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Yeah I mean it's literally his name

Not really. He’s basically saying still a lot of moving parts and not to trust anyone solution. Which is playing out in real time. Note the model shifts just in the last 12 hours. Which is why I complemented LOT. Issued a conservative call but with some flexibility if short term trends change.

Shouldn’t high risk, be high risk? Haha

Idk about using global models at short range, but interesting dual maxima of snow on GEFS in NW IL and NE IL. Who knows what happens.

Up to 66F at PIT. If we can hit 70F, that would be the fifth 70+ day of the year already, which would match 2025, 2000, 1946 & 1876 for most on record. Little bit of weather trivia there.

I nominate @high risk to replace Ellinwood

Measured 6”. What a complete joke after what the models showed for so long. I swear the north metro has a weather curse. .

A representative from every preceding rung must be on board to go to the next step. I know Ian and Ellinwood aren’t around as much now so it may be time to update the system—just like the SPC. It’s just worked so beautifully for the last what, decade?

Eskimo Joe has been in... so I think we are at the top rung lol

So mysterious

Seems quite unusual that CTP is strongly on board for this event. They are usually pretty conservative.

yep.

Tomorrow I'd just like to have a good thunderstorm consisting of good thunder and continuous lightning without wind over 25mph. But I guess we'll see what tomorrow brings.

This is your moment

1) Must have used some laser device to measure 2) The device must be slanted at a 170° angle

Where’s @Ellinwood on this setup?

Good trends if you want legit severe here tomorrow.

Well i guess we have a new weenie record in WI It's also on here for now - https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?sid=mpx

Temp holding steady at 32F here. A light glaze on above ground surfaces and had some pea size hail earlier. Watching reports out to the west, waiting for switchover later this afternoon.

Impressive surface cold push right on the heels of the front.

Made it on here for now too lol https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?sid=mpx

3k NAM has some cells running sw to ne well ahead of the front tomorrow after lunch in the warm sector.

Looking like the 12Z GFS agrees with the 3km NAM regarding the snowfall possibility.

Alright, who decided to do a funny?

Out of town but I think 2-3" from my cameras.