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Enjoy your wishcasting brother. I respect the hope you’re holding onto.
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God if this verifies…with the insane winds. I’m still recovering from that at work.
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doc, did you switch accounts?
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Literally not a single model expect the recent NAM moving it SE. I’m being realistic. If you’re south of mid Wisconsin or Mid - Michigan you can enjoy a rain storm. .
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
SOI remains very positive for a developing Stronger El Nino 13 Mar 2026 1013.78 1004.20 26.18 15.03 10.39 12 Mar 2026 1012.94 1003.80 24.08 14.12 10.15 11 Mar 2026 1012.23 1003.95 19.96 13.50 9.83 10 Mar 2026 1012.41 1004.15 19.86 12.99 9.54 9 Mar 2026 1013.31 1004.00 24.89 12.33 9.38 8 Mar 2026 1013.00 1003.05 27.95 11.43 9.31 7 Mar 2026 1012.90 1002.50 30.11 10.84 9.13 6 Mar 2026 1012.74 1003.30 25.51 10.77 8.71 5 Mar 2026 1010.85 1003.90 13.59 10.96 8.17 4 Mar 2026 1011.34 1003.15 19.53 11.31 7.65 3 Mar 2026 1010.85 1002.70 19.34 11.46 6.95 2 Mar 2026 1010.44 1002.95 16.18 11.70 6.42 1 Mar 2026 1011.79 1003.40 20.49 11.80 6.11 28 Feb 2026 1011.80 1003.50 17.10 11.49 5.74 Lots of month to go, but March is currently on pace to be the Most +SOI month since before the 23-24 Strong Nino. Later Strong Nino March's: 2023: -1.78 2015: -10.7 1997: -7 1991: -10.1 1982: +0.7 1972: +1.2 1965: +2.1 ^since 1950 -
Anyone not believing this is going further and further NE - yall are cray crazy. No hope left here.
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CoastalWx will LUV the Feb 1995 event snow map!!! "NOR'EASTER '95" was the tagline how WBZ lead their news that day (he has told me that many times), and I think that was the first time CoastalWx realized the cheesy hype wx was becoming in the MSM (Hurricane Andrew and Bliz of 93 not long before were the catalysts)!
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
dmc76 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Other than 2023. March has been dead locally. It’s the new slump month. -
DTW gusted to 71 mph today.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It seems like November is the better winter month than March lately. -
You are definitely snowman19 or related. Another troll.
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And yet JACKASS i was more right with my calls than a few on here. Move along
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
dmc76 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
March in the lower Great Lakes is a painful place to live. Inbetween the goods. Warm beautiful weather south. Wicked snowstorms north. In the middle….is just trash! -
Idk, just took a quick glance and the system itself seems ever so slightly north.
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Looks like there'll be a death band somewhere in MN that gets 20"+. Outside maybe a foot. Tough call for MSP.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Bounded weak echo region is another thing that came to mind, but I would think it would have a lot more lightning. -
Yeah I know that's what I been using for years to find all the products for the archive, probably the most active bookmark I have. BTW I credited all you guys for your help at the bottom of the archive main page
- Today
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not really north. you get that illusion due to the changes in the precip field, which is caused by different interactions aloft.
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ICON almost looks like a nonevent lol. Parts of Wisconsin still get slammed, but it's without a doubt weaker and north.
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you said "definitely a cool start to spring". really hope you're trolling, otherwise you just appear to be mentally challenged in some capacity.
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fyredog28 started following Severe Weather Thread 2026
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5.5" today. May be bigger than this big dog. Waiting for GRR's overnight updates but from the APX latest for Gladwin east of me, another wet 3-5" seems reasonable unless things really shift south.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Jebman replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Love your Flickr photos. You sure get some interesting weather up there! -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
To my relatively novice eyes the 0z NAM run looks primed. Lapse rates, decent enough cape, and ofc insane shear.- 187 replies
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