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  2. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  3. Typhoon Tip
    The NINO is not super at this time The NINO is not causal in why this outlook above appears the way it does
  4. Maestrobjwa
    Well the real Dolly was laid to rest yesterday (or maybe Saturday) so that would make sense Rest in Glory
  5. yoda
    Well the NAM only goes out to 84... and IIRC, SPC didnt really focus on our region severe-wise until Thursday and Friday - which is near the end of its run and after.
  6. Kmlwx
    Though I will also say both the NAM and the GFS keep favoring areas to our north and east...hopefully it can bleed south.
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  8. GaWx
    Thanks for elaborating. I see. But this begs the question: why is the ice sheet getting smaller in the first place? Isn’t that in itself due to GW?
  9. Kmlwx
    That NAM run also suggests the EML plume (at least somewhat) will be in play.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    If it were ever going to happen, this is the year.
  11. NorthHillsWx
    One other thing about this system that lends to the idea of it becoming a TS is frictional convergence and the shape of the coastline. This area of coastline is well known for tightening up weak systems on approach. To me this is a lock for our 5th short lived TS…
  12. GaWx
    Thanks, Don! -I agree with you about the lack of dates and other references on his map, which I mentioned to Charlie in my reply to him. That makes me wonder if he’s hiding something. -So, based on your June and July maps, June-July averaged near normal along the Nepal-Tibet border vs a 1991-2020 base, the warmest 30 year base. Taking that as well as the extreme heat of Aug 10-15 into account, it would seemingly have had to have been much colder than normal Aug 1-9 and Aug 16+ to possibly result in a cooler than normal summer. I have my doubts knowing who we’re dealing with here. -He also has nearly all of Tibet in blue colors. But your June/July maps averaged out appear to average warmer than normal over much of Tibet if I’m interpreting them correctly. Thus, August would have had to have been an overall cold month to have a chance to overcome the warmer than avg June-July.
  13. SouthCoastMA
    sell, with violence
  14. yoda
    12z NAM soundings seem to like Wednesday evening into Thursday morning (21z to 06z). What i mean is they suggest some significant severe if everything came together
  15. NorthHillsWx
    I would be shocked if the season didn’t produce a hurricane though I think the odds of an MDR hurricane are pretty low. Gulf and SW Atlantic are the 2 places I’m watching this month and for the rest of the season
  16. mayjawintastawm
    That's pretty typical for the mountains during monsoon season. Some years you can set your watch by them, right after lunch. I've been caught in more than one on my bike, grateful for the helmet. One good thing is that the mountains very rarely have severe-size (1") hail.
  17. FPizz
    I'm sorry, is the ice melt actually accelerating because of GW, or does it only seem that way because as the ice sheet has been getting smaller for 1000s of years, the rate of acceleration increased because the smaller the ice, the more heat it absorbs. A larger piece of ice has a massive volume packed behind a smaller proportional surface area. It needs a lot more heat energy to change from solid to liquid, which takes more time. As it gets smaller, that accelerates.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love how every few days he takes to social media and declares Iran dead, yet the war carries on and prices stay up. I should have went on X yesterday and told everyone that the Sox kicked ass in the Bronx and have clinched the division.
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Good call for NHC. Center is too broad at this time for a classification and plane hasn’t found any winds over 20 mph but the organization trend warrants PTC. Not far off but also not there yet
  20. ineedsnow
    4.19 up the road at Cumberland farms
  21. donsutherland1
    The dates are cropped off his map, which is bad practice at a minimum. June was near normal with an area of cool anomalies in the Nepal/Tibet region. July was mainly warmer than normal. Here are the maps for June and July from Copernicus: June: July: The region saw extreme heat during August 10-15, 2026. Kathmandu reached 32.3C (90.1F) on August 11, setting a daily record. Nepal's Department of Hydrology and Meteorology also reported that the mercury soared to 38.5C (101.3F) at Janakpur on August 13 and 37.5C (99.5F) at Lahan on August 15. Whether or not this round of heat was critical to destabilizing things remains to be seen. Finally, Nepal has been warming dramatically in recent years. Finally, Nepal has been warming somewhat faster than the climate model projections.
  22. WxWatcher007
    PTC 5 initial advisory coming at 11am.
  23. Brian5671
    and alot of model busting on placement of rains etc
  24. ineedsnow
    looks like Southern CA could get a hurricane.. GFS has been leading on that one.. Euro also trending that way now
  25. Brewbeer
    we are lucky that Springfield has a petroleum pipeline and terminals to help keep our prices lower than other areas in New England
  26. ineedsnow
    this winter could suck.. or we could get lucky and with added moisture get some big storms
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