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  1. Past hour
  2. Below normal temps in the gulf stream? I wonder what that will do to the weather in Europe.
  3. WB 12Z EPS supports a wetter forecast for May 20-26th period.
  4. SPC storm reports says 4.50" near Hamilton! I wonder how many injuries there are per year from 2.75" plus hail. I know there are essentially no fatalities from hail.
  5. Much of this week will see temperatures top out in the lower and middle 60s. Additional showers are possible on Thursday as a warm front moves northward. There remains a risk that the front could stall for a time. Friday could see temperatures return to the 70° or above should the front clear the region. It will turn warmer during the weekend. Parts of the area could reach or exceed 80° on Saturday and especially Sunday. In the long-range, there has been a shift in the guidance toward a near or somewhat warmer than normal second half of May. The probability of a warmer than normal second half of May has increased. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C. El Niño conditions are rapidly developing and will likely be in place in the next few weeks. The SOI was -9.25 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.922 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.2° (near normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  6. WB 18Z GFS went berserk with rain....maybe early but hopefully a sign of things to come with the El Niño.
  7. App has about a half inch in total .
  8. Frost tonight and 90 by Sunday. The bimodal distribution continues
  9. Today
  10. I’m assuming you’re as uninformed as most of your tweet and wx app posts and missed the Euro part
  11. Looking to get cold up your way tonight and tomorrow night. Stick with the couch.
  12. Yesterday
  13. Accordion man won’t like that map
  14. Yeah, Eastern Mass barely gets over 4"
  15. Incorrect . It’s mainly over Friday in SNE other than a shower
  16. Multiple pics of a big waterspout between Morehead city and harkers island
  17. Not a big fan of spring but damn if it can't be pretty. Something about the new leaves and lighting.
  18. Yeah its thu night-Friday. Euro has 2-5"
  19. Storms missed me by about 5 miles. Only got .03" today. Big cool down though. Went from 82 to 66 in a matter of a few hours.
  20. Euro only has .25-.30 river East for Thursday . Congrats west of River . Stein east
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