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Today was gorgeous especially with dewpoints in the low 50’s!!
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Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Nonsoon again, completely skunked here. Try again. Not just here, but the coverage that was forecast never really happened. -
Rules x jelly
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Today was a great day to work outside. Still a touch warm for my liking on where I was on the eastern shore. Prefer 72 over 82 with full sunshine this time of year but I'll take what I can get with these dew points today.
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High of 82 and windows open all day with inside humidity dropping to 47%
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
George001 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I’m not sure why I’m seeing people touting the -PDO + super nino combo as a cold/snowy signal for the east when that isn’t supported by historical precedence. The super nino obviously isn’t going anywhere, so I would think those rooting for a snowier outcome in the east would want the PDO to rise, not remain negative. -
Today broke a record cool high in Raleigh: 74°. The old record was 76° in 1921. Greensboro tied a record cool high of 73 degrees.
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Ended up with 2.85" today. Finally passed 20" for the year. Would love to get some more tomorrow. We're making significant inroads against the drought, hopefully we can keep it up.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Gotta' love how Florida is still in the snow despite being south of the mean slp track depicted on that map. The "A" part I believe...the "I" part, nasso' much. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
raindancewx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Canadian looks like it did an OK job on precipitation for July in the US. It had a bad read on the SE/SW US placement, but pretty closer for northern precip. The cooler than average middle of the US didn't verify at all though. I think we'll see similar model issues all Fall-Spring. Moisture is much more directly tied to the subtropical jet/SOI/how strong the El Nino is. The temperature pattern is PDO centric. Most interesting outcome for winter would be if subtropical jet remains very strong and PDO weakens enough to not be a major influence, with the Arctic/Pacific patterns fighting for dominance week to week or month to month. -
2.35 storm total
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Today's Highs PHL: 84 New Brnswck: 83 EWR: 82 TEB: 81 LGA: 81 ACY: 80 TTN: 80 BLM: 79 JFK: 79 ISP: 79 NYC: 79
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They’re all at my house. That’s what I use for my Cocorahs station, I like it a lot more than the standard gauge I used before. It’s worth the price upgrade. The little metal rods to deter birds are great- my standard gauge was a porta-potty for every bird passing through.
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Yes, I agree. 30-yr does have practical uses, but for long-term climate, and I am talking on geological scales, it is useless. Things exist in a rather large range from a local to global scale when you consider how long the Earth has been around, and that's ok. Geez, the range of things from a climatic POV over millions of years? Also, I have seen things done w/ 30-year normals, both on a deliberate and accidental level. Using some random 30-year period to scale wx and records in the present. Which 30-year normal baseline is best to quantify changes or trends to the present? You see one can pick and chose to get desired results here either way. And why 30 years? Is this something significant climate-wise about 30 years? Given that is a tiny speck geologically, I would say not. It sounds more like a human convenient period (generational?) than anything else! We have a tendency to scale and build things around what humans consider a "long-time," but that does not work on geological scales. And then you run into period of record varying greatly for many locations across the globe, so there is big challenge here. We have to have something for a baseline, but having something does not mean it works well for all things.
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1.19” so far! .
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Yup! I loved my 2014, so I wanted my next car to be an Accord too.
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Checking in with a beer. We've got our bases covered in here tonight.
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There are flash flood warnings just west of Bertha's position right now, for 3-5 inches of life-giving rain! Maybe Bertha will get just east of Buda and gift me with 5 inches of flood-provoking rain!! The El Nino is getting so monstrous that I am really looking forward to this autumn and winter with incredible amounts of rain!!!! That subtropical jet is gonnabe LOADED with quintillions of tons of tropical moisture! The title to the Nino on the main sub on this board should be changed to 2026-2017 Brobdingnagian El Nino. We have never seen a Nino like this since this globe cooled. This is NOT a Super Nino. It's well beyond that now, this thing is an all-time historic monster.
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There have been a few but it does seem to be noticeably quieter.
