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Most of the rain appears to be from Friday into Saturday. But the Euro and CMC have some lingering showers into early Sunday. Hopefully, we can some breaks of sun during the afternoon on Sunday.

50 overnight. That should do it for lows near 50 until September

It will never end well in the NE US for fans of winter when you have death start vortex INVO Alaska and the Bering Sea...never has, never will...I don't care which climate era you are in.

Hi Chuck, Interesting comparisons! I personally think using named storms to characterize active vs. inactive years is not particularly meaningful, given the human subjectivity and changes in NHC criteria over the years in terms of what is named. If we take the years with the most and least ACE since 1995, removing years that were El Ninos in the Apr-May timeframe (since they tend to be strongly correlated with -NAO), here are the most active years: 2020, 2005, 2004, 2003, 1999, 1996, 1995 The least active years: 2014, 2013, 2009, 2007, 2006 This year has some characteristics in common with the least active years (-MSLP anomaly from NW Territories of Canada to Greenland and +MSLP anomaly from the NW US to Hudson Bay and off the coast of the NE US). However, what is different from the inactive year composite, and closer to the active year composite, is the -MSLP from near Newfoundland to the central Atlantic near the Azores and then southward into the far east Atlantic and w. Africa. Additionally, the strong +NSLP from near the UK to Iceland is more similar to the active year composite. In short, a mixed bag, probably closer to inactive years but not a clear signal!

1.5" overnight.

next heat signal ..maybe the 11-13th

Eh....the Xmas event occured later in the Xmas day and was heavily tained with IP for me, and I got crewed in PD II. That winter was good, but left a lot on the table.

Yes, we had bad winters like 1998-99 during the 1950s too. Winters which lack snow during DJF and deliver a parting shot in March have happened before and will happen again.

Yes, nothing annoys me more with winter than having a somewhat snowy winter without a big event as the centerpiece. It's why 2002-03 ranks so high for me, it had snow on Christmas, the big 26 inch PD2 in the middle of winter and a snowstorm to close out the season in April.

Another pleasant morning, low of 57.

This would have been a slightly cooler shitty winter in 1898-1899...people get carried away with the CC crap. It was a bad pattern, regardless of the warming climate. +WPO/+EPO/+AO+NAO/-PNA/-PDO and a strong modoki La Nina, but sure...lets focus on CC. That season was an instruction manual on how to avert winter in the NE US.

That storm in February 1983 was my absolute favorite storm growing up, most of the rest of the 80s sucked for snowfall here. February 1983 is what introduced thundersnow into my lexicon lol.

CIPS has a bit of a signature for severe around 120hr. One thing I've seen relatively consistently this spring so far is analogs from 1998 being peppered into the mix. That was a really robust spring.

Yesterday and today are ideal, I wish we could have this instead of the rainy crap or the high humidity swampiness.

it's just one day of clouds and showers though, as opposed to 3-4 days which we don't need or want

It was a blowtoch then....the winter sucked.

That's a general 3/4" to an inch or rainfall....I mean, what has happened to us when that isn't considered awful on a Saturday

36F here for the min. That was closer than I thought for the garden.

Same here...

Ha, I was just coming to post something similar. Hazy, milky summer skies in the 20th century were definitely due to pollution. Maybe there was occasional wildfire smoke but I don’t remember it. We have drastically improved air quality in the last 30 years, but now we get these smoky skies annually it seems. I know the last 3 years have been the worse for Canadian wildfires in modern history. I think there’s debate on how much wildfires are “normal” and what pre-colonization levels were.

https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=1286196370173602&set=a.477613334365247

From what I have read, some of it may have to do with Forest mismanagement in Canada. I'm sure there is more to it than that. Possibly the way Canada deals with the forest fires as well. It would be something interesting to look into further. In this morning's area forecast discussion, the Mount Holly office even states that more smoke will be evident today as it moves in from the north and west

Hopefully kids indoors and grilling just inside the garage this weekend in South Weymouth.

Looks like verrry subtly there's a tendency there to weaken the whole weekend morass too - maybe that'll continue and it'll deconstruct into just daily convection around a dying front. Sunday still looks good - seems to be the models are still spraying solutions wrt Saturday. The flow is weak/forcing is weak, so the model physics get more chaotic Before then ...looks like one of those 89.4/91/89.5 type of "heat wave". First truly elevated DPs though. Even if T's hold to the mid 80s a DP above 65, that is a circumstance no one in NE that hasn't traveled has experienced since last summer.

That type of winter would almost certainly be a blowtorch winter in the Eastern US in today's warming climate. All you have to do is look at 2016-17, which was a similar-type winter to 98-99, and that torched in January and February. If not for March, this would have been a low-snow season in Philly and NYC. In places south of Philly, 16-17 was a Top 10 least snowy winter in Baltimore and DC.