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1.96” for the year here .

That “storm” at the end of the month on the GFS might be the first true fantasy storm of magnitude since 2022

This is basically the same look by the GFS and GEM....this is the look you want at 500. Big, cold high sitting over the top w/ a little bit ridging just to our east. The 12z GFS does this multiple times. The GEM looked like it was set to do the same.

Horrible

@ravensrule

Sounds good

Yepper, this run is 'volatile as fuck' , as @CAPE would say. Only a subtle change here or there from the end of the rainbow jackpot or bottom of the cliff carnage.

Looks like the "potential" starts next Thursday per 12z GFS

I'm trying to get myself from looking beyond 24 hours before this "hobby" kills me! Lol

is everyone at lest half their seasonal snow totals then ?

I think you’ll get some. But you are on the fence.

Wow! CMC and GooFus is like a weenie parade.

Only if @Scraffisn't driving, after seeing his fridge....dear lord!

Gfs with 3 shots over 6 days there. Really close to an extended event too just missed some h5 energy that run. The signals are there let’s do this.

Yep, officially punting on this one.

Can we get any here?

As @John1122posted yesterday...Euro AI is wavering with this type event (just further out) on and off last few runs. Boot the low in the GL, turn of the STJ, and let climo let the chips fall lol

I’ll go with AI until proven worthless.

Warm up the @stormtracker bus?

we're officially over the hump- met winter is half over!

Moisture is now my number 1 concern growing forward.

Can't be right. NC gets walloped. It doesn't snow there anymore. lol On topic, I was beat to the punch by Holston discussing the differences at 500. That's the big difference...........

What if AIFS pulls the rug out, then euro comes out with a widespread 2-5”

no one's wasting time tracking these ... the learning curve in this era of [ enter whatever euphemism makes it more comfortable for you ] is large. can't really learn it otherwise