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That look has worked pretty well in recent winters, with a timely transient -NAO helping out at times.

So you would rather have a model that teased every single run post 200 hrs rather than a piece of guidance that 'should' be more accurate, at least in theory? I bet you were a huge fan of the DGEX too?

Gunna' need a very nice -Epo after losing the -Nao.

Oh so now that there is virtually no shot at making the playoffs, and with a backup QB, the Ravens decide to play bully ball and pound the rock. Feeding Henry, eating up clock and scoring on long drives. Fire Monken.

It's the GEFS at 384 hrs, but that is a very nice -EPO popping up

2008 the last time for a big ice in SVT? Worth checking on generators in the morning.

I do appreciate that. 1 inch of ice is worse than 3 feet of snow in many cases. I do not feel that the local stations are mentioning this event past a minor nuisance.

Even better

Think TX had a mega millions up at 1.7 BILLION just the other day.

Yup, the only reason it isnt colder here was we had a bit of a breeze up until about 730....down to 15.3⁰ almost a degree since I posted

00z HRRR hitting icing hard. Still long range for it but something to monitor.

11/7 here.

What about the hours of ocean effect snow that hit Long Island and southern nyc? Never seen that before either. Weird storm everywhere

Lol, 9° with DP of 3° at 8:30pm, That’s chilly.

Check your posts from last Feb. I remember when one of the TOR crew said they had 26" depth you asking if that was the deepest he ever seen? Would be in the thread for the last event for which GRR had me under a Watch, only to cancel it by the next update when it became obv the storm wasn't going to get its act together in time for SWMI. Then even DTX said "miss SE stank" after AFD's were talking crippling bliz for the Thumb. It all ended up hitting TOR. Oh, and yeah another WWA from my office. Can I redeem 3 of them for Warning?? Going back two years almost, every county around Clare has gotten a Warning. Clare stands alone as the only county without one. On an island here, lol.

SNH could be in for a problem Monday morning. Not a December 2008 issue but something to monitor. Latest HRR

I agree that is a big miss on that central area, but I still sent B- bc the rest of the forecast was essentially perfect...but yea, I had pause. I am usually a pretty tough grader, but threw myself about bit of a bone there...many outlets were also too robust in the max area, too...hell, NWS went 8-12". I was torn between B- and C+, so that is reasonable.

Already down to 16⁰....unless we start getting some return flow and or clouds later on, its off to the races for radiators....clear, calm, and a fresh 7 inches of powder, should be the coldest of the season, at least here

Even Tippy's 582DM Miami rule is met there, but easy to do at hr 222.

No, not him...but he likes January, too. I don't speak with Dave much via DM.

Lol...feel better?

You can’t go by the maps, use the lat/lon

Lamar has gotten so much hate this week. Now maybe I'm wrong about his injury but...from what I understand this is a different thing than cracked ribs, as it's about range of motion. Calling him soft/a wuss and accusing him of quitting on his team nasty work, imo It just goes to show you that no matter how good of a person you are...some people will still find reasons to hate you, smh