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I'd be lying if I said the depth of the cold didn't have me a bit on edge. Still like where we sit but things are FAR from locked. One of many big Euro runs incoming.

aren't you guys the same person?

Euro is a major hit. GFS is shit

gonna be a long week. still kinda way out there...not waaayyyy out there but enough out there in time to make our underwear feel scratchy

I’ll be able to get total QPF shortly but think it’s about 9” 10:1 for DCA. Please hold

The gfs is literally alone

The euro has been insistent on the “part 2” picking up the slack on its runs. Later hours allows the low to creep north and the n/s element keeps the snow guns on for quite a while.

Well got a general idea but will be nice to see when the pretty non 1967 maps come out shortly.

Thank you

Long duration on the 12z EURO. Looks good.

ECM is long duration adds up

lol this is literally wishcasting .

If we trend towards the GFS-family, this could be a non-event. The 12z ECM-AI was actually a step towards that solution aloft, despite what it printed out in terms of QPF. If we get a 6z ECMWF, 12z UK/ICON/CMC event, then this is definitely a NESIS/KU event with significant snow from Richmond to Boston. I'm far from comfortable characterizing reasonable QPF expectations at this point. First I want to get more confidence that the 12 GFS solution is unlikely.

@NorthArlington101 you know what time it is

my dream come true

It helped a ton that it snowed for long duration and the phasing got DC/Balt into the goods there after h129. Wide precip field. Through 129 there wasn’t that great of totals Qpf wise.

why ?

That's amazing

Looks like a long duration event per these maps. Looks good to me but unsure how it compares to previous run

TPV looks east and the northern piece looks stronger. Both good for increasing the ceiling and northward extent of the precip.

woodstock event

Starting that slow creep to a Norfolk, Hampton Roads blizzard.

That's fucking awful those pics I mean. Geez. The things I do for you folks

I don’t buy it.