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We squall IMG_7116.mov
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Once this stuff starts falling, we need a brave soul to post a thread or the "storm." It ain't gonna be me. LOL. The EB looms.... -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Temps in Kingsport range from 35-39F. It is a lot colder than I expected it to be. -
I will take my inch and LOVE it.
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12z euro trying for Sunday night. Maybe a C-1” deal. Esp eastern areas. Dig that northern stream a little more and we might pop something closer to GFS.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
PrinceFrederickWx replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
WWA up for Calvert, Charles and St. Mary's... but nothing further north. I can't believe the same setup from last year is repeating, albeit in a smaller form. If this keeps up, I think we're going to be the most hated sub-sub-forum in all of AmWx. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
A far cry from 2015-16 worst winter ever when everyone was telling us to stop bitching lol. -
Belleayre should be considered to be Upstate NY not NYC Metro - I know we have had this discussion before - most of NYC metro doesn't look like mid-winter with most of us not seeing a flake yet........
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
That’s a good point, it seems to really screw the Northeast. Sweet. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It isn't warm out there. The current HRRR has 1-2" over TRI w/ snow still falling at the end of the run. Both the 12z GFS and Euro have light amounts as well w/ the GFS having more. The NAM is pretty meh over TRI. ***Winter Weather Advisories are posted for northern areas. MRX has seen the 12z suite.*** -
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU weighs in on the diminishing snow chances: MJO activity in Phase 8 and a weak Stratospheric Polar Vortex (SPV) will continue to support unseasonably cold conditions, on average, through the end of December. As for snow, the risk is "cold & dry". However, this pattern has a shelf life, & I expect a major January Thaw. -
i know for sure that @CoastalWx is extremely happy for you
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Im looking out the window beyond my Christmas decorations at a glistening blanket of snow. I can think of worse scenarios to be in in early December. And no, that doesn't mean i dont want a big storm too
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
RemoteSenses replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Looking ahead to next week - models keep going back and forth with two waves. Tuesday's seems to be fizzling out but Wednesday/Thursday could be a quick dumper. -
Us northern tier folks just can’t win anymore. It’s either south of us or so far north it doesn’t matter. Congrats dc south crew.
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The one time I was rooting against snow. Scheduled to take 9am bus from Vienna up to NYC tomorrow morning to celebrate my birthday this weekend.
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12z Euro-AIFS (only has 10:1 on PW... so not Kuchera)
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Moline IL set all.time low season snow last winter (8.2") and passed that total thus year in NOVEMBER
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
You’re a beggar…you can’t be choosy…be happy we have one major at the moment suggesting something…and it’s ensemble also. -
12z Euro
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Iowa is rarely the hot spot because of no lake help of any kind. They can get a good storm though.
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Acknowledged captain haha. I hear you... and yes we all do. My question is, do you believe this is strictly an east coast storm issue? The reason I ask is that we see plenty of tight phasing pretty much anywhere still. Seriously, not trying to be an ass.. just curious
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ambien for me. Snow squalls doing there thing in the normal squall parts of the region -
