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I said me who lives here not you. Personally I'll take 2 days of potential rain along with 60'-70-/40's-50's for 7-10 days over a damn sauna. And they are backing off of the Wed rain as they always do this far out with E/SE oriented precip . Precip from that direction is usually very light for this area. I should know, I live here
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It’s still wetbulbing down too. Nice big drops.
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I think May 2020 was the last time we had a frost or freeze threat in May, nothing even remotely close to that is coming up. Upper 40s are meh.
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Well timed soaker tonight/tomorrow and then kind of lame again for the next 10+ days. Hopefully June brings some real action.
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Swallow an AR15.
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Yes
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It's shocking how cold some of those 80s winters were nearby. Central Park may not have hit -10 or colder since 1934 but Newark and even Philly either hit -10 or came close during the early 80s. Off the top of my head, Christmas 1980 was one of those days and even had snow with temperatures near 0. January 1982 also had that and a blizzard in April with temperatures in the upper teens! 1983-84 was also extremely cold with a la nina that came after the big el nino. January 1985 had a historic arctic outbreak with lows below 0 and highs only in the single digits here. Even 1982-83 with the big el nino had a historic 20"+ snowstorm in February and the latest snowfall on record at JFK on April 19th.
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45.5° - RA
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My ideal weather is 70 with sun, 50s is still heater weather for me lol. 60s are okay as long as the sun is out and it's not windy.
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The dry pattern may have finally broken so there might not be a dust bowl summer regardless.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It is surprising esp since its only since 1970 but again, that is for the CONUS. Here, 1981-82, 2013-14 & 2014-15 all rank in Detroits all-time top 20 coldest winters (not just since 1970). -
Good luck with your crops. I planted my warm weather vegetables on May 2nd and they're doing great. Tomatoes, peppers, eggplants, zucchini and pole lima beans are all growing very quickly. I don't expect the cool rainy weather to have a negative impact on them. The cold weather vegetables that I planted in March are producing nicely. I've been picking a ton of lettuce the last few weeks and the broccoli is just about ready to be picked. Again good luck with your garden this year. You said you just planted and sometimes wait until June 1st. In my opinion that's a little bit of a late start. I always plant in the first few days of May and have never had a problem. Frost threats end in late April in our area. The earlier the start the better for the plants. I already have some small tomatoes on my plants now.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Highs in the 50s/lows in the 40s dominate the week here. Going to the Tigers game Friday, definitely hoodie weather. Should warm into the weekend to 60s/40s but no heat in sight. -
wow I'm shocked 2010-11 and 2013-14 aren't on the coldest list, as they were pretty cold too. 2014-15 I understand because December to mid January was mild. 1995-96 had that three week thaw in January. 2002-03 was cold but more snowy than cold. Going back to the 80s, I would have thought 1981-82 should be on there as it was an extremely cold winter that lasted into April!
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Tomorrow will see temperatures top out in the upper 60s as clouds increase. It will turn noticeably cooler for the remainder of the week. The below normal temperatures could persist into early next week. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely Wednesday into Thursday. A gusty wind will likely accompany the rainfall. Showers could persist into Friday. There is a chance that New York City could see the mercury dip below 50° for the first time this month Thursday or Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around May 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer. Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal). The SOI was -0.44 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.435 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.2° (near normal).
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as long as the sun is out it will hit 70 here for Memorial Day. The cold weather will come this week with the rain and be out of here by the weekend.
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That sucks. My condolences...
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tell it to anyone out on the sound or raritan bay, if they are crazy enough.....
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and just after i planted my crops....for a few years i held off til jun 1st, but got suckered this year with some warmer weather. peppers and eggplants do not recover from that kind of cold. the nurseries and big box stores just keep selling the same people the same type of seedlings as the previously purchased ones die off....and yet my broccoli bolted early because it got hot for a few days.
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OTAs?
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43.8F Light rain. Not bad for 5pm 5/19
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Camir81 joined the community
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Yeah today blew long thick dongs. Never could fully shake clouds. Thankfully heading to Dallas early morning until late week so avoid hell on Earth and back to enjoy a much nicer weekend
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My wag from a couple weeks ago was that we needed about 200% of normal rain for May and June to prevent a dust bowl summer. Seems well on the way to do that for May at least.
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Models are often overdone on winds....