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It’s gross this am.

Clouds the caveat today.

74 / 64 partly cloudy. Warmest day since Aug 26th last year. Pending on clouds the warm areas in C/N/NE-NJ get first 90s of the year otherwise mid - upper 80s and a few 89's with dewpoints in the mid 60s. Warm Friday but clouds again limiting widespread 90s - enough sung gets some warmer spots to 90. Front is slow and hangs around nearby Fri night - Mon AM wit clouds popup storms and showers but the previously forecast frontal passage with widespread storms has been muted with less than 0.75 and only scattered sponts picking that up with storms. 6/ 9 - 6/14 overall warmer than normal with trough back to our west in the GL/MW and onshore component along the coast should keep the opportunity for storms and limit highs shy of 90. GFS lost its persistent long range tropical development. Beyond there mid month 6/16 week heights building east and the heat is moving north and east looking overall warm - hotter that week.

I only got to 66 overnight and my temp has skyrocketed to 77 degrees currently. Eeww come on man

That's been happening for a couple weeks now. Not sure if it's the result of DDOS attacks (these govt servers just get hammered all the time) or some broken/overloaded proxy servers that need replacing. I kind of suspect that the cybersecurity scanning tools (tenable, etc) that are employed constantly are almost acting like DOS attacks with the port scans and the proxy server can't handle all the incoming requests. The repeating pattern of a couple minutes of down time, and then fine for several hours suggests it.

I am expecting to see all white on today's Drought Monitoring Report.

It did not last through 2018. The +PDO was done in by the 2nd half of 2016 (July 2016 PDO +0.57, August 2016 PDO -0.63). It came to an end pretty much at the same time as super el nino. From about late 2016 until 2019, we were in a period of 0 PDO, before we went negative for good in early 2020.

In before East Nantmeal shows up and says he didn’t hit 80 yesterday.

Seems more like CT /MA border north

big number nice

that's about our threshold too. last night was 75F in the bedroom and generally I like it under 70 in summer, but with windows open it didn't feel that bad, although I could do without 3 cats laying all around my body

I assume this was a bear. Never broke the hook or pulled the feeder down. Just punched, smashed, and ate.

Could be some strong storms tomorrow CT into nrn RI and points north tomorrow.

Doesn’t look violent though.

54 here not a fan on.

Watch your backdoor tomorrow

2.89" of rain overnight through 7 AM (Eastern time) and still raining. Feast or famine.

Yeah, it looks a little cloudy now, but we’ll see. I expect a little sun. At least down here.

A meme of TACO boy popped up. Thanks for coming around…

This one long range climate model initialized in 2013 did a great job forecasting the +PDO shift in 2014 that lasted through 2018. So we always have to evaluate on a case by case basis. Plus it’s tough to know when the model is just in repeater mode or actually seeing a shift until we see the verification. https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms11718 The negative phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), a dominant mode of multi-decadal variability of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Pacific, contributed to the reduced rate of global surface temperature warming in the early 2000s. A proposed mechanism for IPO multidecadal variability indicates that the presence of decadal timescale upper ocean heat content in the off-equatorial western tropical Pacific can provide conditions for an interannual El Niño/Southern Oscillation event to trigger a transition of tropical Pacific SSTs to the opposite IPO phase. Here we show that a decadal prediction initialized in 2013 simulates predicted Niño3.4 SSTs that have qualitatively tracked the observations through 2015. The year three to seven average prediction (2015–2019) from the 2013 initial state shows a transition to the positive phase of the IPO from the previous negative phase and a resumption of larger rates of global warming over the 2013–2022 period consistent with a positive IPO phase.

Yea, this doesn't suprise me. No reason to bet against that for the balance of the decade, with perhaps some better luck and a mismatch season or two thrown in.

Still looking pretty wet for Pit2.......hoping to spend some time on the boat.

Looks like the warmest readings today will be following the over the top pattern we have been getting since around 2018. Onshore flow for the south facing beaches. The warmest downslope flow in the Northeast will be found in Mass and NH. So the warmest departures and perhaps actual temperatures will be heading to our north today.