All Activity

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2026021906&fh=102

EURO AI didn't budge the SLP location from 00z, Low 970s very near BM just SE gust like GFS.. Euro is nowhere close to that..

Both NWS discussions in Boston and Upton say NW trend in the past 24 hours with late weekend storm. Could be medel fluctuation and models should come into better agreement tomorrow.

If that happens it’s on to baseball and cherry blossom!

ticked SE nice mod event back to 91 would get some good banding, potentially major ENE

What a disaster of a morning 12z is going to be ugly as we lose the gfs and Canadian

Most of us would. But it feel like we've been led down this road a few times already this season where the GFS/GEFS go against concensus and move towards something bigger while the other models slowly move to the Euro. Then when we are within 3 days the GFS stubbornly and slowly moves away from the big storm. Im hoping we are not seeing this again here, so I am being cautious with this one.

Slight tick se but still a snowstorm for esne

I need to see GFS and CMC to hold and expand precip shield and 12z AI come NW like 00z or even better, that would give me solid confidence and think that the EURO will eventually cave.. But if AI/GFS/CMC start ticking SE we can expect a blend towards EURO solution.

What did that show

It was definitely improved though. I think we'll ultimately end up meeting in the middle between the GFS and Euro with a modest coastal scraper. Maybe the IVT gives some surprises for those inland.

I didn't hate the 6z euro. It's not like it was a total strung out pos like some of the runs it's shown. Some slight adjustments to this and we're clobbered instead. Looking forward to see what 12z does with it.

brutal miss east for them if the ride the euro strat works out like it usually does

jelly, looks like a quality cement defo

It’s barley east the aifs but it’s also not budging it’s pretty steady…. One of these models is gonna have an epic fail soon

Watches at 12z

i fixed it

Euro ai wasn’t a no

RGEM finally started caving. Herpes is pushing warning criteria too.

Dr nos at 6z

ahhh very true. Plus another 4/1/97 except lower elevations are nailed too.

At the upper levels, the 6z Euro continues to make big leaps towards a more consolidated trough like the GFS. I know the surface may not reflect these changes yet (outside of the IVT), but it's getting there. The difference between the GFS and Euro right now is the GFS tilts that trough neutral through the Ohio Valley and the Euro keeps it positive 6-12 hours longer.

Euro runs the southern pva out too far SE early on even though the N shortwave looks 10x better. GFS on an island is never a good place to be.

Will - appreciate you being our map guy. Favor....can you just post the current run and not these comparisons. Its confusing as hell at times.