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  2. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  3. WxUSAF
    I really have no idea where you live anymore lol
  4. frontranger8
    First 40s since 6/14 here this am.
  5. yoda
    Its kinda funny to see you over an inch of rain and NPZ at not a drop apparently
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's probably due to the anti-2023 effect, which demonstrated that weaker doesn't necessarily mean colder. Guidance is probably picking up on the reduced MC competition, thus the less inhibited se CONUS trough expression.
  7. CoastalWx
    Luke did it.
  8. GaWx
    I don’t know whether or not it is clueless, but the new (8/1) Euro Atlantic seasonal forecast for Sept and beyond isn’t as inactive as what the Apr-June versions showed, which were below normal. This new one, similar to the July run, is actually pretty close to the 1993-2025 climate mean for Sept+ with 8.9 TS and 3.3 MH: https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seaso ... 2608010000
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    That one may have 2009-2010 like potential as we near solar min and potentially continue to relax the Pacific.
  10. LakePaste25
    While I may not agree with the Euro verbatim, it’s a perfect example of how a stronger Nino doesn’t always mean warmer. The August update increased the strength but went cooler.
  11. WxUSAF
    0.5”
  12. kdxken
    Answer honestly. Did someone cut a 350 ft slice in the reflecting pool?
  13. Frankpc
    Half an inch MTD for August, mostly later yesterday. Not that things are drying out ... the dew points are back in the low 70's. Would you like a slice of air? :-)
  14. PhiEaglesfan712
    I wouldn't be surprised if we had a carry over el nino, like 87-88, in 27-28. But it's going to end early, and we're going to get a head start to a strong la nina like in 88-89, in 28-29. It will probably be a one-year la nina, but a very strong one. We'll get the 3rd el nino in the early 2030's, like 91-92 (but probably not with a major volcano).
  15. annunciated
  16. A-L-E-K
    sick, gotta visit athens
  17. mitchnick
    Gotta' love the Aleutian Low at 5H.
  18. GaWx
    OHC is still rising and is now at insanely high levels (>+3), especially for early August! @snowman19
  19. aldie 22
    Yeah that is tasty looking, that makes me wonder what potential that may have for us back here in the Shenandoah Valley
  20. mitchnick
    That range is .5-1C.
  21. mitchnick
    Some WB maps at this post.
  22. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  23. GaWx
    Even the Euro’s 3.4 RONI peaks at ~+3.4 in Nov, which would obliterate the current record of +2.5 set Jan 1982! Note that in switching from ERSST version 5 to 6, the record warmest has dropped at it had been +2.7 based on ERSST version 5. This prog is slightly warmer than the peaks of +3.3 on the prior run (July) and +3.2 on the June run: 8/2/26 3.4 RONI peak ~+3.4 in Nov:
  24. aldie 22
    1.05 lovely!!
  25. mitchnick
    Here's the August DJF temp forecast.
  26. mitchnick
    5H is better this run too. DJF is looking a lot like Cfs2.
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