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On the 12z CMC, we see a slight weakening of the hp to the NW of the storm by 3-4mbs. Maybe that is a trend towards the AIFS???

im torn between anything or 14+ / go big or go home.

If it keeps to its schedule from last night, Euro AIFS should start up around 12:15.

CMC is a crusher .

1 run is not a trend .

Good point, to be honest the Canadian showed a “middle ground” outcome. Could’ve been a HECS in all honesty lol. Just another model run but damn.

Yea it's a foot in city more as you go south

Haha. Same. I just don't even bother to strike it out anymore. I just assume folks see the error in my ways and politely move along!!!

CMC precip distribution looks similar to the AI’s

GFS bringing the baja ull out for something around the 28-29 timeframe. Takeaway....if storm 1 fails, we still get chances.

I'll ask him. He lives near Boston so I'm guessing its for Boston area but for Sunday, January 25 it says 15-18" for total snowfall for the day

i think youre in the wrong thread, i do that all the time lol

Yeah that wasn't my intention. The potential to create a powder bomb is certainly there. I would feel better if the 10°F was 20°F, but it's certainly on the table.

This is an absolutely ludicrous run. Basically drops 30+” areawide for the 10-day period starting on the 24th.

I am showing 24hr liquid because of higher ratio's and its 100% snow - do the fiquring for your location at say 10:1 15:1 or 20:1 ?

CMC is a foot in the city more south

Just keeps going...Saturday night thru sunday night

My phone has a casual 13-16” for Sunday.

Funniest part is it almost pulls it off but remains too positively tilted to capture the low. Ironically there is a larger storm out there.

This thought crossed my mind as I looked at the CMC this morning at 0z. That looks like an anafront hybrid(w/ over-running). This run wasn't necessarily more amped....it was surprisingly flatter.

Gfs 40+ petaflops vs Euro 30 petaflops. Exciting showdown this weekend, who's going to come out on top as the flop master.

Every time I try to speculate, lol. disregard the above.

Not even close