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I don't care how good the models are looking tonight and how much they agree that we're gonna get hammered... I'm putting all my faith in the Spire model!

Unless there’s a time between panels where things warm up a bit up too, we’re fine at all levels on the GFS.

Yes. Always love seeing the wave hit a wall in KY. It is as good as it gets for us. Its the CMC so I am not holding my breath. But that is about perfect for us to get destroyed.

Sleet got all the way into central MD in the 1996 storm too. Not saying that happens. Just saying this ggem run reminds me of that storm.

Pick your poison...either way a potentially devastating impact to the grid is increasing each passing run

I'm cool with riding the sleet line if we can get a storm like that. In all of DC big ones, we had a period of sleet. It is what it is. BUT..I think the GGEM is doing too much since it's the only one showing this

Canadian is awful .

Yessir. Pants tent worthy right there.

130+ reading the thread, love it

CMC with another batch developing 144 lol

If @Ji lived in Raleigh he would say “I want 18 to 0 in one run

And the cold after… this would be generational because we havent had a storm like this since 93 where there has been prolonged cold after a storm. .

CMC looks great!

It might be following more climatology since that is what usually happens?

All in all. The Canadian is similar to it's 12z run. 1-2+ inches of ZR over a lot of the area, heavy sleet over areas just NW of that zr, and Kentucky wins the snow awards.

BOOM!

i'm going to go crazy

Classic!

CMC was a foot+.....GFS was 6-12

Old met down here mentioned that 10 years ago on 1/25/16 we got rocked during the broncos vs patriots afc championship game. Let’s run it back again this weekend folks!

I compiled records for my area for the 23rd-24th. I'd say, as of tonight's model potential, that low max records have a good chance of falling. Friday am lows may reach top 5, but there may be a light wind keeping temps up a little with mixing. But with HP centered over the W Lakes Sat am, radiational cooling will drop temps under calm conditions pretty fast, especially at sunrise where a 3-5 dF drop could occur. If, perchance, the winds are calm Friday am, too, expect the same.