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My total in Clifton was 37.75" which was the driest on my record of 52 years. Previous driest. was 38.84" in 1976, 39.00" in 1985 and 39.45" in 2012

The irony is we trended much cooler in our little corner of the country in New England due to the CAD that’s dominating much of this week and during the weekend cutter. But it’s all mostly irrelevant anyway in terms of snowfall. We’re not expecting much in SNE between now and 1/15 anyway.

I have never been impressed by the BAM weather crew. Lot's of bold talk about how it's "meteorology not modelology" then they flop around like a freshly caught mackerel with each new run.

CMC's buckin for the 15th.... either way, that's a pig +PNA amplitude. I'd be almost - if it were not for the last 10 years of oddities ruling the outcomes - surprised if something didn't manifest during that period, because regardless of this Canadian run ( which is easy to do HAHA), that signal is very much still active in the index modalities

12z model cinema is pretty meh

That weekend system has trended so cold that much of NNE away from coasts ends up with net gain and ice while SNE relishes in cold rain

Also those anomalies are probably heavily skewed from the few systems bringing brief anomalously warm temperatures through the midwestern states and even here potentially this weekend if that system does indeed cut like that

Mistake 1: moving back here Mistake 2: NY entered into a Clean Energy agenda and put huge mandates on utility companies to move off gas powered electricity which costs billions and that is being passed on to you thru huge hikes. Mistake 3: simultaneous with mistake 2, the former governor forced them to close Indian point. This clean energy source provided 25% of New York’s electricity. Long story short, enjoy your bill. It’s gonna be higher next year.

Not sure I agree with that post. If anything, much of those anomalies, particularly central states are probably driven moreso by overnight temperatures. But the pattern moving towards the 2nd and 3rd week of January is looking conducive for some coastal storm potential. I don't think that look has changed all that much over the past several days.

Still only 39 today was supposed to hit 50

I am curious (not doubting the validity of the findings), but how did they determine the jet stream speeds from 100 years ago?

I'm from St. Louis.............. I want to measure it in my gauge. A "soaker" must be more than an inch. A quarter inch only lays the dust for about 36 hrs..

BAM is honking about a warmer than expected "thaw" says it might persist longer than originally expected. Still expecting a flip to cold afterwards but even they admit this thaw has some teeth

Afternoon runs starting to really coalesce around building the source back. This thaw should have a limited timeframe assuming that's right. Nice to see that around d 10-11 now

Snow weenies will ignore the “long shot” part and then cliff jump when it disappears.

Ours was high last month-Nat Gas cold and price of NG was higher as well likely due to the market seeing the cold month ahead

If you are looking for a long shot window to try and track in the medium range - GEFS ens have a couple of members pop something next Monday/Tuesday behind the weekend system. Looks kinda interesting on the OP around that timeframe even if nothing is there on the surface. It's been there on and off on a couple random ensemble runs.

I really like the look after about 1/13-1/14. Details TBD but the longwave pattern finally seems more palatable for larger events. Hopefully it stays that way and doesn’t regress.

The biggest issue I’m facing is that my plan of getting more sun by often complaining about the lack of it, isn’t working.

don't worry they will make sure they plow your ice

I just hope the flip +PDO will last long term, and not fizzle out quickly like it did following the dissipation of the strong el nino in 2016.

Ok…so how’s it looking past the mid month period? 35 degrees out there currently, and it feels real nice for a change.

Just got the highest gas bill here since we moved in back in June 2016. Second only to last January. Two zones and lower level heats with Mini Split but that is of course electric. Prior to 2016 going back to 2002 in our last larger house (just shy of 5000 SF with no zones) I had just two bills that were about $30-$40 higher than my current bill. When we were young and starting out I could figure on $100-$150 a month on average for gas and electric combined. Now closer to $550 month on average combined. Somewhat less during the transition seasons. Sorry to go off topic but not much else going on.