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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Wow- big shift on 18z GFS ensembles to +NAO and warmer CONUS conditions. Natural Gas opened gapping down in price. -
lol. People need to deal with it. I’d rather it was still 60°. I’m only happy about the pack because it’s cold. But it’s true. It’s 12/7. The whining is dumb. There’s 4 months of snow season left.
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Digital Snow/Ice Thread 2025-2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It’s pretty hilarious when the people who have snow are like, “yo, chill everyone” that’s not a complaint, just a statement -
1-2 inches forecasted tomorrow. We shall see.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
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I take 2 steps forward
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Another thing to note about '95-96 is there was a warmup after the aforementioned Snowstorm in December. It ended right before Christmas and Rain changed to Snow here in the early morning hours of Christmas and we had an inch of Snow at 7 A.M. One other thing about that Winter; it did have an extreme Arctic Outbreak. February 3rd and 4th Heavy Snow fell dropping 10-24 inches in the mid and upper great Valley. the front passed and the Temp fell to -21 feb 5 with the high of -4 in Pennington gap. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Well let’s take a step back . You’re buried under 8” of snow with more coming this week . I haven’t been whining at all , but absolutely frustrated and close to losing my shit , and I think I speak for Will and the rest of those who have gone snowless in the promised great pattern . It’s easy to say this when you’re in deep winter . -
Lt mood sn. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)
Buddy1987 replied to GaWx's topic in Southeastern States
@olafminesaw thank you! @wncsnow I had seen another map of the Euro had painted 6.4” up this way which I thought was pretty impressive but I’m on my mobile so I can’t post -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That One was a SE traveling System that bottomed in the mid South and intensified and moved ENE South of us . I measured 7 inches in Pennington gap. Roanoke got 10". It was evening of the 9th and morning of 10th. -
I know people want snow for the holidays, but jfc…it’s 12/7.
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They need their own sub forum. Different world Manchester north.
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It was the Ravens shitting all over themselves yet again.
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The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)
WinstonSalemArlington replied to GaWx's topic in Southeastern States
One thing that is different from Friday’s system is it’s significantly colder tonight in the Triad than it was this time Thursday night. PTI is already just above freezing, at 35. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
hype is the absolute worst, tbh. silly but funny -
Don’t think El Niño or La Niña matters really, hey we got the elusive SSWE and MJO phase 8 and we have zero threats on the horizon
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I remember it having systems travel from the Pac NW down through the Plains into the Tn Valley along the Jet. Some would drop to the mid South and form a Miller A from a Miller B( transfer). Those were the Ones that would cut up the Coast from NC on up(Noreaster). Several low riding B and Clipper Systems as well. I was thinking awhile ago after reading Johns post and pondered that really all we need is this Pattern with the Trough dipped further South a 25-100 Miles. Then we'd be in the area getting the Snow that Area's that distance up are getting. So close. A stronger block would do it. Taller western Ridge would. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Can’t even gin up an A1 Grok animation after today’s runs can you ? -
I don’t know if the super El Niño of 2015-16 had some sort of long-term effect on global circulation patterns or it’s a coincidence or it’s a combination of factors. But since then, if our winters haven’t been outright ratters, they certainly have been unremarkable. I’ll be 60 next year. I’ve seen some bad stretches of winter weather (late 80’s into the early 90’s comes to mind). But this past decade is setting a new bar for craptacular.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Tyler Penland replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Currently down to 31.8. At least we won't be wasting as much moisture saturating this time, surface humidity already at 98%. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
not much in the way of OP run cinema -
Got the notice that the schools were opening two hours late in C'ville and said, "What fresh hell is this?!?!" We've had storms sneak out of the south and overperform in the past...
