusting overnight. It's 11 right now and winds are done if the strongest I've experienced in a while. Hoping the 2nd floor bedroom windows don't crack from being slammed around facing the north and west.

Good call. I’ll start. Focusing on 0z EPS. Next window of interest, s/w running into confluence thanks to 50/50 low: Keeping cold air in place: While area of low pressure stays to the south of us: And precip distribution looks good:

Had a 46 mph gust at 2:20 am here. About an inch of snow, though that is an average as last night's wind whipped stuff was a struggle to measure. Absolute crazy 15 minutes last night around 1:30 am. Snow and wind brought vis down to a couple hundred feet at most a couple of times. Easily would have been 2-3 inches if it had continued for an hour. At 7 am CoCoRaHS report I had spots that had been cleared still clear and spots in corners/edges with 6" of new snow. Currently 17.4/1.1 at 10:50 am with NNW wind at 10 gusting to 26 mph, WC 5 to -1.

BGM -3 and gusting to 53mph is fun

Favorable upper levels and surface leading into the next weekend potential. Need to keep an eye on wave spacing, any minor wave(s) moving east in the flow midweek vs the bulk of the energy being ejected from the southwest later, and the strength/ position of NS energy near the 50-50 region. Good surface and upper level depiction leading into a potential winter storm-

Dry with moderating temperatures

Agreed though not looking forward to mud season and potholes galore. Ground has been frozen for weeks. Big thaws won't be kind to it

When the winds come you guys will have 5' drifts.

It wasn’t a HECS but moving my shovel to the back of the garage worked its magic again. OTOH, my shovel has spent the better part of the last decade there, so there’s that. It’s slice open a taun-taun with your light saber and crawl inside cold, down to 9F.

We’ll see. Sun still poking through

yeah may end up being the case.

Band off to the east finally giving some steady snow with decent flakes here. Let's see if we can grab a couple inches

Classic DC area winter storm. Seen it countless times.