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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
A-L-E-K replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
$$$ -
got an unexpected.25" OTG, I honestly didn't think this was going to pan out up here, I take tho.
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Looks like we got a dusting so far with on and off light snow
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Friday's daytime max of 30F at NYC would have been the sixth lowest maximum for the date. The record low max was 22F in 1886. Also colder were 24F in 1926, 27F in 1901, 28F in 1893, and 29F in 1871. The 30F was set to replace 31F (2002) for lowest of the past 99 years, but the daily max then crept up to 32F before midnight, so all of the above was amended as a few more days crept into the mix at 31 or 32 F. The minimum of 20F (despite the much greater urban heat island now present) was lower than all but six years, most of them well back in the records. The lowest reading was 11F in 1926, followed by 13F in 1886, 14F in 1871, and 15F in 1935. Also colder were 19F lows in 1901 and 1911 (and 2025 also tied 20F 1893). Friday was (until the slight evening rise) slightly colder than the same date in 1989. A benchmark cold day early in December in relatively recent times would be Dec 3, 1976 (max 23, min 9 both records) followed by Dec 3, 1966 (max 25, min 15 with 14 the following morning before a massive warming trend culminating with a record high 66F on the 9th). I remember reading my own backyard thermometer (30w Toronto) in that 1966 period when I was a high school senior, at my home weather station we went from a low of -2 F to a midnight high of 60 F over those same days, and there was a very high barometric pressure with the cold spell. There was no snow on the ground either except for traces from a light fall before the cold snap, the November had been very wet and mild.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
it's nice to see a garbage 1-2" otg hang around in early December. I can't lie. In this particular area near Lowell (lol) in a valley, is practically impossible without optimal conditions -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Mainly just not getting any lake enhancement + sloppy drizzly sub 1-inch WAA sludge. It’s early, but below normal temp days with sunshine and not a flurry to be found is not normal climo for here. If it’s in the 20s there should be some fluff in the air at times. I was just hopeful this was going to be a year where the snowpack can build. -
Snowing here. ground covered.
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My parents often told me how the mid to late 80s winters were more often brutally cold but without much snow to boot. It always killed inside as a kid too when we’d have periods of cold and dry weather and I just remember looking out the window in school desperately trying to find that one little snowflake descending to earth. It’s amazing how much of a boost that used to be as a little dude just trying to get through the day!
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12/5: 1.1" Season Total: 1.1"
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All 0Z ensembles are much colder in the E US 12/13-17 vs earlier runs.
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It's pretty cool to see embedded bursts of steadier snow with real snowflakes and maybe 1mi visibility. These bursts are evident on radar as parallel bands oriented transverse to the direction of movement. Model soundings were reflective of the low level pixie dust stuff that's forming below the radar beam. But the heavier banded stuff is actually showing up on radar and accumulating.
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0z Euro back to back clippers
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Pretty snowy night out there. Alternating flurries and light snow with intensity gradually increasing since 9pm or so. Probably a few tenths accumulation on all surfaces... could be some slick spots. Nice job by the hi-res models even days in advance. I'm not sure how well models would have picked this up 15 years ago.
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I think this will be a good winter.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Jns2183 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The backstory how this all went down is going to be fascinating Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
something is afoot.
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I wish I could take credit for that, but twas not me! I was outlining the banding potential with this system and how there would be two main areas over the sub. This little surprise is indicative of a mid-level maxima scooting through with influence at the surface from a weak inverted trough axis off the Mid Atlantic coast. We analyzed one off DE this evening on the 03z surface analysis which I looked over. Nice little surprise!
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Oh god ya….no worrying yet, but I lived through the 80’s…it can happen. Everything around us, but nothing hits us. That’s the way it’s looking at the moment. Everybody north and south, east and west getting in on all the action…while we get jumped over. Been there done that 40 years ago. We will see. -
the precipitation doesn't really seem to be moving anywhere.... just on and off snow for the lsat two hours
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Yk what I think I should be allowed to create more threads in the future if we’re getting snow 12+ hours it was supposed to end.
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Frederick, Carroll, Baltimore, and Harford Counties Area Discussion
Interstate replied to Interstate's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yep. Never got over 27.2 for the day with .5 inches total today.
