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With 5 of the next 8 days in outlooks, I was hoping chaser drama on X would cease, and people would concentrate on the forecast. Silly me! What was I thinking? We shall refer to Monday as Monday or whatever day outlook it is (as time passes) and omit the date which shall not be named. Same for that year. Possible another day crops up next week too. That still doesn't make it that year. It makes it spring in the South!

Op Euro still not enthused

Ever notice this? There are fewer tornadoes in Missouri. Each of the available tornado-climatology maps on the SPC violent tornadoes research page show that this is generally true. Any time the SPC puts a 10% or greater tornado outlook for Missouri, I'm thinking, "there probably won't be a big tornado in Missouri."

Ha…that was the old WCI formula.

@ineedsnow^

line trying to back build just in time for some garden variety

Congrats

It would suck because its early May, but for those worried about dry grounds and "drought" conditions, one way to fix that is a good ole coastal. A good widespread 1-3" of rain for a day wouldn't be a terrible thing

I always strongly recommend learning a few basic phrases in a local language. Hello, goodbye, please, thank you, etc. And note that Swiss German is a little different.

This is awesome Snow is almost over with only 1" here...heaviest snow in southern MN. Another cold blast on the way Jan 18/02:45 North Branch MN 22 20 95 5 S10 1019 OVC S- Low wind chill in Auburn, NH this morning of -61.7F (

Coming precip patterns are pre-El Nino Apr-May precip before later-in-the-year Nino 3.4 El Nino's: 6-14 day CPC forecast

Just got through cutting up a downed tree. Hands were freezing after taking work gloves off. Can't believe the amount of dead and downed trees in my woods. No roots

North Branch MN? CIA?

Up to 47.7° with full sun, but man…these dews near 10° make the airmass feel more brutal.

Low temperature of 28F early this morning.

I didn't have a language problem. The barrier was mostly with clerks at stores and then you can figure things out without verbal language. The translate apps on the phone help a lot with signs.

Models still showing a robust +IOD developing over the coming months

Wasn't last July the most humid July on record? We need another month like that, seems like there were thunderstorms every day that month.

Let's see if it makes it all the way to Nino 1+2

That’s from the massive DWKW Paul Roundy and Eric Webb talked about over the weekend. It’s going to advect and slosh east through Ekman pumping just like they all do.

Well peaches can set wayyyyy too many fruit. People usually have to thin them a lot to get larger peaches and to prevent branches from breaking. So having 50%+ blooms get fried saves growers from that hassle. Re:coolwx…I have obs from all over the place. Some from Auburn through 2001. Lyndonville obs while at school in the late 90s. North Branch MN for a year. Manchester and Goffstown obs for a bit. Then finally up here starting in 2006.

First of next week might get interesting. This is d4-7 .

Western ENSO subsurface continues to strengthen, making me think 57-58, 65-66, 86-87, 91-92, and 15-16 could be top analogs. >+4c on TAO/Triton at 160E, -150m