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  2. 3k NAM looked better too. Though severe wise the hodographs look less impressive than this morning. Generally the surface winds are more westerly instead of southern on the latest runs so you don’t get the same amount of directional shear
  3. I’d say well under 85% that it will be warmer than normal in the SE. The better chance imho is for NN there.
  4. PDS tornado warning outside of Evansville, Indiana
  5. Looks like a decent morning too…may be a good time to get fert/compost around the fruit trees.
  6. I’d be happy with 0.75-1.00”. So it can feel free to peel over tblizz’s wives after that.
  7. Should be a decent soaking in SNE. Given how these things sort of peel right figuring that and what models have overall, I think most areas get a good soaking.
  8. 0z NAM and HRRR are pretty close now.. Jackpot in Templeton?
  9. I went through some serious b*******, and I'd hate to see it happen to anybody else. Reclassification as Non-IBD IBD-related medications (namely, 5-aminosalicylates, thiopurines, corticosteroids, and anti-tumor necrosis factor [TNF]) were used in 55 of the 108 patients (50.9%) misdiagnosed with UC and in 80 of the 184 patients (43.5%) misdiagnosed with CD (Table 3) https://journals.lww.com/ajg/fulltext/2023/10001/s1033_misdiagnosis_of_inflammatory_bowel_disease_.1572.aspx
  10. 0z hrrr would be acceptable for most in the metro areas
  11. I like 100. Yes, I'm weird.
  12. Your pad always looks absolutely dialed, very aesthetically pleasing summer scene.
  13. Tne SPC upgraded Oklahoma for wind to enhanced at 01Z but not where there's an ongoing tornado outbreak lol
  14. Check out how Nino 1+2 being warm (+2.8c) is hitting +correlation in the Rockies in the medium range.. means you might have to give warm Nino 1+2 analogs credence going forward The Rockies in the Summer recently have almost never seen that kind of cold. That's vs the 81-10 average
  15. Today
  16. 25 preliminary tornado reports in IN/IL
  17. I think RONI ends up from like 1.7 to 2.0....just my early guess, but I'll have a better idea next month. ONI 2.2 TO 2.5??
  18. Back to back confirmed tornadoes on the ground along the I-64 corridor with this outbreak.
  19. Spent the day w my daughter doing some hiking in yosemite
  20. Definitely done better with that past few years.
  21. Warm Nino 1+2 pattern hitting, despite strong decadal seasonal trend for warmth out there
  22. Unfortunately, in this hobby, no bias = no hope! Lol
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