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Neither is ICON. Light precip at best. At some point, something has to break. We’re 3.5 days away from go time, and GFS (NAM most likely too if it was fully in range) shows a good sized storm. Euro, UK, CMC, Icon show almost nothing. Not sure I’d want to be in the GFS/Nam camp. Upper levels aloft look pretty good but it’s not translating to surface.

I love extrapolating things. Lol. ETA—Shit. I mean the NAM

This should go well.

My bad. It's def not coming now

Remember, the storm can hear you. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Where you getting 5 days? It’s 84 hours out. 84/24 is 3.5 days.

See id be against it if it was the only game in town but when we got three windows we gotta be siloing out the dying ones

Went ahead and pinned this...I guess 12 hours sooner won't hurt

we need the low circled to take control from my understanding... correct me if i'm wrong

I like the nam for my backyard. Not so much for my front yard.

Well, I was gonna give it another day, but if yall want the thread, I'll leave it. Movin on over there

Yeah, for a few days there it looked like it was gonna go super zonal and just flood the continent with pacific air, but now it looks like maybe a brief moderation then cycles back by late month. Makes sense given the MJO progs as well.

At least we get to see the domain range.

It gets a name upgrade if it locks in tonight

The Canadian is still not on board.

When it comes to whether it's gonna snow or not Chuck is like the ol' man in a Christmas Story, "Oh he knows, he always knows"

4 days is still a long ways to go. I'm more worried about this being mostly rain or slop than anything else.

Today in the Ranch Valley of Stowe after 1-3” on like a half inch of QPF. Just keep adding SWE to the pack.

January 16th, the ULL that could?

2021 Wild Card loss -> 2022 Super Bowl LVII appearance 2023 Wild Card loss -> 2024 Super Bowl LIX win 2025 Wild Card loss -> 2026 Super Bowl LXI???

Of course. As our climate gets warmer it'll pave the way for more juiced systems. There will likely be a winter storm that far exceeds those types of storms in the next 15 years. After that, though, the climate will warm so much that any juiced up event will have the heaviest precipitation be rain, rather than snow. Then, no matter how juiced up the system is, we will not get those big winter storms, and would need an intense cold push to time up with a wave for 3-5", max 6-12".

Bring this MF’er home.

Apropos of nothing, but why not.

Created. Made it clear I’m not taking ownership like December storms

Has some potential here, though the lead wave robbing some energy plus the base of the trough not being quite neutral yet might shunt the best dynamics east when it matters most.