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Yeah, the record ridge covering the West into Central states completely overpowered the pattern with warm and dry for much of the country. So we have moved past the usual old school La Niña correlations. This is now the age of the super 500 mb ridge that is going to cancel your winter in the locations where it gets stuck in place.

Ski Resorts Close Early https://www.powder.com/news/lake-tahoe-resorts-close-heat-wave

Not a typical La Niña snow distribution. You’d at least expect the NW and N Rockies to do very well and better in the upper Midwest. NNE still has a ways to go but they usually do very well also in a Nina.

The lake effect zones usually do pretty well unless there is a strong El Niño.

Depends....if this burgeoning +ENSO is as strong as some guidance implies, I think it will be plenty discernible, albeit perhaps with some residual cool ENSO residue.

Yeah, it’s over.

Nice. I still have a couple plowed dirty piles along my driveway, exciting stuff. A solid winter but Feb and March were disappointing here for snowfall after a nice December and January.

33 degrees Wr risk Normal Pa weather looks like

They got absolutely blasted and the official ob from 2 days ago had 51” on the ground. I believe it.

Ohhh GFS.

By then we'll be seeding the atmosphere and folks will be bitching that it's become far too cold... You will NEVER win

Certainly not dry IMBY. We had pretty much all of the snow melt before the rain, so you aren't going to see excess runoff. I was doing some yard cleanup yesterday afternoon and even the frost has gone very quickly. Those drought maps are as suspect as a BDL snow meaurement

Models also showed a snowy and cold mid/ late Morch and that turned out terribly wrong

Yeah, back to our regularly scheduled programming following a rare 4 month hiatus.

Yes, this torch is countrywide. You'll be hard press to find a place with a negative temperature departure this month. This month might set a record for the highest tempearture departure above average CONUS for any month. March 2012 had a cold patch in the Western states.

Another cloudy day in store, sigh. At least it's supposed to warm up a bit.

Sounds delish. Mr Map makes some fantastic scrapple egg and cheese bagel sandwiches

Signs of Napril on the models. At least to start.

Please let it be a warmup that we don’t have to “pay for” later…

The Anafront was a fantasy. The cold also since the Euro is way warmer than the gfs going forward.

I loved the way he'd pop in and get excited about weather a continent away. A generous spirit, and those are always missed. RIP.

Lol... Icon

several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip/storms popping up -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? And how about this seasons analog winter of 95-96 on April 9-10, 1996 ? Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 - Storm Summary