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  2. HoarfrostHubb
    Dews are plummeting
  3. LakePaste25
    Looking at past OLR, it looks closest to 1982…maybe a tad west. It does have that broad convective signature across the basin though similar to 1997.
  4. kdxken
    I thought you were exaggerating. It does look bleak.
  5. LakePaste25
    Yeah, I mean some of this is just noise from TCs. W pac basin was also active in 1997. Just not ready to blame it on this because nearly the entire N PAC basin has seen above normal heights outside the subtropics. We will see. I really want to see where we are at by September. It does seem TCs out there are forming a bit west of 1997.
  6. kdxken
    Better not.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    MJO isn't always the best tool because it doesn't show split forcing...check the Homollover (sp?) Anyway, the ridging this month in the NE has not been El Niño like....sure, you could blame the lack of correlation in the summer, but most other developing intense Nino events did not have it, and this one is developing faster. I think it's also important to mix in actual observations with the array or tools.
  8. CoastalWx
    Nope he loves to go fishing. Raised him into a man.
  9. LakePaste25
    I must be missing something because I don’t see a ton of MC competition. I agree the N Pac is not exhibiting your typical response but I think it could be due to something else.
  10. canderson
    The next five days are going be @Bubbler86 summer chamber days. Low 80s, zero humidity, no rain in sight.
  11. H2Otown_WX
    When I worked as an observer at MKE, I could see lightning quite a ways south of Chicago sometimes so probably around 130 miles as well.
  12. Herb@MAWS
    6 PM LWX Regional Weather Roundup has Frederick reporting a temperature of 102 with a heat index of 104. It may be time to get that thermometer out of the sun.
  13. BooneWX
    It’s deceiving. I was under 2 showers that seemingly looked meh on radar and got an inch already.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, both can be true.....Nino is epic in the tropics, but we still have some MC competition in mid latitudes.
  15. btownheel
    Radar looks pretty anemic, frankly. .
  16. weatheruser
    We deserve this upcoming weather stretch!
  17. FXWX
    I'm at ~1,200 ft in Burlington CT and twice say lightning flashes over Rutland VT... About 135 miles away.
  18. donsutherland1
    A cooler regime is in place and will remain in place through the remainder of July. Highs will generally reach the lower 80s through much or all of the remainder of July. The warmest spots could reach the middle 80s on occasion. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.1°C for the week centered around July 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.82°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -17.36 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.144 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 72% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.6° (0.9° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  19. H2Otown_WX
    It'd be funny if Judah Cohen comes up with an index to correlate forest fire smoke to a snowy and cold winter.
  20. Brian5671
    The next 4 days look incredible. Time to turn off the AC for a few days
  21. olafminesaw
    Don't you worry, the snow line will stay firmly north of the mason Nixon line all winter long
  22. Today
  23. Maestrobjwa
    Agreed, lol I am in favor of them just standing pat or perhaps consider Rogers and Ward for trade. To me we are not going to get anything for Adley that will help the organization anytime soon--and the injuries are only gonna lessen the package, imo I mean for your former 1:1 it better be in your Top 5 prospects and that's just a start.
  24. katabatic started following July Discobs 2026
  25. katabatic
    A beautiful evening to see a free Fleetwood Mac knockoff band at Wisp. 70 with a breeze - heading to the upper 40s tonight. Yes please and thank you.
  26. guinness77
    Can already feel a significant difference in the air.
  27. Stormlover74
  28. SJonesWX
    Did daddy-o @CoastalWx lock you out of your house again?
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